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HNK Rijeka vs Ilves Tahmin

UEFA Europa Conference League UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round
FT
Post on X
HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka

Home
1 : 0
HT 1 - 0
Ilves

Ilves

Away
Yapay zeka tahmini HNK Rijeka kazanır
80%
15%
5%
Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

HNK Rijeka - Ilves tahmini: Sportiko, HNK Rijeka takımına %80 kazanma olasılığı, Ilves takımına %5 ve beraberliğe %15 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 6 Aug 2026, 20:41.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
  • 3.5 Altı Gol 73%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 70%
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Match Report

HNK Rijeka secured a 1–0 victory over Finnish side Ilves in their UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round first leg, with the decisive moment arriving early. Niko Janković broke the deadlock in the 16th minute to give the Croatian hosts an advantage they would not relinquish, sending Rijeka into the interval with a slender but well-earned lead.

The match statistics told a clear story of Rijeka's dominance. The home side controlled 66% of possession, registered 14 shots on goal to Ilves's solitary effort, and earned nine corner kicks compared to just one for the visitors. Ilves struggled to make any meaningful impression going forward, and despite both sides making multiple substitutions in the second half, the scoreline remained unchanged. A flurry of yellow cards across both teams added some edge to the contest.

The result was in line with pre-match expectations, with our AI model having rated a Rijeka win as the most likely outcome at 80%. Rijeka will now take a one-goal advantage into the second leg as they bid to advance to the play-off round.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Branko Pavić Yellow Card
11' ▮
Niko Janković assist: Tiago Dantas
16' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 27'
J. Kilo Yellow Card
HT 1–0
Toni Fruk ⇄ Samuele Vignato
46' ⇄
Alfonso Barco Yellow Card
50' ▮
⇄ 59'
T. Hytönen ⇄ R. Riski
⇄ 59'
⇄ O. Multala
Daniel Adu-Adjei ⇄ Jakov Puljić
71' ⇄
Tiago Dantas ⇄ Justas Lasickas
71' ⇄
⇄ 72'
S. Väisänen ⇄ T. Miettunen
⇄ 72'
A. Popovitch
▮ 75'
J. Kanga Yellow Card
⇄ 83'
J. Kanga
Mladen Devetak ⇄ Gabriel Rukavina
84' ⇄
Amer Gojak ⇄ Ivan Ćubelić
90' ⇄
▮ 90+2'
Yellow Card
FT 1–0
HNK Rijeka

Match Stats

Ilves
66% Ball Possession 34%
Expected Goals (xG)
Total Shots
14 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 1
7 Blocked Shots 1
Shots insidebox
Shots outsidebox
9 Corner Kicks 1
2 Offsides 0
9 Fouls 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
Goalkeeper Saves
Total passes
Passes accurate
Passes %
goals_prevented
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HNK Rijeka vs Ilves maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç

  • 70'ten fazla olasılık kategorisinin tamamı
  • Yapay Zeka derinlemesine maç raporu
  • Değer Avantajı — model ile piyasa karşılaştırması
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Confidence High (80%)

At a glance

Bizim analizimiz
HNK Rijeka kazanır
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HNK Rijeka
WWDWD
Ilves
WWWLL
Last 1 meetings HNK Rijeka · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

HNK Rijeka faces Ilves in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with both teams aiming to secure a strong start in the competition. Rijeka boasts a solid home record, with a strong emphasis on possession and attacking play, illustrated by their average of 15 shots per game last season. In contrast, Ilves will rely on their defensive organization and counter-attacking capabilities, having averaged 1.5 goals conceded per match. Key players to watch include Rijeka's top scorer from the domestic league and Ilves' playmaker, who can disrupt opposing defenses. This match is pivotal for both teams as they seek to gain momentum in the group stage.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
80%
45%
Draw
15%
45%
Away
5%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: HNK Rijeka vs Ilves

0 HNK Rijeka Wins
1 Draws
0 Ilves Wins
Date Home Score Away
13 Aug 2026 Ilves 1 - 1 HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H HNK Hajduk Split W 3 - 0
16 Sep A Vrbovec W 0 - 6
12 Sep A NK Lokomotiva Zagreb D 1 - 1
05 Sep H NK Osijek W 4 - 1
31 Aug A HNK Gorica D 0 - 0

Ilves — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Turku PS W 0 - 3
12 Sep H Lahti W 3 - 1
08 Sep H FF Jaro W 2 - 0
31 Aug H HJK Helsinki L 1 - 2
22 Aug H VPS L 0 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Mjallby AIF
0 0 0 0 0 0
2
Brighton
0 0 0 0 0 0
3
Monaco
0 0 0 0 0 0
4
FK Jablonec
0 0 0 0 0 0
5
Gent
0 0 0 0 0 0
6
St. Truiden
0 0 0 0 0 0
7
SC Freiburg
0 0 0 0 0 0
8
Atalanta
0 0 0 0 0 0
9
Ajax
0 0 0 0 0 0
10
Twente
0 0 0 0 0 0
11
Getafe
0 0 0 0 0 0
12
KuPS
0 0 0 0 0 0
13
CSKA Sofia
0 0 0 0 0 0
14
HNK Hajduk Split
0 0 0 0 0 0
15
Pafos
0 0 0 0 0 0
16
Aarhus
0 0 0 0 0 0
17
FC Copenhagen
0 0 0 0 0 0
18
FC Midtjylland
0 0 0 0 0 0
19
FC Nordsjaelland
0 0 0 0 0 0
20
Panathinaikos
0 0 0 0 0 0
21
Brann
0 0 0 0 0 0
22
SC Braga
0 0 0 0 0 0
23
Heart Of Midlothian
0 0 0 0 0 0
24
FC Lugano
0 0 0 0 0 0
25
FK Crvena Zvezda
0 0 0 0 0 0
26
FC Thun
0 0 0 0 0 0
27
Trabzonspor
0 0 0 0 0 0
28
Borac Banja Luka
0 0 0 0 0 0
29
Kairat Almaty
0 0 0 0 0 0
30
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0 0 0 0 0 0
31
Inter Club d'Escaldes
0 0 0 0 0 0
32
Kauno Žalgiris
0 0 0 0 0 0
33
Universitatea Craiova
0 0 0 0 0 0
34
FC Iberia 1999
0 0 0 0 0 0
35
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0 0 0 0 0 0
36
Riga
0 0 0 0 0 0

HNK Rijeka

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Matjaz Kek
99 Todorović
34 Devetak
5 Barco
45 Majstorović
22 Oreč
6 Pavić
26 Dantas
4 Janković
10 Fruk
14 Gojak
18 Adu-Adjei

Starting XI

# Player Pos
99 Aleksa Todorović G
22 Ante Oreč D
45 Ante Majstorović D
5 Alfonso Barco M
34 Mladen Devetak D
26 Tiago Dantas M
6 Branko Pavić M
14 Amer Gojak M
10 Toni Fruk M
4 Niko Janković M
18 Daniel Adu-Adjei F

Substitutes

19 Samuele Vignato M
23 Justas Lasickas D
21 Jakov Puljić F
13 Igor Vekič G
1 Vito Kovač G
3 Moreno Živković D
51 Anel Husić D
91 Noel Bodetić D
8 Ivan Ćubelić M
11 Gabriel Rukavina M
15 Goran Grulović F
37 Cherno Saho F

Ilves

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Joni Lehtonen
12 Krkalić
3 Rale
5 Väisänen
24 Kumpu
19 Bamba
15 Ala-Myllymäki
14 Popovitch
28 Kilo
13 Wallius
9 Hytönen
30 Kanga

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 Faris Krkalić G
19 Abdoul Goudouss Bamba D
24 Ville Kumpu D
5 Sauli Väisänen D
3 Matias Rale D
28 Jesse Kilo M
14 Anton Popovitch M
15 Lauri Ala-Myllymäki M
30 Jardell Kanga M
9 Teemu Hytönen F
13 Kalle Wallius M

Substitutes

22 Oskari Multala M
10 Roope Riski F
16 Tatu Miettunen D
33 Yacouba Sacko M
1 Otso Virtanen G
31 Rasmus Leislahti G
25 Sebastian Suvanne D
36 Roope Aho D
17 Stanislav Baranov M
45 Elias Tamminen F

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