Atalanta vs Venezia Tahmin

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 6
FT
Post on X
Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
Yapay zeka tahmini Zorlu Atalanta galibiyet veya beraberlik
60%
23%
17%
Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

Atalanta - Venezia tahmini: Sportiko, Atalanta takımına %60 kazanma olasılığı, Venezia takımına %17 ve beraberliğe %23 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 12 Oct 2026, 18:23.

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Match Report

Atalanta secured a comfortable 3–1 victory over Venezia in Serie A's sixth matchday, with the contest effectively settled inside the first half. The opening exchanges were breathless, with Franck Kessié putting Atalanta ahead in the fourth minute before Nikola Krstović levelled for Venezia just two minutes later. Krstović then turned provider into scorer, netting again in the 30th minute to give the visitors a surprise lead, only for Antoine Hainaut to restore parity at 37 minutes. The scoreline at the break — 3–1 to Atalanta — reflected a dramatic and relentless opening 45 minutes.

The second half was a more measured affair, with Atalanta managing the game comfortably through a series of substitutions. Venezia, despite enjoying 64% possession and generating 19 total shots, could not convert their opportunities, managing only four shots on target to Atalanta's 11.

The closing stages brought further drama when Eljif Elmas received a red card in the 89th minute following a VAR review that upgraded his original booking. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Atalanta win as the most likely outcome at 60%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Franck Kessié assist: Nikola Krstović
4' ⚽ 1–0
Nikola Krstović assist: Eljif Elmas
6' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 8'
Thierry Correia ⇄ Richie Sagrado
▮ 18'
Matias Moreno Yellow Card
Nikola Krstović
30' ⚽ 3–0
⚽ 3–1 37'
Antoine Hainaut assist: Richie Sagrado
▮ 42'
Juan Jesus Yellow Card
HT 3–1
Charles De Ketelaere ⇄ Lazar Samardžić
60' ⇄
Giorgio Scalvini ⇄ Sead Kolašinac
67' ⇄
Raoul Bellanova ⇄ Lorenzo Bernasconi
67' ⇄
Jonathan Rowe ⇄ Nicola Zalewski
76' ⇄
Franck Kessié ⇄ Gianluca Gaetano
76' ⇄
⇄ 83'
Toma Bašić ⇄ Þórir Jóhann Helgason
⇄ 83'
Matias Moreno ⇄ Joel Schingtienne
⇄ 83'
Akor Adams ⇄ Lion Lauberbach
⇄ 87'
Simon Sohm ⇄ Albion Rrahmani
Eljif Elmas Card upgrade confirmed
88' 🖵
Eljif Elmas Red Card
89' ▮
FT 3–1
Atalanta

Match Stats

Venezia
36% Ball Possession 64%
2.16 Expected Goals (xG) 2.44
22 Total Shots 19
11 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 9
5 Blocked Shots 6
16 Shots insidebox 10
6 Shots outsidebox 8
8 Corner Kicks 7
0 Offsides 5
14 Fouls 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 7
331 Total passes 578
275 Passes accurate 524
6 Free Kicks 10
Atalanta
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
90 Nikola Krstović F 8.8 90' 2 1 7 23 (18%) 1
19 Franck Kessié M 7.8 76' 1 – 2 39 (32%) –
99 Eljif Elmas M 7.2 89' – 1 1 30 (28%) –
17 Charles De Ketelaere M 7.0 60' – – 1 22 (19%) –
16 Raoul Bellanova D 6.9 67' – – – 28 (23%) –
10 Lazar Samardžić M 6.9 30' – – – 11 (11%) 1
13 Éderson M 6.8 90' – – 2 33 (30%) 2
29 Marco Carnesecchi G 6.7 90' – – – 35 (20%) –
42 Giorgio Scalvini D 6.7 67' – – – 27 (25%) 1
77 Davide Zappacosta D 6.6 90' – – 3 23 (19%) 3
47 Lorenzo Bernasconi D 6.6 23' – – – 10 (9%) –
31 Thomas Kristensen D 6.6 90' – – 2 18 (13%) 1
23 Sead Kolašinac D 6.4 23' – – – 3 (3%) –
11 Jonathan Rowe M 6.4 76' – – 3 19 (16%) –
59 Nicola Zalewski M 6.3 14' – – 1 1 (1%) 1
70 Gianluca Gaetano M 6.3 14' – – – 8 (7%) –
Venezia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
18 Antoine Hainaut M 7.9 90' 1 – 2 45 (42%) 2
1 Filip Stanković G 7.2 90' – – – 45 (39%) –
20 Richie Sagrado D 7.0 82' – 1 1 32 (32%) –
71 Kike Pérez M 6.9 90' – – 2 73 (67%) 1
26 Toma Bašić M 6.8 83' – – 2 48 (40%) 1
19 Simon Sohm M 6.6 87' – – – 74 (69%) 3
7 Albion Rrahmani F 6.5 3' – – 1 4 (3%) –
10 John Yeboah F 6.4 90' – – 5 38 (31%) 1
15 Juan Jesus D 6.4 90' – – – 68 (65%) 2
45 Akor Adams F 6.3 83' – – 4 12 (10%) –
25 Redouane Halhal D 6.2 90' – – 1 62 (59%) 2
29 Lion Lauberbach F 6.2 7' – – – 2 (2%) –
3 Joel Schingtienne D 5.9 7' – – 1 9 (9%) –
21 Þórir Jóhann Helgason M 5.8 7' – – – 16 (14%) –
14 Thierry Correia M 5.8 8' – – – – –
2 Matias Moreno D 5.6 83' – – – 49 (41%) –
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Atalanta vs Venezia maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç

  • 70'ten fazla olasılık kategorisinin tamamı
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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Bizim analizimiz
Zorlu Atalanta galibiyet veya beraberlik
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Atalanta
DLDDL
Venezia
WLLLW
Last 3 meetings Atalanta · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Atalanta will face Venezia in a Serie A clash on October 11, 2026. Atalanta has shown strong offensive capabilities, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season, while Venezia has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. With Atalanta's high possession rate of 60% and effective pressing, they will likely dominate the midfield battle. Venezia will need to focus on quick counter-attacks to exploit any gaps in Atalanta's defense. The match could hinge on Atalanta’s ability to break down a potentially compact Venezia formation.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
60%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
17%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Atalanta
N. Krstović 6 gls
Venezia

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Atalanta vs Venezia

2 Atalanta Wins
1 Draws
0 Venezia Wins
Date Home Score Away
01 Mar 2025 Atalanta 0 - 0 Venezia
20 Oct 2024 Venezia 0 - 2 Atalanta
23 Apr 2022 Venezia 1 - 3 Atalanta
Tüm 4 karşılaşmayı gör — Premium

Atalanta — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Kairat Almaty D 1 - 1
02 Nov H Parma L 0 - 3
29 Oct A Fiorentina D 2 - 2
25 Oct H Frosinone D 4 - 4
22 Oct A Ajax L 2 - 0

Venezia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov H Udinese W 2 - 1
01 Nov A Como L 1 - 0
28 Oct H Inter L 0 - 2
25 Oct A Genoa L 1 - 0
17 Oct H Napoli W 1 - 0

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lazio
10 9 1 0 +16 28
2
AS Roma
11 8 3 0 +21 27
3
Inter
10 8 1 1 +13 25
4
Como
10 7 2 1 +10 23
5
AC Milan
10 6 3 1 +9 21
6
Frosinone
11 6 2 3 +9 20
7
Juventus
10 5 2 3 +3 17
8
Bologna
11 5 2 4 +2 17
9
Cagliari
11 5 1 5 -5 16
10
Napoli
10 4 2 4 +4 14
11
Torino
11 4 2 5 -2 14
12
Genoa
10 4 1 5 -4 13
13
Atalanta
10 3 2 5 -4 11
14
Lecce
11 3 1 7 -10 10
15
Fiorentina
10 2 2 6 -8 8
16
Parma
11 2 2 7 -8 8
17
Sassuolo
11 2 2 7 -13 8
18
Monza
10 2 1 7 -7 7
19
Venezia
11 2 0 9 -13 6
20
Udinese
11 1 2 8 -13 5

Atalanta

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Sarri
29 Carnesecchi
77 Zappacosta
42 Scalvini
31 Kristensen
16 Bellanova
13 Éderson
19 Kessié
11 Rowe
17 Ketelaere
99 Elmas
90 Krstović

Starting XI

# Player Pos
29 M. Carnesecchi G
16 R. Bellanova D
31 T. Kristensen D
42 G. Scalvini D
77 D. Zappacosta D
19 F. Kessié M
13 Éderson M
99 E. Elmas M
17 C. De Ketelaere M
11 J. Rowe M
90 N. Krstović F

Substitutes

59 N. Zalewski M
57 M. Sportiello G
51 M. Sonzogni G
9 G. Scamacca F
10 L. Samardžić M
18 G. Raspadori F
8 Mario Pasalic M
40 R. Obrić D
23 S. Kolašinac D
41 J. Idele M
70 G. Gaetano M
47 L. Bernasconi D

Venezia

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: G. Stroppa
1 Stanković
2 Moreno
15 Jesus
25 Halhal
14 Correia
26 Bašić
19 Sohm
71 Pérez
18 Hainaut
45 Adams
10 Yeboah

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 F. Stanković G
25 R. Halhal D
15 Juan Jesus D
2 M. Moreno D
18 A. Hainaut M
71 Kike Pérez M
19 S. Sohm M
26 T. Bašić M
14 Thierry Correia M
10 J. Yeboah F
45 A. Adams F

Substitutes

77 Toni Fernández M
3 J. Schingtienne D
95 A. Gomes D
5 R. Haps D
21 Þ. Helgason M
29 L. Lauberbach F
56 K. Lisman F
16 R. Mohammed D
96 L. Montipò G
55 S. Panada M
7 A. Rrahmani F
20 R. Sagrado D
8 Lamine Dabo M
30 M. Dagasso M
36 Lorenzo Berardi M

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