Valencia vs Villarreal Tahmin

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 10
FT
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Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Yapay zeka tahmini Villarreal veya beraberlik
28%
27%
45%
Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

Valencia - Villarreal tahmini: Sportiko, Valencia takımına %28 kazanma olasılığı, Villarreal takımına %45 ve beraberliğe %27 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 24 Oct 2026, 18:32.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 73%
  • Ev Sahibi Gol Atar 71%
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Match Report

Valencia fell behind early in a chaotic first half, with Pepelu converting a VAR-confirmed penalty in the 38th minute to give the hosts a 1–0 lead at the break. The opening period was feisty, seeing yellow cards for Dani Raba — who conceded the spot kick — Renato Veiga, and Ayoze Pérez, setting a combative tone that would define the afternoon.

Villarreal, who had dominated possession with 62% of the ball and attempted 19 shots across the match, turned the game around in the second half. Alexander Freeman levelled on 69 minutes before a VAR review upgraded Pape Gueye's yellow card to a red on 79 minutes, leaving Valencia a man down. The visitors capitalised on that numerical advantage when Georges Mikautadze struck deep into stoppage time to seal a 2–1 win, with H. Elliott also receiving a late red card for Valencia to compound their misery.

The result was the outcome our pre-match AI model had rated most likely at 45%. Villarreal's superiority in chances created — expected goals of 1.21 to 1.17 — ultimately proved decisive despite Valencia's greater accuracy on target.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

David Otorbi ⇄ Dani Raba
14' ⇄
Dani Raba Yellow Card
34' ▮
Dani Raba Penalty confirmed
36' 🖵
▮ 37'
Renato Veiga Yellow Card
Pepelu Penalty
38' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 43'
Ayoze Pérez Yellow Card
HT 1–0
▮ 59'
Tajon Buchanan Yellow Card
Pablo Maffeo Yellow Card
60' ▮
Guido Rodríguez Yellow Card
62' ▮
⇄ 65'
Juan Foyth ⇄ Sergi Cardona
⇄ 65'
Ilias Akhomach ⇄ Alberto Moleiro
⇄ 66'
Ayoze Pérez ⇄ Georges Mikautadze
⚽ 1–1 69'
Alexander Freeman assist: Sergi Cardona
Dani Raba ⇄ Arnau Martínez
70' ⇄
Javier Guerra ⇄ H. Elliott
70' ⇄
Pablo Maffeo ⇄ Filip Ugrinić
77' ⇄
Justin De Haas ⇄ Hugo Duro
77' ⇄
🖵 78'
Pape Gueye Card upgrade confirmed
▮ 79'
Pape Gueye Red Card
⇄ 82'
Gerard Moreno ⇄ Santi Comesaña
⇄ 87'
Tajon Buchanan ⇄ Pau Navarro
H. Elliott Yellow Card
89' ▮
H. Elliott Red Card
89' ▮
⚽ 1–2 90+6'
Georges Mikautadze assist: Alberto Moleiro
FT 1–2
Valencia

Match Stats

Villarreal
38% Ball Possession 62%
1.17 Expected Goals (xG) 1.21
9 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 12
1 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 11
2 Shots outsidebox 8
6 Corner Kicks 9
2 Offsides 2
18 Fouls 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
329 Total passes 535
247 Passes accurate 462
9 Free Kicks 16
Valencia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Hugo Duro F 6.8 13' – – 1 3 (1%) –
14 José Luis Gayà D 6.7 90' – – 1 24 (20%) –
18 Pepelu M 6.6 90' 1 – 1 40 (31%) 1
5 César Tárrega D 6.5 90' – – 3 25 (18%) –
11 Luis Rioja M 6.4 90' – – – 29 (25%) 2
8 Javier Guerra F 6.4 70' – – – 13 (10%) 4
23 Filip Ugrinić M 6.3 13' – – 1 14 (12%) 1
7 Arnaut Danjuma F 6.3 90' – – 2 13 (10%) –
12 Justin De Haas D 6.2 77' – – – 23 (17%) 2
27 David Otorbi M 6.1 14' – – – 1 –
19 Dani Raba F 6.0 56' – – – 15 (10%) –
24 Pablo Maffeo D 6.0 77' – – – 17 (10%) 1
2 Guido Rodríguez M 5.9 90' – – – 43 (35%) 2
22 Arnau Martínez D 5.8 20' – – – 16 (11%) –
1 Stole Dimitrievski G 5.6 90' – – – 39 (25%) –
10 H. Elliott M 5.4 19' – – – 9 (8%) –
Villarreal
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Georges Mikautadze F 7.8 24' 1 – 1 9 (6%) –
3 Alexander Freeman D 7.2 90' 1 – 1 57 (48%) 2
25 Péter Gulácsi G 7.2 90' – – – 14 (12%) –
11 Ilias Akhomach M 7.0 65' – – 2 22 (19%) –
23 Sergi Cardona D 6.8 25' – 1 – 17 (13%) 4
8 Juan Foyth D 6.8 65' – – – 52 (49%) –
10 Alberto Moleiro M 6.7 25' – 1 2 9 (7%) –
17 Tajon Buchanan M 6.6 87' – – 4 33 (27%) –
15 Santiago Mouriño D 6.6 90' – – – 61 (56%) 2
12 Renato Veiga D 6.5 90' – – – 83 (73%) 1
7 Gerard Moreno F 6.5 82' – – 1 37 (32%) 2
6 Pau Navarro D 6.4 3' – – – 6 (6%) –
14 Santi Comesaña M 6.3 8' – – – 7 (6%) –
22 Ayoze Pérez F 6.3 66' – – 1 6 (4%) –
16 Carlos Maciá M 6.2 90' – – 1 55 (45%) 3
18 Pape Gueye M 5.9 79' – – 6 59 (52%) 1
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Valencia vs Villarreal maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç

  • 70'ten fazla olasılık kategorisinin tamamı
  • Yapay Zeka derinlemesine maç raporu
  • Seçtiğiniz tahmin türleri
Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Bizim analizimiz
Villarreal veya beraberlik
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Valencia
LWLDD
Villarreal
LLWWL
Last 3 meetings Valencia · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Valencia will face Villarreal in a crucial La Liga encounter. Valencia's recent form has shown resilience, with a solid defensive record, conceding an average of just 1 goal per match in their last five games. Villarreal, on the other hand, has struggled for consistency, particularly in away matches, where they have dropped points against lower-ranked teams. Key players to watch include Valencia's top scorer, who has been pivotal in their attacking play, and Villarreal's creative midfielder, who can disrupt defenses. This match could be pivotal for both teams' aspirations in the league.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
28%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
45%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Valencia vs Villarreal

0 Valencia Wins
1 Draws
2 Villarreal Wins
Date Home Score Away
22 Feb 2026 Villarreal 2 - 1 Valencia
25 Oct 2025 Valencia 0 - 2 Villarreal
15 Feb 2025 Villarreal 1 - 1 Valencia
Tüm 10 karşılaşmayı gör — Premium

Valencia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Real Madrid L 0 - 3
01 Nov A Elche W 0 - 1
24 Oct H Villarreal L 1 - 2
17 Oct H Athletic Club D 0 - 0
11 Oct A Racing Santander D 2 - 2

Villarreal — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
03 Nov H Paris Saint Germain L 0 - 6
30 Oct H Espanyol L 0 - 1
27 Oct A Manacor W 0 - 5
24 Oct A Valencia W 1 - 2
20 Oct A Liverpool L 4 - 3

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
11 10 0 1 +34 30
2
Real Madrid
12 10 0 2 +21 30
3
Atletico Madrid
11 9 1 1 +14 28
4
Real Betis
11 7 2 2 +3 23
5
Real Sociedad
11 6 1 4 0 19
6
Sevilla
12 5 3 4 -2 18
7
Athletic Club
11 4 4 3 +4 16
8
Deportivo La Coruna
12 3 6 3 +1 15
9
Racing Santander
12 4 2 6 -13 14
10
Alaves
12 3 4 5 -2 13
11
Villarreal
11 3 3 5 0 12
12
Celta Vigo
11 2 6 3 0 12
13
Espanyol
12 3 3 6 -1 12
14
Rayo Vallecano
10 3 3 4 -5 12
15
Getafe
11 3 3 5 -8 12
16
Osasuna
12 3 3 6 -11 12
17
Elche
11 2 4 5 -4 10
18
Levante
11 2 4 5 -5 10
19
Valencia
12 2 3 7 -12 9
20
Malaga
12 0 5 7 -14 5

Valencia

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: J. Aguirre
1 Dimitrievski
14 Gayà
12 Haas
5 Tárrega
24 Maffeo
11 Rioja
18 Pepelu
2 Rodríguez
27 Otorbi
7 Danjuma
8 Guerra

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 S. Dimitrievski G
24 Pablo Maffeo D
5 César Tárrega D
12 J. de Haas D
14 José Gayà D
27 David Otorbi M
2 G. Rodríguez M
18 Pepelu M
11 Luis Rioja M
8 Javi Guerra F
7 A. Danjuma F

Substitutes

21 Jesús Vázquez D
25 K. van Oevelen G
23 F. Ugrinic M
39 R. Sato M
19 Dani Raba F
33 Aaron Mayol M
22 Arnau Martínez D
10 H. Elliott M
9 Hugo Duro F
15 A. Dieng M
4 M. Diakhaby D
37 Aimar Blázquez F

Villarreal

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Iñigo Pérez
25 Gulácsi
3 Freeman
12 Veiga
8 Foyth
15 Mouriño
17 Buchanan
18 Gueye
16 Macia
11 Akhomach
22 Pérez
7 Moreno

Starting XI

# Player Pos
25 P. Gulácsi G
15 S. Mouriño D
8 J. Foyth D
12 Renato Veiga D
3 A. Freeman D
11 Ilias Akhomach M
16 C. Macia M
18 P. Gueye M
17 T. Buchanan M
7 Gerard Moreno F
22 Ayoze Pérez F

Substitutes

23 Sergi Cardona D
2 Logan Costa D
14 Santi Comesaña M
5 A. Diatta M
27 N. El Jmili F
13 Rubén Gómez G
1 Luíz Júnior G
9 G. Mikautadze F
10 Alberto Moleiro M
6 Pau Navarro D
21 T. Oluwaseyi F
28 Joselillo Gaitán F

Sportiko Asistanı

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