Le Havre vs Monaco Tahmin

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 1

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Monaco

Away

Stade Océane, Le Havre

Yapay zeka tahmini Monaco veya beraberlik

27%

46%

Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

Le Havre - Monaco tahmini: Sportiko, Le Havre takımına %27 kazanma olasılığı, Monaco takımına %46 ve beraberliğe %27 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 23 Aug 2026, 17:11.

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Deplasman Gol Atar 75%
1st Half Draw or Away 74%

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Match Report

Monaco claimed a narrow 1–0 victory at Le Havre in the opening round of Ligue 1, with Eric Dier's 14th-minute goal proving the decisive moment of the contest. The visitors held their slender advantage into half-time, though Le Havre had a potential equaliser ruled out by VAR for offside through Amir Richardson shortly after the opener. Our pre-match AI model rated a Monaco win as the most likely outcome at 46%, and that call proved correct.

The second half saw Le Havre dominate possession and press for an equaliser, finishing with 56% of the ball, 15 total shots and seven on target compared to Monaco's two. Despite that pressure, the visitors' defensive resilience held firm, limiting the hosts to an expected goals figure of 1.39 against their own modest 0.43.

Discipline was a recurring theme throughout, with five yellow cards distributed across both sides. A flurry of substitutions in the final quarter failed to alter the scoreline, and Monaco held on to secure all three points despite a largely uncomfortable second half on the south coast.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 14'

Eric Dier assist: Nazinho

Amir Richardson Yellow Card

20' ▮

Amir Richardson Goal Disallowed - offside

26' 🖵

Fodé Doucouré Yellow Card

35' ▮

Yanis Zouaoui ⇄ Enzo Koffi

40' ⇄

Vincent Sasso Yellow Card

44' ▮

HT 0–1

⇄ 57'

Mamadou Coulibaly ⇄ Anis Soubeir

⇄ 57'

Paris Brunner ⇄ Mika Biereth

▮ 64'

Aleksandr Golovin Yellow Card

▮ 66'

Vanderson Yellow Card

Timothee Pembele ⇄ Sota Nakamura

70' ⇄

Fodé Doucouré ⇄ Elias Jelert

70' ⇄

Mbwana Ally Samatta ⇄ Josh Maja

70' ⇄

⇄ 80'

Nazinho ⇄ Ilane Touré

⇄ 81'

Stanis Idumbo Muzambo ⇄ Oumar Konaté

Simon Ebonog ⇄ Kaito Mizuta

88' ⇄

⇄ 89'

Vanderson ⇄ Thilo Kehrer

FT 0–1

Le Havre

Match Stats

Monaco

44% Ball Possession 56%

0.43 Expected Goals (xG) 1.39

10 Total Shots 15

2 Shots on Goal 7

3 Shots off Goal 3

5 Blocked Shots 5

6 Shots insidebox 8

4 Shots outsidebox 7

5 Corner Kicks 4

3 Offsides 3

11 Fouls 11

3 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

6 Goalkeeper Saves 2

293 Total passes 388

234 Passes accurate 327

80% Passes % 84%

0.25 goals_prevented 0.25

Le Havre

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
77 Lionel Mpasi Nzau G	8.0	78'	–	–	–	24 (16%)	–
14 Rassoul Ndiaye F	7.2	78'	–	–	1	34 (27%)	4
6 Junior Mwanga M	6.9	78'	–	–	–	32 (26%)	3
32 Timothee Pembele D	6.7	70'	–	–	–	27 (21%)	3
27 Enzo Koffi F	6.7	38'	–	–	–	16 (11%)	–
15 Ayumu Seko D	6.6	78'	–	–	–	30 (26%)	1
26 Simon Ebonog M	6.6	78'	–	–	–	28 (26%)	2
18 Yanis Zouaoui M	6.5	40'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	–
25 Mbwana Ally Samatta F	6.5	70'	–	–	1	9 (6%)	–
7 Amir Richardson F	6.3	78'	–	–	1	17 (14%)	–
12 Elias Jelert D	6.3	8'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	1
30 Sota Nakamura F	6.3	8'	–	–	–	–	–
9 Josh Maja F	6.3	8'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
13 Fodé Doucouré M	6.2	70'	–	–	2	25 (18%)	–
23 Vincent Sasso D	6.2	78'	–	–	–	40 (33%)	2

Monaco

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
15 Eric Dier D	8.5	78'	1	–	1	37 (32%)	2
20 Nazinho D	7.9	78'	–	1	–	44 (37%)	2
8 Lamine Camara M	7.5	78'	–	–	1	69 (64%)	8
6 Denis Zakaria M	7.3	78'	–	–	1	25 (21%)	2
2 Vanderson D	7.2	78'	–	–	–	55 (43%)	6
1 Lukáš Hrádecký G	7.0	78'	–	–	–	19 (16%)	–
10 Aleksandr Golovin M	7.0	78'	–	–	2	28 (24%)	2
72 Sadibou Sané D	6.9	78'	–	–	–	42 (36%)	1
14 Mika Biereth F	6.9	21'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	1
17 Stanis Idumbo Muzambo M	6.7	78'	–	–	2	21 (19%)	–
28 Mamadou Coulibaly M	6.5	57'	–	–	–	36 (30%)	1
46 Anis Soubeir M	6.5	21'	–	–	1	1	–
29 Paris Brunner F	6.2	57'	–	–	2	8 (3%)	–

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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Bizim analizimiz

Monaco veya beraberlik

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Le Havre

LDLDL

Monaco

WDWWW

Last 3 meetings Le Havre · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 match, Le Havre will face Monaco. Le Havre has been solid defensively, averaging 1.2 goals conceded per match, while Monaco boasts a potent attack, scoring an average of 2.1 goals per game. The contrasting styles suggest that Le Havre will need to prioritize defensive organization to contain Monaco's offensive threats. Key players for Monaco, especially in midfield and attack, could exploit any defensive lapses from Le Havre. This matchup will be crucial for both teams as they aim to position themselves favorably in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Monaco goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	10	8	4	1
1	8	14	9	4	1
2	5	7	5	2	1
3	2	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Le Havre goals · most likely 1–1 (14.4%)

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Players in form

Le Havre

M. Samatta 2 gls

Monaco

Paris Josua Brunner 4 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

46%

Draw

27%

Home Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

46%

Draw

27%

Home Win

27%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

60% Away (No Draw) 40% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 11% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 28% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	10.2%	8.2%	3.8%	1.3%
1	7.6%	14.4%	8.8%	4.1%	1.4%
2	5.0%	6.9%	4.8%	2.2%	0.8%
3	1.8%	2.5%	1.7%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.5%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Le Havre	Draw	Monaco
Le Havre	18.4%	5.2%	2.4%
Draw	9.2%	19.3%	15.9%
Monaco	1.1%	3.7%	25.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Le Havre vs Monaco

0 Le Havre Wins

2 Draws

1 Monaco Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Jan 2026	Le Havre	0 - 0	Monaco
16 Aug 2025	Monaco	3 - 1	Le Havre
26 Apr 2025	Le Havre	1 - 1	Monaco

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Le Havre — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Toulouse	L	3 - 2
12 Sep	H Angers	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	H Stade Brestois 29	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	A Lyon	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H Monaco	L	0 - 1

Monaco — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Lens	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Strasbourg	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	A Paris Saint Germain	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Marseille	W	2 - 0
27 Aug	H Gornik Zabrze	W	4 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Monaco

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Filipe Luís

1 Hrádecký

20 Nazinho

15 Dier

72 Sané

2 Vanderson

6 Zakaria

8 Camara

17 Muzambo

10 Golovin

28 Coulibaly

29 Brunner

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Lukáš Hrádecký	G
2	Vanderson	D
72	Sadibou Sané	D
15	Eric Dier	D
20	Nazinho	D
8	Lamine Camara	M
6	Denis Zakaria	M
28	Mamadou Coulibaly	M
10	Aleksandr Golovin	M
17	Stanis Idumbo Muzambo	M
29	Paris Brunner	F

Substitutes

16	Philipp Köhn	G
5	Thilo Kehrer	D
49	Ilane Touré	M
19	Pape Cabral	M
46	Anis Soubeir	M
7	Mathys Detourbet	F
14	Mika Biereth	F
42	Oumar Konaté	F
47	Safouane Benzahra	M

Le Havre

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: D. Digard

77 Nzau

23 Sasso

15 Seko

32 Pembele

18 Zouaoui

6 Mwanga

26 Ebonog

13 Doucouré

7 Richardson

14 Ndiaye

25 Samatta

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
77	Lionel Mpasi Nzau	G
32	Timothee Pembele	D
15	Ayumu Seko	D
23	Vincent Sasso	D
13	Fodé Doucouré	M
26	Simon Ebonog	M
6	Junior Mwanga	M
18	Yanis Zouaoui	M
14	Rassoul Ndiaye	F
7	Amir Richardson	F
25	Ally Samatta	F

Substitutes

27	Enzo Koffi	F
99	Mory Diaw	G
33	Djibril Ouziad	D
12	Elias Jelert	D
17	Kaito Mizuta	M
78	Daren Mosengo	M
44	Ismail Bouneb	M
30	Sota Nakamura	F
9	Josh Maja	F