Lorient vs Monaco Tahmin

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, Lorient
Yapay zeka tahmini Monaco veya beraberlik
26%
29%
45%
Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

Lorient - Monaco tahmini: Sportiko, Lorient takımına %26 kazanma olasılığı, Monaco takımına %45 ve beraberliğe %29 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 18 Oct 2026, 17:10.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
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Match Report

Lorient claimed a narrow but valuable 1–0 home victory over Monaco in Ligue 1's seventh matchday, with a second-half penalty proving the decisive moment. The first half was goalless and relatively uneventful, with Monaco edging the early exchanges despite Lorient's territorial dominance.

The match turned sharply in a chaotic ten-minute spell after the break. A flurry of yellow cards for Salisu, Zakaria, and Nazinho set a fractious tone, before Noah Cadiou converted a penalty on 61 minutes to break the deadlock. Cadiou himself was then booked just five minutes later, with Monaco responding by introducing Ansu Fati and withdrawing both Zakaria and Salisu. Despite those changes, the visitors could not find an equaliser.

The statistics told an interesting story — Monaco generated an expected goals figure of 1.66 compared to Lorient's 0.71, yet it was the hosts who held firm and took all three points. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Monaco win as the most likely outcome at 45%, a call that did not materialise. Lorient's resilience and clinical finishing made the difference on the day.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0
⇄ 52'
T. Minamino ⇄ E. Diop
▮ 57'
M. Salisu Yellow Card
▮ 60'
Denis Zakaria Yellow Card
▮ 60'
Nazinho Yellow Card
Noah Cadiou Penalty
61' ⚽ 1–0
Noah Cadiou Yellow Card
66' ▮
⇄ 66'
Ansu Fati ⇄ Folarin Balogun
⇄ 66'
Denis Zakaria ⇄ Mathys Detourbet
⇄ 66'
M. Salisu ⇄ Christian Mawissa
Ibrahima Baldé ⇄ Mamadou Koné
71' ⇄
⇄ 75'
Matthis Abline ⇄ Mika Biereth
Arsène Kouassi Yellow Card
76' ▮
Gabin Bernardeau ⇄ Souleymane Faye
79' ⇄
▮ 80'
Christian Mawissa Yellow Card
FT 1–0
Lorient

Match Stats

Monaco
42% Ball Possession 58%
1.66 Expected Goals (xG) 0.71
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 5
7 Shots insidebox 9
2 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Corner Kicks 4
1 Offsides 0
10 Fouls 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
476 Total passes 660
398 Passes accurate 597
15 Free Kicks 10
Lorient
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
95 Souleymane Isaak Touré D 7.7 90' – – – 66 (62%) –
38 Yvon Mvogo G 7.5 90' – – – 46 (32%) –
3 Montassar Talbi D 7.4 90' – – – 51 (47%) 1
8 Noah Cadiou M 7.2 90' 1 – 1 66 (55%) 3
62 Arthur Avom Ebong M 7.1 90' – – – 65 (60%) 4
32 Nathaniel Adjei D 7.1 90' – – – 44 (35%) 2
17 Jean-Victor Makengo M 6.9 90' – – – 21 (17%) 2
43 Arsène Kouassi M 6.8 90' – – 1 42 (38%) 1
42 Mamadou Koné F 6.6 19' – – 2 3 (3%) –
19 Souleymane Faye F 6.4 11' – – – 10 (8%) –
33 Gabin Bernardeau M 6.3 79' – – 3 22 (15%) –
20 Dembo Sylla M 6.3 90' – – 1 33 (23%) –
18 Ibrahima Baldé F 6.2 71' – – 1 3 (1%) –
Monaco
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
2 Vanderson D 7.5 90' – – – 77 (67%) 5
8 Lamine Camara M 7.2 90' – – 2 96 (91%) –
37 E. Diop M 7.1 38' – – – 26 (24%) 1
72 Sadibou Sané D 6.9 90' – – – 97 (94%) 1
22 M. Salisu D 6.9 66' – – – 81 (75%) 1
6 Denis Zakaria M 6.8 66' – – 1 61 (58%) 1
1 Lukáš Hrádecký G 6.7 90' – – – 18 (17%) –
10 Aleksandr Golovin M 6.6 90' – – 1 49 (39%) 1
31 Ansu Fati M 6.6 66' – – 3 20 (18%) 2
9 Folarin Balogun F 6.5 24' – – 3 4 (2%) –
7 Mathys Detourbet F 6.5 24' – – 1 10 (8%) –
13 Christian Mawissa D 6.4 24' – – – 25 (23%) –
11 Matthis Abline F 6.3 75' – – 3 4 (2%) 1
14 Mika Biereth F 6.3 15' – – – 3 (1%) –
20 Nazinho D 6.2 90' – – 1 75 (64%) 3
18 T. Minamino M 6.1 52' – – – 14 (14%) –
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Lorient vs Monaco maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç

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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Bizim analizimiz
Monaco veya beraberlik
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Lorient
LDWWL
Monaco
WLDWL
Last 3 meetings Lorient · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Lorient will face Monaco in a Ligue 1 clash on October 17, 2026. Both teams have shown fluctuating form this season, with Lorient sitting mid-table and Monaco aiming for European qualification. Historically, Monaco has a stronger attacking line, averaging 1.8 goals per game, compared to Lorient's 1.2. Defensively, Lorient has struggled, conceding 1.5 goals per match, which could be pivotal against Monaco's potent offense. The outcome may hinge on Lorient's ability to contain Monaco's key players and capitalize on any defensive lapses.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
26%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
45%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Lorient

No scorer data.

Monaco
Paris Josua Brunner 4 gls

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Head to Head: Lorient vs Monaco

2 Lorient Wins
1 Draws
0 Monaco Wins
Date Home Score Away
16 Jan 2026 Monaco 1 - 3 Lorient
27 Sep 2025 Lorient 3 - 1 Monaco
17 Mar 2024 Monaco 2 - 2 Lorient
Tüm 10 karşılaşmayı gör — Premium

Lorient — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
02 Nov H Stade Brestois 29 L 0 - 2
25 Oct A Angers D 0 - 0
18 Oct H Monaco W 1 - 0
10 Oct H Paris FC W 1 - 0
19 Sep A Le Mans L 2 - 1

Monaco — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H FC Nordsjaelland W 2 - 0
01 Nov A Paris FC L 3 - 1
25 Oct H Lille D 1 - 1
22 Oct H SC Freiburg W 3 - 0
18 Oct A Lorient L 1 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
10 7 2 1 +12 23
2
Paris FC
10 6 2 2 +7 20
3
Lille
9 5 3 1 +6 18
4
Lyon
9 5 2 2 +8 17
5
Rennes
9 5 1 3 +1 16
6
Marseille
9 5 0 4 +7 15
7
Monaco
9 4 3 2 +2 15
8
Nice
9 4 2 3 +1 14
9
Lens
9 4 1 4 +3 13
10
Toulouse
10 3 4 3 +1 13
11
Stade Brestois 29
9 3 3 3 +4 12
12
Lorient
9 3 3 3 -1 12
13
Strasbourg
10 3 1 6 -4 10
14
Auxerre
10 3 1 6 -11 10
15
Angers
9 2 2 5 -8 8
16
Estac Troyes
10 2 2 6 -10 8
17
Le Mans
9 1 4 4 -7 7
18
Le Havre
9 0 2 7 -11 2

Monaco

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Filipe Luís
1 Hrádecký
20 Nazinho
22 Salisu
72 Sané
2 Vanderson
6 Zakaria
8 Camara
10 Golovin
31 Fati
18 Minamino
11 Abline

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 L. Hrádecký G
2 Vanderson D
72 Sadibou Sané D
22 M. Salisu D
20 Flávio Nazinho D
8 L. Camara M
6 D. Zakaria M
18 T. Minamino M
31 Ansu Fati M
10 A. Golovin M
11 M. Abline F

Substitutes

4 J. Teze D
9 F. Balogun F
14 M. Biereth F
19 Pape Cabral M
28 M. Coulibaly M
7 M. Detourbet F
37 E. Diop M
16 P. Köhn G
13 C. Mawissa Elebi D

Lorient

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: A. Dujeux
38 Mvogo
95 Touré
3 Talbi
32 Adjei
43 Kouassi
62 Avom
8 Cadiou
20 Sylla
33 Bernardeau
17 Makengo
18 Baldé

Starting XI

# Player Pos
38 Y. Mvogo G
32 N. Adjei D
3 M. Talbi D
95 S. Touré D
20 D. Sylla M
8 N. Cadiou M
62 A. Avom M
43 K. Kouassi M
17 J. Makengo M
33 G. Bernardeau M
18 I. Baldé F

Substitutes

15 A. Tosin F
2 A. Georgen D
21 B. Kamara G
77 P. Katseris D
19 S. Faye F
42 M. Kone F
30 S. Kuzmić D
11 T. Le Bris M
55 N. Obaretin D

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