Rayo Vallecano vs Elche Tahmin

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 10
FT
Post on X
Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid
Yapay zeka tahmini Zorlu Rayo Vallecano galibiyet veya beraberlik
53%
27%
20%
Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

Rayo Vallecano - Elche tahmini: Sportiko, Rayo Vallecano takımına %53 kazanma olasılığı, Elche takımına %20 ve beraberliğe %27 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 24 Oct 2026, 14:03.

Premium tahminler

Premium
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
  • 3.5 Altı Gol 71%
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Match Report

Elche claimed a commanding 3-0 victory at Rayo Vallecano in matchday 10 of La Liga, with the game's decisive moments arriving in a chaotic first half. Federico Redondo opened the scoring from the penalty spot on 23 minutes, and Elche doubled their lead through Fernando Niño with another penalty on 36 minutes following VAR confirmation of a foul involving Thomas Lemar. Rayo had the chance to respond when Pathé Ismaël Ciss stepped up to take a spot-kick of their own on 39 minutes, but he missed, leaving the hosts two goals adrift at the break.

The second half offered little improvement for Rayo, despite their 57% possession. Germán Valera added a third for Elche on 68 minutes to put the result beyond doubt. Elche's expected goals figure of 2.63 against Rayo's 1.58 underlined their clinical edge on the night.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Rayo win as the most likely outcome at 53%, a call that proved well wide of the mark as Elche delivered a disciplined and efficient performance away from home.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 10'
Javi Morcillo Yellow Card
⚽ 0–1 23'
Federico Redondo Penalty
▮ 30'
Gonzalo Villar Yellow Card
▮ 30'
Federico Redondo Yellow Card
🖵 33'
Thomas Lemar Penalty confirmed
Pathé Ismaël Ciss Yellow Card
35' ▮
⚽ 0–2 36'
Fernando Niño Penalty
Pathé Ismaël Ciss Missed Penalty
39' ✗
⇄ 45'
Gonzalo Villar ⇄ Facundo Buonanotte
Jorge de Frutos ⇄ Georgiy Tsitaishvili
45' ⇄
Sergio Camello ⇄ Alemão
45' ⇄
HT 0–2
Adrià Pedrosa Yellow Card
54' ▮
Adrià Pedrosa ⇄ Jozhua Vertrouwd
60' ⇄
Pedro Díaz ⇄ Isi Palazón
60' ⇄
⇄ 61'
Fernando Niño ⇄ Abiel Osorio
⚽ 0–3 68'
Germán Valera assist: Facundo Buonanotte
⇄ 72'
Thomas Lemar ⇄ Martim Neto
⇄ 72'
Lucas Cepeda ⇄ Tete Morente
Iván Balliu ⇄ Gnangoro Bouaré
76' ⇄
Álvaro García Yellow Card
81' ▮
⇄ 83'
Federico Redondo ⇄ Pedro Bigas
FT 0–3
Rayo Vallecano

Match Stats

Elche
57% Ball Possession 43%
1.58 Expected Goals (xG) 2.63
18 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Goal 9
10 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 8
10 Shots outsidebox 8
3 Corner Kicks 3
4 Offsides 2
15 Fouls 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
6 Goalkeeper Saves 4
493 Total passes 388
436 Passes accurate 319
9 Free Kicks 15
Rayo Vallecano
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Unai López M 7.2 90' – – 2 86 (78%) 3
15 Mujaid Sadick D 6.8 90' – – 1 60 (57%) –
25 Emil Audero G 6.7 90' – – – 31 (27%) –
36 Gnangoro Bouaré M 6.7 14' – – 2 21 (20%) –
24 Florian Lejeune D 6.5 90' – – 3 84 (79%) 1
14 Georgiy Tsitaishvili F 6.4 44' – – 3 14 (13%) –
20 Iván Balliu D 6.4 76' – – – 30 (26%) 2
6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss M 6.3 90' – – 1 41 (39%) 2
9 Alemão F 6.2 44' – – – 7 (4%) –
10 Sergio Camello F 6.1 46' – – 1 18 (16%) 1
33 Jozhua Vertrouwd D 6.0 30' – – – 8 (7%) 2
17 Adrià Pedrosa D 6.0 60' – – 1 29 (25%) 1
7 Isi Palazón M 5.8 30' – – – 18 (16%) –
19 Jorge de Frutos F 5.8 46' – – – 2 (1%) –
4 Pedro Díaz M 5.7 60' – – 3 14 (9%) 1
18 Álvaro García F 5.4 90' – – 1 29 (19%) 2
Elche
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Matías Dituro G 7.9 90' – – – 39 (26%) –
11 Germán Valera F 7.9 90' 1 – 2 26 (23%) 2
3 Roy Revivo D 7.7 90' – – 1 20 (18%) –
2 Buba Sangare D 7.6 90' – – – 20 (17%) 4
47 Javi Morcillo M 7.4 90' – – 1 42 (39%) 1
5 Federico Redondo D 7.3 83' 1 – 1 33 (29%) –
18 Thomas Lemar M 7.2 72' – – 1 39 (36%) 2
23 Víctor Chust D 7.2 90' – – – 47 (38%) 1
10 Facundo Buonanotte M 7.1 44' – 1 – 24 (19%) –
6 Pedro Bigas D 7.0 7' – – – – –
16 Martim Neto M 6.9 18' – – 1 6 (5%) 1
14 Fernando Niño F 6.9 61' 1 – 3 17 (10%) –
21 Lucas Cepeda F 6.8 72' – – 3 28 (25%) 1
20 Tete Morente F 6.7 18' – – 2 15 (10%) 1
12 Gonzalo Villar M 6.7 46' – – 1 24 (17%) 1
24 Abiel Osorio F 6.5 29' – – – 8 (7%) 1
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Rayo Vallecano vs Elche maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç

  • 70'ten fazla olasılık kategorisinin tamamı
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  • Seçtiğiniz tahmin türleri
Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Bizim analizimiz
Zorlu Rayo Vallecano galibiyet veya beraberlik
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Rayo Vallecano
WWLDD
Elche
LWWDD
Last 3 meetings Rayo Vallecano · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Rayo Vallecano will face Elche. Rayo has shown a strong home record, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per game this season, while Elche has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per match. Both teams have fluctuated in form, but Rayo's attacking prowess may prove decisive. Key player performances will be critical, especially from Rayo's forwards, who can exploit Elche’s defensive vulnerabilities. Overall, Rayo Vallecano will look to capitalize on their strengths to secure a vital three points.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
53%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
20%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Rayo Vallecano
Sergio Camello 7 gls
Elche
Fer Niño 6 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Rayo Vallecano vs Elche

1 Rayo Vallecano Wins
0 Draws
2 Elche Wins
Date Home Score Away
03 Apr 2026 Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Elche
21 Dec 2025 Elche 4 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
29 Apr 2023 Elche 4 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Tüm 10 karşılaşmayı gör — Premium

Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
31 Oct H Celta Vigo W 3 - 0
27 Oct A Recreativo Huelva W 2 - 3
24 Oct H Elche L 0 - 3
19 Oct A Getafe D 1 - 1
19 Sep A Osasuna D 1 - 1

Elche — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
01 Nov H Valencia L 0 - 1
27 Oct A Pinatar W 1 - 3
24 Oct A Rayo Vallecano W 0 - 3
17 Oct A Villarreal D 0 - 0
11 Oct H Celta Vigo D 0 - 0

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
11 10 0 1 +34 30
2
Real Madrid
12 10 0 2 +21 30
3
Atletico Madrid
11 9 1 1 +14 28
4
Real Betis
11 7 2 2 +3 23
5
Real Sociedad
11 6 1 4 0 19
6
Sevilla
12 5 3 4 -2 18
7
Athletic Club
11 4 4 3 +4 16
8
Deportivo La Coruna
12 3 6 3 +1 15
9
Racing Santander
12 4 2 6 -13 14
10
Alaves
12 3 4 5 -2 13
11
Villarreal
11 3 3 5 0 12
12
Celta Vigo
11 2 6 3 0 12
13
Espanyol
12 3 3 6 -1 12
14
Rayo Vallecano
10 3 3 4 -5 12
15
Getafe
11 3 3 5 -8 12
16
Osasuna
12 3 3 6 -11 12
17
Elche
11 2 4 5 -4 10
18
Levante
11 2 4 5 -5 10
19
Valencia
12 2 3 7 -12 9
20
Malaga
12 0 5 7 -14 5

Rayo Vallecano

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Beñat San José
25 Audero
17 Pedrosa
15 Sadick
24 Lejeune
20 Balliu
8 López
6 Ciss
4 Díaz
18 García
10 Camello
19 Frutos

Starting XI

# Player Pos
25 E. Audero G
20 I. Balliu D
24 F. Lejeune D
15 Mujaid Sadick D
17 Adrià Pedrosa D
4 Pedro Díaz M
6 P. Ciss M
8 Unai López M
19 Jorge de Frutos F
10 Sergio Camello F
18 Álvaro García F

Substitutes

37 Rayane Belid F
34 Iván Alonso Martín M
36 G. Bouare M
22 Pelayo Fernández D
3 M. Kumbulla D
30 Adrián Molina G
7 Isi Palazón M
21 Fran Pérez F
14 G. Tsitaishvili F
23 Óscar Valentín M
33 J. Vertrouwd D
9 Alemão F

Elche

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: M. Anselmi
1 Dituro
3 Revivo
23 Chust
5 Redondo
2 Sangaré
18 Lemar
47 Morcillo
12 Villar
11 Valera
14 Niño
21 Cepeda

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 M. Dituro G
2 Buba Sangaré D
5 F. Redondo D
23 Víctor Chust D
3 R. Revivo D
12 Gonzalo Villar M
47 J. Morcillo M
18 T. Lemar M
21 L. Cepeda F
14 Fer Niño F
11 Germán Valera F

Substitutes

6 Bigas D
10 F. Buonanotte M
16 Martim Neto M
19 G. Diangana F
17 Josan M
13 Alejandro Iturbe G
15 K. Lomónaco D
20 Tete Morente F
24 A. Osorio F
9 E. Ponce F
22 Rubén Sánchez D
26 Matia Barzic Gutiérrez D

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