Barcelona vs Real Madrid Tahmin
Barcelona - Real Madrid tahmini: Sportiko, Barcelona takımına %59 kazanma olasılığı, Real Madrid takımına %23 ve beraberliğe %18 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 25 Oct 2026, 22:03.
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Match Report
Real Madrid claimed a 2–1 victory at the Camp Nou in La Liga matchday 10, with Kylian Mbappé proving the decisive figure. The Frenchman broke the deadlock on 41 minutes to give Madrid a half-time lead despite Barcelona enjoying the lion's share of possession throughout the contest.
Barcelona levelled swiftly after the restart when Raphinha converted on 61 minutes, and the hosts pushed for a winner with 62% possession and 18 total shots. However, Real Madrid's threat on the counter proved more clinical, with their expected goals figure of 2.01 outstripping Barcelona's 1.3 despite the Catalans' territorial dominance. Mbappé settled the tie with a late 87th-minute strike to seal all three points for the visitors.
The closing stages turned feisty, with yellow cards shown to Tchouaméni, Gordon, Cucurella, Mbappé, Adeyemi, and Balde across the two halves. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Barcelona win as the most likely outcome at 59%, a call that did not hold up on the night as Madrid's efficiency in front of goal proved the difference.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Barcelona
Match Stats
Barcelona
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Raphinha F | 8.0 | 86' | 1 | – | 6 | 27 (20%) | 1 |
| 8 Pedri M | 7.6 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 88 (78%) | – |
| 2 João Cancelo D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (53%) | 5 |
| 1 Joan García G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (16%) | – |
| 17 Anthony Gordon F | 6.7 | 85' | – | – | 3 | 36 (35%) | 2 |
| 16 Rodri M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 96 (84%) | 1 |
| 5 Pau Cubarsí D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 78 (73%) | 1 |
| 12 Xavi Espart D | 6.5 | 30' | – | – | – | 25 (25%) | 4 |
| 18 Gerard Martín D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 81 (72%) | – |
| 7 Fermín López M | 6.3 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 32 (27%) | – |
| 10 Lamine Yamal F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 5 | 47 (36%) | 1 |
| 9 Gabriel Jesus F | 6.2 | 4' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 14 Karim Adeyemi F | 6.1 | 5' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 3 Alejandro Balde D | 6.1 | 60' | – | – | – | 29 (29%) | 1 |
| 21 F. de Jong M | 6.0 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 19 (17%) | – |
Real Madrid
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Kylian Mbappé F | 8.8 | 90' | 2 | – | 3 | 18 (15%) | – |
| 13 Andriy Lunin G | 7.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (16%) | – |
| 15 Arda Güler M | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | 5 | 34 (25%) | 1 |
| 8 Federico Valverde D | 7.1 | 62' | – | – | – | 35 (31%) | 1 |
| 16 Ibrahima Konaté D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (26%) | 3 |
| 24 D. Dumfries D | 6.9 | 28' | – | – | – | 12 (7%) | – |
| 5 Jude Bellingham M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (20%) | 5 |
| 6 Eduardo Camavinga M | 6.7 | 10' | – | 1 | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 17 Marc Cucurella D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (40%) | 3 |
| 4 Dean Huijsen D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (38%) | – |
| 14 Aurélien Tchouaméni M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (44%) | 5 |
| 20 Bernardo Silva M | 6.5 | 80' | – | – | – | 24 (22%) | 1 |
| 25 Yan Diomande M | 6.4 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 39 (33%) | 3 |
Barcelona vs Real Madrid maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Raphinha
15 gls
Lamine Yamal
10 gls
Fermín
5 gls
Kylian Mbappé
12 gls
J. Bellingham
4 gls
Y. Diomande
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Barcelona vs Real Madrid
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Barcelona | 2 - 0 | Real Madrid |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Real Madrid | 2 - 1 | Barcelona |
| 11 May 2025 | Barcelona | 4 - 3 | Real Madrid |
Barcelona — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | H Aston Villa | W | 3 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Alaves | W | 6 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Real Madrid | L | 1 - 2 |
| 20 Oct | A Paris Saint Germain | L | 4 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | A Real Betis | W | 2 - 5 |
Real Madrid — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Valencia | W | 0 - 3 |
| 04 Nov | A AEK Athens FC | W | 2 - 3 |
| 01 Nov | A Racing Santander | W | 0 - 3 |
| 25 Oct | A Barcelona | W | 1 - 2 |
| 21 Oct | H RB Leipzig | W | 4 - 1 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 12 | +34 | 30 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |
Atletico Madrid
|
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 28 |
| 4 |
Real Betis
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |
Real Sociedad
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 |
Sevilla
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |
Athletic Club
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |
Racing Santander
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 14 |
| 10 |
Alaves
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |
Villarreal
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 |
Celta Vigo
|
11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 |
Espanyol
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 |
Osasuna
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |
Elche
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 |
Levante
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 5 |
Barcelona
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: H. Flick
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joan García | G |
| 12 | X. Espart | D |
| 5 | Pau Cubarsí Paredes | D |
| 18 | Gerard Martín | D |
| 2 | João Cancelo | D |
| 7 | Fermín | M |
| 16 | Rodri | M |
| 8 | Pedri | M |
| 10 | Lamine Yamal | F |
| 11 | Raphinha | F |
| 17 | A. Gordon | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | K. Adeyemi | F |
| 13 | W. Szczęsny | G |
| 25 | D. Livaković | G |
| 32 | O. Goren | M |
| 6 | Gavi | M |
| 9 | Gabriel Jesus | F |
| 4 | B. Farinas | M |
| 29 | H. Abdelkarim | F |
| 3 | Alejandro Balde | D |
| 22 | Marc Bernal | M |
| 41 | A. Campos | D |
| 21 | F. de Jong | M |
Real Madrid
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: José Mourinho
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | A. Lunin | G |
| 8 | F. Valverde | D |
| 16 | I. Konaté | D |
| 4 | D. Huijsen | D |
| 17 | Marc Cucurella | D |
| 20 | Bernardo Silva | M |
| 14 | A. Tchouaméni | M |
| 15 | A. Güler | M |
| 5 | J. Bellingham | M |
| 25 | Y. Diomande | M |
| 10 | Kylian Mbappé | F |
Substitutes
| 39 | I. Voloshyn | G |
| 12 | T. Alexander-Arnold | D |
| 6 | E. Camavinga | M |
| 22 | A. Rüdiger | D |
| 27 | Thiago Pitarch | M |
| 26 | Sergio Mestre | G |
| 19 | Carlos Espí | F |
| 9 | Endrick | F |
| 3 | Éder Militão | D |
| 24 | D. Dumfries | D |
| 21 | Brahim Díaz | M |
| 18 | Álvaro Fernández | D |