Estac Troyes vs Marseille Tahmin
Estac Troyes - Marseille tahmini: Sportiko, Estac Troyes takımına %27 kazanma olasılığı, Marseille takımına %47 ve beraberliğe %26 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 11 Oct 2026, 20:40.
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Match Report
Estac Troyes fell to a 2–0 home defeat against Marseille in Ligue 1's sixth matchday, with the visitors proving clinical despite a goalless first half. Both sides received yellow cards before the break, with Troyes' L. Maronnier cautioned in the 22nd minute and Marseille's Angel Gomes booked on the stroke of half-time.
Marseille broke the deadlock five minutes into the second half through Amine Harit, whose 50th-minute strike proved the decisive turning point. Troyes pushed for a response and were the busier side in terms of attempts, registering 15 total shots to Marseille's five, though the hosts managed only three on target. Marseille's expected goals figure of 0.53 against Troyes' 1.21 underlines how the away side converted their limited opportunities more efficiently. Our pre-match AI model had identified a Marseille win as the most likely outcome at 47%, a call that proved correct.
A late penalty, converted by substitute Himad Abdelli deep into stoppage time, sealed the result and ensured a comfortable margin of victory for Marseille, who collected all three points despite riding their luck for long periods.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Estac Troyes
Match Stats
Estac Troyes
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Adrien Monfray D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 61 (56%) | – |
| 2 L. Maronnier D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (28%) | 1 |
| 9 Jérémy Le Douaron F | 6.7 | 77' | – | – | 3 | 14 (5%) | – |
| 20 Renaud Ripart F | 6.6 | 29' | – | – | 3 | 7 (7%) | 1 |
| 5 Paolo Gozzi D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (23%) | 1 |
| 23 Timothé Nkada F | 6.5 | 12' | – | – | 2 | 4 (2%) | – |
| 4 Michel Diaz D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (39%) | 1 |
| 8 Mouhamed Diop M | 6.4 | 78' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | 2 |
| 22 Hugo Picard M | 6.3 | 21' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | 1 |
| 37 Christ Batola F | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | 2 | 2 | – |
| 29 Karim Dermane M | 6.2 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 31 (26%) | 2 |
| 7 Kandet Diawara M | 6.2 | 69' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | 1 |
| 26 Alexandre Phliponeau M | 6.1 | 13' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | – |
| 11 Iron Gomis M | 5.9 | 61' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 17 Antoine Mille M | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (31%) | 7 |
| 33 Patrick Beach G | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (10%) | – |
Marseille
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 Amine Harit M | 8.0 | 63' | 1 | – | 1 | 33 (28%) | 1 |
| 33 Emerson Palmieri D | 7.8 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 54 (41%) | – |
| 8 Himad Abdelli M | 7.7 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 62 (54%) | 2 |
| 21 Nayef Aguerd D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 99 (93%) | 1 |
| 74 K. Bezahaf D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 66 (64%) | 1 |
| 4 Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 122 (117%) | – |
| 12 Jeffrey de Lange G | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (42%) | – |
| 6 Tochukwu Nnadi M | 6.9 | 17' | – | – | – | 12 (12%) | – |
| 19 Geoffrey Kondogbia M | 6.8 | 3' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| Seamus Maughan | 6.7 | 73' | – | – | – | 53 (47%) | 3 |
| 14 Igor Paixão M | 6.7 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 18 (13%) | 4 |
| 11 Neal Maupay F | 6.6 | 27' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | 2 |
| 29 Faris Moumbagna F | 6.5 | 3' | – | – | 1 | – | – |
| 9 Amine Gouiri F | 6.4 | 63' | – | – | – | 7 (4%) | – |
| 48 Keyliane Abdallah F | 6.4 | 27' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | – |
| 7 Angel Gomes M | 6.2 | 87' | – | – | – | 44 (36%) | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Estac Troyes vs Marseille
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr 2023 | Marseille | 3 - 1 | Estac Troyes |
| 11 Jan 2023 | Estac Troyes | 0 - 2 | Marseille |
| 27 Feb 2022 | Estac Troyes | 1 - 1 | Marseille |
Estac Troyes — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Paris Saint Germain | L | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Le Mans | W | 2 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | A Toulouse | D | 0 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H Lens | L | 1 - 3 |
| 11 Oct | H Marseille | L | 0 - 2 |
Marseille — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Bayer Leverkusen | W | 0 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H Toulouse | W | 2 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H Le Havre | W | 4 - 3 |
| 22 Oct | A Sturm Graz | L | 1 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | A Angers | W | 2 - 5 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |
Paris FC
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 16 |
| 6 |
Marseille
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 15 |
| 7 |
Monaco
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |
Nice
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |
Lens
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 |
Toulouse
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 12 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Strasbourg
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |
Auxerre
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 |
Angers
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |
Le Mans
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 2 |
Estac Troyes
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: S. Dumont
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | P. Beach | G |
| 2 | L. Maronnier | D |
| 6 | A. Monfray | D |
| 4 | M. Diaz | D |
| 5 | P. Gozzi | D |
| 8 | M. Diop | M |
| 29 | D. Karim | M |
| 17 | A. Mille | M |
| 11 | I. Gomis | M |
| 7 | K. Diawara | M |
| 9 | J. Le Douaron | F |
Substitutes
| 10 | M. Ifnaoui | M |
| 31 | Noah Donkor | D |
| 37 | C. Batola | F |
| 40 | H. Konaté | G |
| 23 | T. Nkada | F |
| 26 | A. Phliponeau | M |
| 22 | H. Picard | M |
| 20 | R. Ripart | F |
| 34 | Lassana Simakha | D |
Marseille
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Bruno Genesio
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | J. de Lange | G |
| 74 | K. Bezahaf | D |
| 4 | C. Egan-Riley | D |
| 21 | N. Aguerd | D |
| 33 | Emerson | D |
| 8 | H. Abdelli | M |
| 42 | Nouhoum Kamissoko | M |
| 77 | A. Harit | M |
| 7 | A. Gomes | M |
| 14 | Igor Paixão | M |
| 9 | A. Gouiri | F |
Substitutes
| 92 | T. Vermot | G |
| 25 | U. Garcia | D |
| 48 | K. Abdallah | F |
| 19 | G. Kondogbia | M |
| 18 | B. Meité | D |
| 46 | E. Mbondo | D |
| 11 | N. Maupay | F |
| 6 | T. Nnadi | M |
| 29 | F. Moumbagna | F |