SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 Tahmin

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8
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URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg
Yapay zeka tahmini FSV Mainz 05 veya beraberlik
29%
26%
46%
Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

SV Elversberg - FSV Mainz 05 tahmini: Sportiko, SV Elversberg takımına %29 kazanma olasılığı, FSV Mainz 05 takımına %46 ve beraberliğe %26 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 30 Oct 2026, 21:25.

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Match Report

SV Elversberg produced a stunning first-half display to dismantle Bundesliga visitors FSV Mainz 05, racing into a commanding 3–0 lead by the interval. Felix Keidel opened the scoring as early as the seventh minute, with Francis Onyeka doubling the advantage on 26 minutes before Maurice Krattenmacher added a third just before the break. Despite Mainz enjoying 54% possession and generating the better expected goals figure of 1.02 to Elversberg's 0.45, the home side were ruthlessly clinical in front of goal.

The second half brought further drama, as a Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer effort was ruled out by VAR on 65 minutes before the winger was booked a decade later. Elversberg continued to press and were rewarded with two late goals — Cole Campbell on 90 minutes and B. Hollerbach in stoppage time — to seal an emphatic 4–1 victory. Stefan Posch's red card deep into injury time capped a miserable evening for Mainz.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Mainz win as the most likely outcome at 46%, a call that proved well wide of the mark on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 4'
Phillipp Mwene Yellow Card
Felix Keidel
7' ⚽ 1–0
Francis Onyeka assist: David Mokwa
26' ⚽ 2–0
▮ 33'
Danny da Costa Yellow Card
Maurice Krattenmacher
45+1' ⚽ 3–0
HT 3–0
⇄ 63'
Nadiem Amiri ⇄ B. Hollerbach
⇄ 63'
Phillip Tietz ⇄ Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer
⇄ 63'
Phillipp Mwene ⇄ Silvan Widmer
⇄ 63'
Paul Nebel ⇄ Lennard Maloney
🖵 65'
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Goal cancelled
Lasse Günther ⇄ Nicholas Mickelson
68' ⇄
▮ 75'
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Yellow Card
Francis Onyeka ⇄ Frederik Schmahl
77' ⇄
Maurice Krattenmacher ⇄ Cole Campbell
77' ⇄
▮ 85'
Stefan Posch Yellow Card
⇄ 87'
Kaishu Sano ⇄ Eric Martel
David Mokwa ⇄ Luca Schnellbacher
88' ⇄
Lukas Petkov ⇄ R. Adam
88' ⇄
Cole Campbell assist: Nicholas Mickelson
90' ⚽ 4–0
⚽ 4–1 90+2'
B. Hollerbach
▮ 90+5'
Stefan Posch Red Card
FT 4–1
SV Elversberg

Match Stats

FSV Mainz 05
54% Ball Possession 46%
1.02 Expected Goals (xG) 0.45
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 3
5 Corner Kicks 11
0 Offsides 2
8 Fouls 21
0 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
405 Total passes 334
319 Passes accurate 240
20 Free Kicks 8
SV Elversberg
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
43 Felix Keidel M 8.2 90' 1 – 3 32 (27%) –
7 Maurice Krattenmacher M 8.1 77' 1 – 1 16 (10%) 1
40 Francis Onyeka M 7.8 77' 1 – 1 12 (6%) 1
39 Cole Campbell F 7.6 13' 1 – 2 3 (2%) –
26 Luca Sirch D 7.1 90' – – – 49 (43%) 1
19 L. Pinckert D 7.1 90' – – – 67 (57%) –
42 David Mokwa F 6.9 88' – 1 2 8 (5%) –
31 Maximilian Rohr D 6.8 90' – – 1 63 (53%) –
2 Nicholas Mickelson D 6.7 22' – 1 1 7 (5%) 1
20 Nicolas Kristof G 6.6 90' – – – 48 (41%) –
8 Łukasz Poręba M 6.5 90' – – – 49 (38%) 1
15 R. Adam F 6.5 2' – – – 1 (1%) –
17 Frederik Schmahl M 6.4 13' – – – – –
25 Lukas Petkov M 6.3 88' – – 2 18 (11%) 1
24 Luca Schnellbacher M 6.3 2' – – – 4 (4%) –
21 Lasse Günther D 6.1 68' – – – 33 (21%) 2
FSV Mainz 05
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 B. Hollerbach F 7.2 27' 1 – 1 7 (5%) –
10 Nadiem Amiri M 6.6 63' – – – 33 (28%) –
9 Phillip Tietz F 6.3 63' – – 1 20 (11%) –
23 Sheraldo Becker F 6.2 90' – – 2 17 (14%) –
5 Eric Martel M 6.1 3' – – – – 1
11 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F 6.0 27' – – 2 8 (3%) 1
48 Kacper Potulski D 5.9 90' – – 2 36 (27%) 1
8 Paul Nebel M 5.8 63' – – – 20 (15%) 2
27 Robin Zentner G 5.8 90' – – – 28 (19%) –
6 Kaishu Sano M 5.7 87' – – – 27 (20%) –
15 Lennard Maloney M 5.7 27' – – – 9 (6%) –
2 Phillipp Mwene M 5.6 63' – – – 17 (12%) –
19 Anthony Caci M 5.6 90' – – – 33 (17%) 4
30 Silvan Widmer D 5.5 27' – – – 12 (10%) –
21 Danny da Costa D 5.3 90' – – – 25 (21%) –
4 Stefan Posch D 4.8 95' – – 2 42 (32%) –
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SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç

  • 70'ten fazla olasılık kategorisinin tamamı
  • Yapay Zeka derinlemesine maç raporu
  • Seçtiğiniz tahmin türleri
Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Bizim analizimiz
FSV Mainz 05 veya beraberlik
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SV Elversberg
LWLLW
FSV Mainz 05
LLLLW

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, SV Elversberg will face FSV Mainz 05. Elversberg has demonstrated resilience this season, averaging 1.2 goals per match while maintaining a solid defensive record with a 1.1 goals conceded per game. Meanwhile, Mainz 05 has struggled with consistency, scoring an average of 1.0 goals per match and conceding 1.5. The match will be critical for both teams as they seek to improve their standings, with Elversberg looking to leverage their attacking potential against a Mainz side that has shown vulnerability in defense.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
29%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
46%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

SV Elversberg
M. Krattenmacher 4 gls
FSV Mainz 05
P. Tietz 5 gls
A. Caci 3 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

SV Elversberg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Borussia Dortmund L 2 - 1
30 Oct H FSV Mainz 05 W 4 - 1
27 Oct H SV Darmstadt 98 L 0 - 2
24 Oct A RB Leipzig L 4 - 0
17 Oct H FC Augsburg W 4 - 3

FSV Mainz 05 — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Bayern München L 1 - 2
30 Oct A SV Elversberg L 4 - 1
27 Oct A VfL Bochum L 2 - 0
24 Oct H Werder Bremen L 2 - 3
17 Oct A FC Schalke 04 W 0 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München
9 6 3 0 +20 21
2
Borussia Dortmund
9 6 3 0 +9 21
3
RB Leipzig
9 6 0 3 +14 18
4
SC Freiburg
8 5 1 2 +8 16
5
Werder Bremen
9 4 3 2 +2 15
6
Bayer Leverkusen
8 4 1 3 +2 13
7
SV Elversberg
9 4 1 4 -1 13
8
VfB Stuttgart
9 4 0 5 0 12
9
Eintracht Frankfurt
9 3 3 3 -5 12
10
Hamburger SV
9 4 0 5 -10 12
11
FSV Mainz 05
9 3 1 5 -1 10
12
SC Paderborn 07
9 2 4 3 -3 10
13
FC Augsburg
9 2 3 4 0 9
14
1899 Hoffenheim
8 3 0 5 -2 9
15
1. FC Köln
8 2 3 3 -3 9
16
Union Berlin
8 1 4 3 -12 7
17
FC Schalke 04
8 1 3 4 -5 6
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9 1 1 7 -13 4

FSV Mainz 05

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: U. Fischer
27 Zentner
48 Potulski
4 Posch
21 Costa
2 Mwene
10 Amiri
6 Sano
8 Nebel
19 Caci
9 Tietz
23 Becker

Starting XI

# Player Pos
27 R. Zentner G
21 D. da Costa D
4 S. Posch D
48 K. Potulski D
19 A. Caci M
8 P. Nebel M
6 K. Sano M
10 N. Amiri M
2 P. Mwene M
23 S. Becker F
9 P. Tietz F

Substitutes

30 S. Widmer D
1 A. Schwolow G
5 E. Martel M
15 L. Maloney M
7 Lee Jae-Sung M
11 R. Königsdörffer F
17 B. Hollerbach F
3 F. Gruber D
16 S. Bell D

SV Elversberg

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: V. Wagner
20 Kristof
21 Günther
31 Rohr
19 Pinckert
26 Sirch
8 Poręba
43 Keidel
7 Krattenmacher
40 Onyeka
25 Petkov
42 Mokwa

Starting XI

# Player Pos
20 N. Kristof G
26 L. Sirch D
19 L. Pinckert D
31 M. Rohr D
21 L. Günther D
43 F. Keidel M
8 Ł. Poręba M
25 L. Petkov M
40 Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka M
7 M. Krattenmacher M
42 D. Mokwa F

Substitutes

15 R. Adam F
28 T. Boss G
39 William Cole Campbell F
6 A. Condé M
9 N. Futkeu F
3 F. Le Joncour D
2 N. Mickelson D
17 F. Schmahl M
24 L. Schnellbacher M

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