Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund Tahmin
Bayern München - Borussia Dortmund tahmini: Sportiko, Bayern München takımına %72 kazanma olasılığı, Borussia Dortmund takımına %11 ve beraberliğe %17 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 31 Oct 2026, 19:30.
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Premium- 2.5 Üzeri Gol 74%
- 2nd Half Over 1.5 72%
Match Report
Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund played out a dramatic 2–2 draw in Bundesliga Matchday 8, though the xG figures — 3.95 to 0.65 in Bayern's favour — tell the story of a match the hosts dominated without converting their superiority into victory. Konrad Laimer broke the deadlock on 38 minutes to give Bayern a 1–0 half-time lead, a scoreline that had looked more comfortable after Jobe Bellingham saw an early goal ruled out by VAR. Harry Kane had the chance to double the advantage from the penalty spot on 56 minutes but missed, a moment that would prove costly.
Dortmund hit back through Serhou Guirassy on 60 minutes to level, only for Dayot Upamecano to restore Bayern's lead just six minutes later. The hosts appeared set for three points, but substitute Fábio Silva equalised in the 89th minute to snatch a share of the spoils for the visitors.
Despite the draw, Bayern's pre-match AI model rating of 72% for a home win reflected their clear dominance across the 90 minutes, even if the final scoreline failed to reward it.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Bayern München
Match Stats
Bayern München
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Dayot Upamecano D | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 58 (53%) | 2 |
| 27 Konrad Laimer D | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 5 | 52 (43%) | 1 |
| 19 Alphonso Davies D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (39%) | 1 |
| 3 Kim Min-jae D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 63 (57%) | 3 |
| 45 Aleksandar Pavlović M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 86 (82%) | 2 |
| 9 Harry Kane F | 6.8 | 90' | – | 1 | 6 | 24 (14%) | – |
| 40 Jonas Urbig G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (31%) | – |
| 6 Joshua Kimmich M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 90 (74%) | 1 |
| 17 Michael Olise M | 6.4 | 84' | – | – | 5 | 46 (36%) | – |
| 44 Josip Stanišić D | 6.4 | 59' | – | – | – | 50 (48%) | 2 |
| 42 Lennart Karl M | 6.1 | 6' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 7 S. Gnabry M | 6.1 | 31' | – | – | – | 18 (15%) | – |
| 11 Nathaniel Brown D | 6.0 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 16 (10%) | – |
| 34 Ismael Saibari M | 5.8 | 29' | – | – | 2 | 5 (4%) | 1 |
Borussia Dortmund
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Fábio Silva F | 8.2 | 14' | 1 | – | 3 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 9 Serhou Guirassy F | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 34 (30%) | – |
| 4 Nico Schlotterbeck D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 69 (59%) | 4 |
| 17 Carney Chukwuemeka M | 6.7 | 67' | – | 1 | 2 | 34 (28%) | 1 |
| 22 Joane Gadou D | 6.6 | 87' | – | – | – | 53 (44%) | 5 |
| 40 Samuele Inacio F | 6.5 | 3' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 8 Felix Nmecha M | 6.4 | 76' | – | – | 2 | 31 (27%) | 1 |
| 1 Gregor Kobel G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (16%) | – |
| 25 Joey Veerman M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (48%) | 1 |
| 7 Jobe Bellingham M | 6.2 | 87' | – | – | 3 | 31 (27%) | 1 |
| 3 Waldemar Anton D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (45%) | 1 |
| 14 Maximilian Beier M | 6.1 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 16 (13%) | 1 |
| 20 Marcel Sabitzer M | 6.0 | 23' | – | – | – | 5 (2%) | – |
| 24 Daniel Svensson M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (34%) | 3 |
| 19 Konstantinos Karetsas M | 5.8 | 23' | – | 1 | – | 11 (8%) | – |
| 26 Julian Ryerson D | 5.7 | 3' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
M. Olise
6 gls
L. Díaz
4 gls
H. Kane
4 gls
S. Guirassy
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 - 2 | Bayern München |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Borussia Dortmund | 2 - 3 | Bayern München |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Bayern München | 2 - 1 | Borussia Dortmund |
Bayern München — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A FSV Mainz 05 | W | 1 - 2 |
| 03 Nov | A Atletico Madrid | W | 0 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | H Borussia Dortmund | D | 2 - 2 |
| 28 Oct | H 1. FC Magdeburg | W | 6 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | A SC Freiburg | W | 1 - 3 |
Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H SV Elversberg | W | 2 - 1 |
| 04 Nov | H Real Betis | W | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A Bayern München | D | 2 - 2 |
| 27 Oct | H Werder Bremen | W | 3 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | H Eintracht Frankfurt | W | 1 - 0 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 18 |
| 4 |
SC Freiburg
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Werder Bremen
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 |
Hamburger SV
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |
FC Augsburg
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |
Union Berlin
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |
FC Schalke 04
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
Bayern München
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: V. Kompany
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | J. Urbig | G |
| 27 | K. Laimer | D |
| 2 | D. Upamecano | D |
| 3 | Kim Min-Jae | D |
| 19 | A. Davies | D |
| 6 | J. Kimmich | M |
| 45 | A. Pavlović | M |
| 17 | M. Olise | M |
| 34 | I. Saibari | M |
| 7 | S. Gnabry | M |
| 9 | H. Kane | F |
Substitutes
| 26 | S. Ulreich | G |
| 4 | J. Tah | D |
| 44 | J. Stanišić | D |
| 42 | L. Karl | M |
| 21 | H. Ito | D |
| 11 | N. Brown | D |
| 23 | S. Boey | D |
| 8 | T. Bischof | M |
| 46 | T. Binder | F |
Borussia Dortmund
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: N. Kovač
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Kobel | G |
| 22 | Kouakou Joane Gadou | D |
| 3 | W. Anton | D |
| 4 | N. Schlotterbeck | D |
| 14 | M. Beier | M |
| 25 | J. Veerman | M |
| 8 | F. Nmecha | M |
| 24 | D. Svensson | M |
| 7 | J. Bellingham | M |
| 17 | C. Chukwuemeka | M |
| 9 | S. Guirassy | F |
Substitutes
| 21 | Fábio Silva | F |
| 20 | M. Sabitzer | M |
| 26 | J. Ryerson | D |
| 18 | E. Nwaneri | M |
| 33 | A. Meyer | G |
| 39 | F. Mané | D |
| 19 | K. Karetsas | M |
| 40 | S. Inacio | F |
| 5 | R. Bensebaïni | D |