Alverca vs Casa Pia Tahmin

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 11
FT
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Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
Yapay zeka tahmini Zorlu Alverca galibiyet veya beraberlik
51%
28%
21%
Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

Alverca - Casa Pia tahmini: Sportiko, Alverca takımına %51 kazanma olasılığı, Casa Pia takımına %21 ve beraberliğe %28 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 7 Nov 2026, 19:59.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
  • 3.5 Altı Gol 75%
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Timeline

Ian Luccas Yellow Card
22' ▮
▮ 25'
Pedro Rosas Yellow Card
⚽ 0–1 36'
Selvi Clúa assist: Henrique Araújo
Davy Gui Yellow Card
40' ▮
HT 0–1
Chiquinho Yellow Card
48' ▮
⇄ 55'
Jérémy Livolant ⇄ Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri
Francisco Chissumba ⇄ André Vidigal
57' ⇄
Davy Gui ⇄ Rayan Lucas
58' ⇄
Ian Luccas assist: Chiquinho
66' ⚽ 1–1
Dawda Camara ⇄ Vivaldo
67' ⇄
Figueiredo ⇄ Matheus França
67' ⇄
⇄ 71'
Benjamin Pauwels ⇄ Rochinha
⇄ 72'
Selvi Clúa ⇄ Lawrence Ofori
⇄ 82'
Henrique Araújo ⇄ Cassiano
Chiquinho ⇄ Cédric Nuozzi
82' ⇄
FT 1–1
Alverca

Match Stats

Casa Pia
56% Ball Possession 44%
0.74 Expected Goals (xG) 0.95
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 6
8 Shots outsidebox 4
9 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 0
16 Fouls 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
422 Total passes 346
330 Passes accurate 251
13 Free Kicks 16
Alverca
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
25 Ian Luccas M 7.5 90' 1 – 2 35 (29%) 1
7 André Vidigal F 7.0 33' – – 3 7 (6%) 1
21 Sergi Gómez D 6.9 90' – – – 47 (45%) 1
4 Yaya Bojang D 6.9 90' – – – 82 (67%) 1
26 Matheus França F 6.8 23' – – – 9 (5%) –
10 Chiquinho F 6.7 82' – 1 1 13 (8%) 2
31 Matheus Mendes G 6.6 90' – – – 30 (26%) –
12 Isaac James D 6.5 90' – – – 36 (27%) 1
11 Cédric Nuozzi F 6.5 8' – – – 1 (1%) –
9 Vivaldo F 6.4 23' – – – 6 (4%) –
19 Dawda Camara F 6.4 67' – – 2 11 (4%) –
20 Diogo Spencer M 6.3 90' – – 2 52 (39%) –
55 Francisco Chissumba M 6.3 57' – – – 14 (6%) 3
35 Rayan Lucas M 6.3 32' – – – 23 (18%) 1
6 Davy Gui M 6.1 58' – – 2 22 (17%) 2
22 Figueiredo F 6.0 67' – – 2 24 (18%) 1
Casa Pia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
16 Selvi Clúa M 7.6 72' 1 – 1 21 (16%) 2
43 David Sousa D 7.1 90' – – – 42 (33%) 2
1 Patrick Sequeira G 6.9 90' – – – 41 (20%) –
24 Sebastian Perez M 6.9 90' – – 2 43 (37%) 4
3 Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira D 6.8 90' – – 1 32 (25%) 3
9 Henrique Araújo F 6.8 82' – 1 2 17 (11%) 1
11 Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri F 6.7 35' – – 1 16 (13%) 2
29 Jérémy Livolant F 6.5 55' – – – 17 (12%) 1
70 João Rêgo M 6.5 90' – – 1 26 (18%) 4
77 Benjamin Pauwels F 6.4 71' – – 1 13 (11%) –
80 Lawrence Ofori M 6.3 18' – – – 17 (12%) –
90 Cassiano F 6.3 8' – – – – –
18 Andre Geraldes D 6.2 90' – – – 24 (16%) 1
75 Pedro Rosas D 6.2 90' – – 1 29 (21%) 1
10 Rochinha F 6.1 19' – – – 6 (4%) 1
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Alverca vs Casa Pia maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç

  • 70'ten fazla olasılık kategorisinin tamamı
  • Yapay Zeka derinlemesine maç raporu
  • Seçtiğiniz tahmin türleri
Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Bizim analizimiz
Zorlu Alverca galibiyet veya beraberlik
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Alverca
DLLLW
Casa Pia
DLWWL
Last 2 meetings Alverca · 2W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga match, Alverca faces Casa Pia. Alverca has shown a strong offensive capability this season, averaging 1.8 goals per match, while maintaining a solid defensive record with an average of 1.2 goals conceded. Casa Pia, on the other hand, has been more defensively oriented, conceding just 1 goal per match but struggling to find the back of the net, averaging 1.1 goals scored. This matchup could hinge on Alverca's ability to exploit Casa Pia's defensive setup and create scoring opportunities. The outcome will likely depend on Alverca's offensive pressure against Casa Pia's organized defense.

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 70.2%. Late goal chance: 32.6%.

67' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 58.6%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Casa Pia leads. Win probability: 60.8%. Over 0.5 more goals: 70.9%.

37' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Casa Pia win: 57.8%. BTTS: 61.5%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
51%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
21%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Alverca
Vivaldo Semedo 3 gls
Casa Pia

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Alverca vs Casa Pia

2 Alverca Wins
0 Draws
0 Casa Pia Wins
Date Home Score Away
12 Apr 2026 Alverca 3 - 1 Casa Pia
29 Nov 2025 Casa Pia 0 - 2 Alverca

Alverca — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Casa Pia D 1 - 1
02 Nov A Benfica L 1 - 0
24 Oct H Arouca L 0 - 1
18 Oct A Tondela L 2 - 0
12 Oct A Famalicao W 1 - 4

Casa Pia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Alverca D 1 - 1
30 Oct H Sporting CP L 0 - 2
24 Oct A Estrela W 0 - 2
18 Oct A Alpendorada W 0 - 1
10 Oct H Santa Clara L 0 - 1

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
10 10 0 0 +21 30
2
Benfica
10 8 1 1 +19 25
3
Sporting CP
11 7 3 1 +13 24
4
Santa Clara
10 6 3 1 +9 21
5
Arouca
11 6 2 3 +5 20
6
Academico Viseu
10 6 2 2 +3 20
7
GIL Vicente
10 4 3 3 +1 15
8
SC Braga
10 4 2 4 +1 14
9
Moreirense
11 4 2 5 -5 14
10
Famalicao
11 3 4 4 +1 13
11
Alverca
11 3 3 5 -1 12
12
Estrela
10 2 4 4 -4 10
13
Vitória SC
10 2 3 5 0 9
14
Maritimo
10 2 2 6 -12 8
15
Casa Pia
11 2 2 7 -14 8
16
Nacional
10 2 1 7 -9 7
17
Rio Ave
10 2 1 7 -14 7
18
Estoril
10 0 2 8 -14 2

Casa Pia

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Filipe Coelho
1 Sequeira
75 Rosas
43 Sousa
3 Kaly
18 Geraldes
16 Silvi
24 Pérez
70 Rêgo
77 Pauwels
9 Araújo
29 Livolant

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 P. Sequeira G
18 Geraldes D
3 Kaly D
43 David Sousa D
75 Pedro Rosas D
70 João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo M
24 S. Pérez M
16 Silvi M
29 J. Livolant F
9 Henrique Araújo F
77 B. Pauwels F

Substitutes

59 Abdu Dafe M
90 Cassiano F
44 Felipe Silva D
8 Gabi Pereira M
4 João Goulart D
98 JP M
95 Ivan Mandić G
17 E. Maurin F
80 L. Ofori M
19 K. Prieto F
10 Rochinha F
11 M. El Boukammiri F

Alverca

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
31 Mendes
12 James
21 Gómez
4 Bojang
55 Chissumba
6 Gui
25 Luccas
20 Marques
22 Figueiredo
19 Camara
10 Chiquinho

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 Matheus Mendes G
4 Y. Bojang D
21 Sergi Gómez D
12 I. James D
20 Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques M
25 Ian Luccas M
6 D. Gui M
55 Francisco Chissumba M
10 Chiquinho F
19 D. Camara F
22 Figueiredo F

Substitutes

7 André Vidigal F
23 André Paulo G
26 Matheus França F
24 E. Jemide D
35 Rayan M
3 J. Martínez D
11 C. Nuozzi F
9 Vivaldo Semedo F
27 Toni Tamarit F
93 Zé Rafael M
8 Vasco Moreira M
14 S. Baseya D

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