Monza vs Napoli Tahmin

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 9
FT
Post on X
U-Power Stadium, Monza
Yapay zeka tahmini Zorlu Napoli galibiyet veya beraberlik
20%
26%
54%
Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

Monza - Napoli tahmini: Sportiko, Monza takımına %20 kazanma olasılığı, Napoli takımına %54 ve beraberliğe %26 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 28 Oct 2026, 21:38.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
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Match Report

Napoli claimed a comfortable 4–1 victory at Monza despite a competitive first half. Rasmus Højlund opened the scoring in the 10th minute, but Monza levelled through Gustavo Varela just before the break to ensure the teams went in level at 1–1. The home side had dominated possession throughout the opening period, though their xG figures suggested Napoli remained dangerous on the counter.

The second half belonged entirely to Napoli. Matteo Politano restored the visitors' lead just three minutes after the restart, and Rafa Marín extended it to 3–1 in the 62nd minute. Kevin De Bruyne added a fourth in the 67th minute to put the result beyond doubt, capping a dominant second-half display. Monza's early yellow card for Saba Goglichidze, who was later substituted at half-time, had disrupted their defensive shape from the outset.

Despite Monza's 64% possession advantage, Napoli proved ruthlessly efficient when it mattered. The pre-match AI model had rated a Napoli win as the most likely outcome at 54%, a call that proved well-founded as Antonio Conte's side moved to a convincing win in Matchday 9.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Saba Goglichidze Yellow Card
8' ▮
⚽ 0–1 10'
Rasmus Højlund assist: Giovanni Di Lorenzo
⇄ 17'
Stanislav Lobotka ⇄ Billy Gilmour
Yellow Card
25' ▮
Gustavo Varela assist: Jay Robinson
43' ⚽ 1–1
Saba Goglichidze ⇄ Andrea Carboni
45' ⇄
⇄ 45'
Amir Rrahmani ⇄ Luca Marianucci
HT 1–1
⚽ 1–2 48'
Matteo Politano
Manga Foe Ondoa Yellow Card
52' ▮
Cyril Ngonge ⇄ Andrea Colpani
60' ⇄
Manga Foe Ondoa ⇄ Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
60' ⇄
⚽ 1–3 62'
Rafa Marín assist: Matteo Politano
⇄ 63'
Frank Anguissa ⇄ Kevin De Bruyne
⇄ 63'
Matteo Politano ⇄ Antonio Vergara
⚽ 1–4 67'
Kevin De Bruyne assist: N. Lang
Jay Robinson ⇄ Exequiel Zeballos
69' ⇄
Lorenzo Lucchesi ⇄ Valentin Antov
74' ⇄
⇄ 81'
Rasmus Højlund ⇄ Lorenzo Lucca
L. Colombo Yellow Card
88' ▮
FT 1–4
Monza

Match Stats

Napoli
36% Ball Possession 64%
0.81 Expected Goals (xG) 1.43
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Goal 7
4 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 4
3 Shots insidebox 12
9 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 4
14 Fouls 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
330 Total passes 628
270 Passes accurate 553
6 Free Kicks 13
Monza
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Gustavo Varela F 8.0 90' 1 – 6 18 (13%) –
46 Jay Robinson M 6.9 69' – 1 – 17 (13%) 2
8 Manga Foe Ondoa M 6.5 60' – – 3 21 (20%) 2
22 Exequiel Zeballos F 6.4 21' – – – 4 (2%) 1
19 Samuele Birindelli D 6.3 90' – – 1 39 (34%) –
28 Andrea Colpani M 6.1 30' – – 1 3 (3%) –
3 Lorenzo Lucchesi D 6.0 74' – – – 43 (37%) –
21 L. Colombo M 6.0 90' – – 1 40 (34%) 3
14 Ebenezer Akinsanmiro M 5.9 30' – – – 9 (8%) 1
16 Cyril Ngonge M 5.9 60' – – – 11 (10%) 3
1 Noel Törnqvist G 5.8 90' – – – 31 (21%) –
6 Valentin Antov D 5.8 16' – – – 7 (6%) 1
44 Andrea Carboni D 5.7 44' – – – 23 (17%) 2
7 Ricardo Mangas M 5.6 90' – – – 17 (12%) –
2 Saba Goglichidze D 5.6 46' – – – 25 (24%) 1
24 Adam Bakoune M 5.5 90' – – – 22 (16%) 1
Napoli
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
21 Matteo Politano F 8.7 63' 1 1 2 18 (10%) –
16 Rafa Marín D 7.9 90' 1 – 1 75 (70%) 4
70 N. Lang F 7.7 90' – 1 1 51 (45%) 2
19 Rasmus Højlund F 7.7 81' 1 – 3 10 (7%) –
11 Kevin De Bruyne M 7.5 27' 1 – 1 47 (42%) 1
32 Vanja Milinković-Savić G 7.4 90' – – – 54 (43%) –
22 Giovanni Di Lorenzo D 7.3 90' – 1 – 60 (55%) –
17 Mathías Olivera D 6.8 90' – – 1 66 (64%) 3
35 Luca Marianucci D 6.8 44' – – – 37 (33%) 1
8 Scott McTominay M 6.7 90' – – 5 58 (54%) –
6 Billy Gilmour M 6.7 73' – – – 76 (68%) 3
20 Lorenzo Lucca F 6.6 9' – – 1 2 (2%) –
99 Frank Anguissa M 6.5 63' – – 1 22 (21%) –
13 Amir Rrahmani D 6.4 46' – – – 36 (29%) 2
68 Stanislav Lobotka M 6.3 17' – – – 7 (5%) –
26 Antonio Vergara M 6.2 27' – – – 9 (5%) 1
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Monza vs Napoli maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç

  • 70'ten fazla olasılık kategorisinin tamamı
  • Yapay Zeka derinlemesine maç raporu
  • Seçtiğiniz tahmin türleri
Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Bizim analizimiz
Zorlu Napoli galibiyet veya beraberlik
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Monza
DLLLW
Napoli
DLLWD
Last 3 meetings Monza · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Monza will face Napoli, a team known for its attacking prowess. Napoli has averaged 2.1 goals per match this season, showcasing their offensive strength with key players contributing significantly. Monza, while competitive, struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. The match will be crucial for Monza to tighten their defense while exploiting any gaps in Napoli's backline. Given Napoli's superior form and goal-scoring ability, they will likely look to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
20%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
54%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Monza
Gustavo Varela 9 gls
Napoli
K. De Bruyne 4 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Monza vs Napoli

0 Monza Wins
0 Draws
3 Napoli Wins
Date Home Score Away
19 Apr 2025 Monza 0 - 1 Napoli
29 Sep 2024 Napoli 2 - 0 Monza
07 Apr 2024 Monza 2 - 4 Napoli
Tüm 6 karşılaşmayı gör — Premium

Monza — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H Atalanta D 0 - 0
31 Oct A Bologna L 2 - 1
28 Oct H Napoli L 1 - 4
23 Oct A Torino L 3 - 2
19 Oct H Cagliari W 4 - 0

Napoli — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H Lazio D 1 - 1
04 Nov A FC Porto L 4 - 1
01 Nov A Juventus L 2 - 0
28 Oct A Monza W 1 - 4
24 Oct H AS Roma D 3 - 3

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lazio
10 9 1 0 +16 28
2
AS Roma
11 8 3 0 +21 27
3
Inter
10 8 1 1 +13 25
4
Como
10 7 2 1 +10 23
5
AC Milan
10 6 3 1 +9 21
6
Frosinone
11 6 2 3 +9 20
7
Juventus
10 5 2 3 +3 17
8
Bologna
11 5 2 4 +2 17
9
Cagliari
11 5 1 5 -5 16
10
Napoli
10 4 2 4 +4 14
11
Torino
11 4 2 5 -2 14
12
Genoa
10 4 1 5 -4 13
13
Atalanta
10 3 2 5 -4 11
14
Lecce
11 3 1 7 -10 10
15
Fiorentina
10 2 2 6 -8 8
16
Parma
11 2 2 7 -8 8
17
Sassuolo
11 2 2 7 -13 8
18
Monza
10 2 1 7 -7 7
19
Venezia
11 2 0 9 -13 6
20
Udinese
11 1 2 8 -13 5

Napoli

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: M. Allegri
32 Milinković-Savić
17 Olivera
16 Marín
13 Rrahmani
22 Lorenzo
8 McTominay
68 Lobotka
99 Anguissa
70 Lang
19 Højlund
21 Politano

Starting XI

# Player Pos
32 V. Milinković-Savić G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
13 Amir Rrahmani D
16 Rafa Marín D
17 M. Olivera D
99 A. Zambo Anguissa M
68 S. Lobotka M
8 S. McTominay M
21 M. Politano F
19 R. Højlund F
70 N. Lang F

Substitutes

1 A. Meret G
35 Luca Marianucci D
20 L. Lucca F
23 Giovane F
6 B. Gilmour M
11 K. De Bruyne M
14 N. Contini G
31 S. Beukema D
26 A. Vergara M

Monza

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: I. Juric
1 Törnqvist
3 Lucchesi
2 Goglichidze
19 Birindelli
7 Mangas
21 Colombo
8 Ondoa
24 Bakoune
46 Robinson
16 Ngonge
9 Varela

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 N. Törnqvist G
19 S. Birindelli D
2 S. Goglichidze D
3 L. Lucchesi D
24 A. Bakoune M
8 M. Ondoa M
21 L. Colombo M
7 Ricardo Mangas M
16 C. Ngonge M
46 Jay Robinson M
9 Gustavo Varela F

Substitutes

27 I. Touré M
14 E. Akinsanmiro M
22 E. Zeballos F
20 D. Thiam G
6 V. Antov D
44 A. Carboni D
26 P. Ciurria F
28 A. Colpani M
10 P. Cutrone F
11 O. Forson F
60 E. Kouadio D
47 Dany Mota F
80 M. Mout M
43 A. Strajnar G

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