Alaves vs Malaga Tahmin
Alaves - Malaga tahmini: Sportiko, Alaves takımına %57 kazanma olasılığı, Malaga takımına %16 ve beraberliğe %27 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 23 Oct 2026, 20:56.
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Match Report
Malaga made the brighter start and were rewarded just before half-time when Adrián Niño Heredia struck in the 44th minute, a goal confirmed by VAR, to give the visitors a deserved lead at the break. Alaves had struggled to impose themselves despite enjoying the lion's share of possession, and a yellow card for Lucas Boyé in the 39th minute had added to the home side's frustrations.
The second half saw Alaves push with greater urgency, backed by a string of substitutions as the hosts looked to turn their territorial dominance into something more tangible. Their pressure was reflected in the numbers — 63% possession, 18 total shots and an expected goals figure of 1.88 compared to Malaga's 0.63 — and it eventually told when Aitor Mañas equalised in the 89th minute to rescue a point.
The late leveller meant Alaves avoided defeat, which aligned with the pre-match assessment from our AI model that had rated a home win as the most likely outcome at 57%. A share of the spoils, however, was ultimately all either side could claim from a hard-fought encounter.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Alaves
Match Stats
Alaves
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aitor Mañas F | 8.2 | 15' | 1 | – | 2 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 11 Toni Martínez F | 7.4 | 24' | – | – | 3 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 7 Ángel Pérez D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 23 (20%) | 2 |
| 4 Denis Suarez M | 7.0 | 35' | – | – | – | 30 (28%) | 1 |
| 16 Ville Koski D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 73 (64%) | 1 |
| 1 Antonio Sivera G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (20%) | – |
| 12 Hugo Novoa F | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 24 (23%) | 4 |
| 8 Antonio Blanco M | 6.7 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 47 (41%) | 2 |
| 10 Carles Aleñá M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 14 Nahuel Tenaglia D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 49 (43%) | 5 |
| 3 Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim D | 6.5 | 35' | – | – | 1 | 21 (18%) | – |
| 15 Lucas Boyé F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 14 (8%) | – |
| 9 Mariano Diaz F | 6.4 | 66' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 2 Nicolás Valentini D | 6.3 | 55' | – | – | – | 46 (35%) | 1 |
| 19 Pablo Ibáñez M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 40 (38%) | 5 |
| 21 Abderrahman Rebbach D | 6.1 | 55' | – | – | – | 14 (9%) | 3 |
Malaga
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Adrián Niño Heredia F | 8.1 | 77' | 1 | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 6 Ramón Enríquez M | 7.3 | 68' | – | 1 | – | 46 (40%) | – |
| 4 Einar Galilea D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (49%) | 1 |
| 3 Carlos Puga D | 6.9 | 77' | – | – | – | 41 (34%) | 8 |
| 31 Rafa Garrido D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 66 (62%) | 1 |
| 9 Chupete F | 6.8 | 13' | – | – | 1 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 2 J. Cajuste M | 6.6 | 3' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 10 David Larrubia M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (34%) | 2 |
| 12 Jose Salinas D | 6.4 | 22' | – | – | 1 | 8 (8%) | 2 |
| 25 Juan Berrocal D | 6.4 | 13' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | 1 |
| 15 Ángel Recio D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (44%) | 1 |
| 22 Dani Lorenzo M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (30%) | 5 |
| 39 Adam Aznou M | 6.1 | 68' | – | – | – | 13 (7%) | 3 |
| 8 Carlos Dotor M | 6.1 | 87' | – | – | 2 | 43 (36%) | 2 |
| 14 Rafa Rodriguez M | 6.0 | 22' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 1 Alfonso Herrero G | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (19%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
L. Boyé
5 gls
M. Díaz
4 gls
Adrián Niño Heredia
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Alaves vs Malaga
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May 2018 | Malaga | 0 - 3 | Alaves |
| 21 Dec 2017 | Alaves | 1 - 0 | Malaga |
| 11 Mar 2017 | Malaga | 1 - 2 | Alaves |
Alaves — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | A Sevilla | D | 0 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Barcelona | L | 6 - 1 |
| 23 Oct | H Malaga | D | 1 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Celta Vigo | L | 2 - 1 |
| 10 Oct | H Atletico Madrid | L | 1 - 2 |
Malaga — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Racing Santander | L | 1 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Real Betis | L | 2 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | A Alcazar | W | 0 - 3 |
| 23 Oct | A Alaves | D | 1 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | H Real Sociedad | L | 2 - 5 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 12 | +34 | 30 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |
Atletico Madrid
|
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 28 |
| 4 |
Real Betis
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |
Real Sociedad
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 |
Sevilla
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |
Athletic Club
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |
Racing Santander
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 14 |
| 10 |
Alaves
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |
Villarreal
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 |
Celta Vigo
|
11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 |
Espanyol
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 |
Osasuna
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |
Elche
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 |
Levante
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 5 |
Alaves
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sivera | G |
| 7 | Angel Pérez | D |
| 14 | N. Tenaglia | D |
| 16 | V. Koski | D |
| 2 | N. Valentini | D |
| 21 | A. Rebbach | D |
| 19 | Pablo Ibáñez | M |
| 8 | Antonio Blanco | M |
| 10 | Carles Aleñá | M |
| 15 | L. Boyé | F |
| 9 | M. Díaz | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | C. Benavídez | M |
| 4 | Denis Suárez | M |
| 22 | Miguel Rodríguez | F |
| 13 | A. Giménez | G |
| 27 | X. Olaiz | D |
| 12 | Hugo Novoa | F |
| 33 | Rubén Montero | G |
| 20 | Aitor Mañas | F |
| 11 | Toni Martínez | F |
| 3 | Yusi | D |
| 24 | Selu Diallo | M |
| 17 | Jonny | D |
Malaga
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Funes
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alfonso Herrero | G |
| 3 | Puga | D |
| 15 | Ángel Recio | D |
| 4 | Einar Galilea | D |
| 31 | Rafita | D |
| 6 | Ramón Enríquez | M |
| 10 | David Larrubia | M |
| 8 | Carlos Dotor | M |
| 22 | Dani Lorenzo | M |
| 39 | Adam Aznou Ben Cheikh | M |
| 21 | Adrián Niño Heredia | F |
Substitutes
| 2 | J. Cajuste | M |
| 23 | Izan Merino | M |
| 20 | Fernando Calero | D |
| 9 | Chupe | F |
| 17 | Eneko Jauregi | F |
| 13 | Carlos López | G |
| 5 | Álex Pastor | D |
| 14 | Rafa Rodríguez | M |
| 12 | José Salinas | D |
| 7 | H. Abaida | F |
| 32 | J. Fernandez | F |
| 25 | Juan Berrocal | D |