Monaco vs Lens Tahmin
Monaco - Lens tahmini: Sportiko, Monaco takımına %48 kazanma olasılığı, Lens takımına %26 ve beraberliğe %26 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 18 Sep 2026, 20:44.
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Match Report
Monaco secured a 2–1 victory over Lens in Ligue 1's fifth round, with the decisive moments coming either side of half-time. The game's early narrative was shaped by a VAR intervention that cancelled a penalty for Lens in the 20th minute, before Paris Brunner broke the deadlock with a composed finish on 32 minutes to send Monaco into the break with a slender lead. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Monaco win as the most likely outcome at 48%, a call that proved correct.
Lens drew level shortly after the restart through Matthieu Udol in the 57th minute, briefly threatening to turn the contest. However, Monaco regained the advantage in unfortunate circumstances for Lens, as J. Gradit turned the ball into his own net on 84 minutes to hand the hosts all three points.
Despite Lens enjoying the greater share of attacking threat — registering 12 total shots and eight corner kicks to Monaco's nine and two respectively — it was the home side who showed greater clinical efficiency, converting two of their six shots on target to claim a hard-fought win.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Monaco
Match Stats
Monaco
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Paris Brunner F | 7.9 | 89' | 1 | – | 3 | 13 (9%) | – |
| 11 Matthis Abline F | 7.2 | 76' | – | 1 | 3 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 2 Vanderson D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (38%) | 7 |
| 72 Sadibou Sané D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 74 (70%) | 1 |
| 1 Lukáš Hrádecký G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (28%) | – |
| 10 Aleksandr Golovin M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 42 (33%) | 4 |
| 9 Folarin Balogun F | 6.7 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 7 Mathys Detourbet F | 6.7 | 28' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | 2 |
| 15 Eric Dier D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 99 (90%) | – |
| 6 Denis Zakaria M | 6.5 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 44 (39%) | 2 |
| 20 Nazinho D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 59 (51%) | – |
| 8 Lamine Camara M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 59 (52%) | 1 |
| 19 Pape Cabral M | 6.4 | 14' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 2 |
| 37 E. Diop M | 6.3 | 62' | – | – | – | 34 (28%) | 2 |
| 22 M. Salisu D | 0.0 | 1' | – | – | – | – | 1 |
Lens
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Matthieu Udol D | 7.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 77 (62%) | 3 |
| 40 Robin Risser G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (37%) | – |
| 32 Kyllian Antonio D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 65 (60%) | 5 |
| 5 Andrija Bulatovic M | 6.8 | 18' | – | – | – | 14 (14%) | 1 |
| 24 J. Gradit D | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 35 (33%) | 1 |
| 11 Odsonne Édouard F | 6.6 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 19 Abdallah Sima F | 6.5 | 58' | – | – | 2 | 10 (7%) | 1 |
| 20 Jean-Clair Todibo D | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 27 (26%) | 3 |
| 10 Florian Thauvin M | 6.4 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 35 (25%) | – |
| 2 Ruben Aguilar M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (34%) | 2 |
| 21 Amadou Haidara M | 6.3 | 72' | – | – | – | 34 (29%) | – |
| 27 Michaël Cuisance M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 53 (47%) | – |
| 38 Mezian Mesloub M | 6.3 | 58' | – | – | – | 34 (29%) | – |
| 28 Junior Kadile M | 6.1 | 69' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | – |
| 22 Michał Skóraś F | 6.1 | 21' | – | – | – | 16 (15%) | – |
| 9 Thorgan Hazard M | 6.0 | 32' | – | – | 2 | 12 (11%) | – |
Monaco vs Lens maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç
- 70'ten fazla olasılık kategorisinin tamamı
- Yapay Zeka derinlemesine maç raporu
- Değer Avantajı — model ile piyasa karşılaştırması
- Seçtiğiniz tahmin türleri
At a glance
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Live insights
Late goal makes it 2-1! Monaco win probability: 95%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 12.7%.
Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 64.9%. Late goal chance: 39.5%.
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 47.3%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Half-time: 1-0. Monaco leads. Win probability: 77.3%. Over 0.5 more goals: 76.7%.
Goal! Score now 1-0. Monaco win: 76.1%. BTTS: 55%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Paris Josua Brunner
4 gls
F. Thauvin
3 gls
F. Ivanović
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Monaco vs Lens
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Lens | 2 - 3 | Monaco |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Monaco | 1 - 4 | Lens |
| 17 May 2025 | Lens | 4 - 0 | Monaco |
Monaco — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H Lens | W | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Strasbourg | D | 1 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | A Paris Saint Germain | W | 1 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H Marseille | W | 2 - 0 |
| 27 Aug | H Gornik Zabrze | W | 4 - 1 |
Lens — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | A Monaco | L | 2 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | A Le Mans | D | 2 - 2 |
| 10 Sep | A Slavia Praha | W | 2 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | H Lorient | L | 0 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | A Strasbourg | L | 2 - 1 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Monaco
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Filipe Luís
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Hrádecký | G |
| 2 | Vanderson | D |
| 72 | Sadibou Sané | D |
| 15 | E. Dier | D |
| 20 | Flávio Nazinho | D |
| 37 | E. Diop | M |
| 8 | L. Camara | M |
| 6 | D. Zakaria | M |
| 10 | A. Golovin | M |
| 11 | M. Abline | F |
| 29 | Paris Josua Brunner | F |
Substitutes
| 9 | F. Balogun | F |
| 47 | S. Benzahra | M |
| 19 | Pape Cabral | M |
| 7 | M. Detourbet | F |
| 16 | P. Köhn | G |
| 13 | C. Mawissa Elebi | D |
| 18 | T. Minamino | M |
| 22 | M. Salisu | D |
| 49 | I. Touré | M |
Lens
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | R. Risser | G |
| 32 | K. Antonio | D |
| 20 | J. Todibo | D |
| 14 | M. Udol | D |
| 2 | R. Aguilar | M |
| 27 | M. Cuisance | M |
| 21 | A. Haidara | M |
| 28 | J. Kadile | M |
| 10 | F. Thauvin | M |
| 38 | Mezian Mesloub | M |
| 19 | A. Sima | F |
Substitutes
| 7 | F. Sotoca | F |
| 11 | O. Édouard | F |
| 16 | M. Gorgelin | G |
| 24 | J. Gradit | D |
| 9 | T. Hazard | M |
| 29 | F. Ivanović | F |
| 31 | S. Sagnan | D |
| 22 | M. Skóraś | F |
| 5 | A. Bulatović | M |