Elche vs Real Sociedad Tahmin

La Liga · Regular Season - 4

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Real Sociedad

Away

Yapay zeka tahmini Real Sociedad veya beraberlik

28%

44%

Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

Elche - Real Sociedad tahmini: Sportiko, Elche takımına %28 kazanma olasılığı, Real Sociedad takımına %44 ve beraberliğe %28 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 7 Sep 2026, 21:29.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
1st Half Over 0.5 74%
Ev Sahibi Gol Atar 72%

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Match Report

Real Sociedad claimed a 3–2 victory at Elche in La Liga's fourth round of the regular season, with the visitors dominant for large stretches of the contest. Job Ochieng opened the scoring in the 11th minute before Yangel Herrera doubled the advantage on 31 minutes, sending Real Sociedad into the break with a comfortable two-goal cushion. The visitors controlled possession at 58% and registered 20 total shots across the 90 minutes, underlining their authority throughout.

The second half proved far more turbulent. A VAR-cancelled Sučić goal in the 63rd minute was quickly followed by a red card for Jon Martin, leaving Elche with ten men. Real Sociedad capitalised immediately through Thomas Lemar on 67 minutes, but Elche refused to fold, with Fernando Niño pulling one back on 74 minutes to set up a nervy finish. Luka Sučić then made amends for his earlier disallowed effort by netting in the 90th minute to seal the points.

Elche reduced the deficit further in stoppage time, but it proved too little too late. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Real Sociedad win as the most likely outcome at 44%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 9'

Jon Aramburu Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 11'

Job Ochieng assist: Carlos Soler

⚽ 0–2 31'

Yangel Herrera assist: Job Ochieng

Tete Morente Yellow Card

43' ▮

HT 0–2

Ezequiel Ponce ⇄ Abiel Osorio

55' ⇄

Facundo Buonanotte ⇄ Thomas Lemar

55' ⇄

Abiel Osorio Yellow Card

57' ▮

⇄ 58'

Gonçalo Guedes ⇄ Alex Marchal

⇄ 58'

Mamadou Sarr ⇄ Jon Martin

🖵 63'

Luka Sučić Goal cancelled

▮ 64'

Jon Martin Red Card

Thomas Lemar assist: Víctor Chust

67' ⚽ 1–2

Germán Valera Yellow Card

68' ▮

⇄ 70'

Yangel Herrera ⇄ Jon Pacheco

⇄ 70'

Mikel Oyarzabal ⇄ Jon Gorrotxategi

Gonzalo Villar ⇄ Lucas Cepeda

70' ⇄

Fernando Niño assist: Tete Morente

74' ⚽ 2–2

⇄ 81'

Alex Marchal ⇄ Hector Fort

Germán Valera ⇄ Josan

81' ⇄

Buba Sangare ⇄ Roy Revivo

81' ⇄

⚽ 2–3 90'

Luka Sučić assist: Job Ochieng

Thomas Lemar Yellow Card

90+7' ▮

FT 2–3

Elche

Match Stats

Real Sociedad

58% Ball Possession 42%

20 Total Shots 13

10 Shots on Goal 6

8 Shots off Goal 5

2 Blocked Shots 2

15 Shots insidebox 8

5 Shots outsidebox 5

6 Corner Kicks 7

2 Offsides 1

9 Fouls 8

4 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 1

3 Goalkeeper Saves 8

493 Total passes 361

439 Passes accurate 300

7 Free Kicks 9

Elche

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
14 Fernando Niño F	8.2	90'	1	–	4	17 (11%)	1
18 Thomas Lemar M	7.4	35'	1	–	3	28 (25%)	3
21 Lucas Cepeda F	7.2	20'	–	–	2	28 (26%)	1
23 Víctor Chust D	6.7	90'	–	1	1	83 (79%)	–
11 Germán Valera M	6.6	81'	–	–	1	24 (21%)	–
47 Javi Morcillo M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	43 (40%)	2
17 Josan M	6.5	9'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
12 Gonzalo Villar M	6.4	70'	–	–	–	46 (42%)	3
6 Pedro Bigas D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	69 (64%)	–
2 Buba Sangare D	6.3	81'	–	–	–	27 (23%)	2
24 Abiel Osorio F	6.2	35'	–	–	3	4 (4%)	–
9 Ezequiel Ponce F	6.1	55'	–	–	1	13 (11%)	–
20 Tete Morente M	6.1	90'	–	1	1	33 (28%)	–
10 Facundo Buonanotte M	5.9	55'	–	–	2	27 (23%)	1
1 Matías Dituro G	5.8	90'	–	–	–	40 (31%)	–
3 Roy Revivo D	5.5	9'	–	–	1	6 (6%)	1

Real Sociedad

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
12 Job Ochieng M	9.0	90'	1	2	4	16 (10%)	2
24 Luka Sučić F	8.2	90'	1	–	4	35 (28%)	4
13 Unai Marrero G	8.1	90'	–	–	–	37 (26%)	–
21 Yangel Herrera M	7.9	70'	1	–	3	35 (30%)	–
18 Carlos Soler M	7.3	90'	–	1	–	38 (35%)	–
17 Sergio Gómez D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	51 (45%)	3
19 Mamadou Sarr D	6.7	58'	–	–	–	30 (29%)	1
29 Alex Marchal F	6.6	23'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	1
5 Igor Zubeldia D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	29 (23%)	4
22 Hector Fort D	6.4	9'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	1
16 Jon Pacheco D	6.4	20'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	1
11 Gonçalo Guedes M	6.3	58'	–	–	1	15 (13%)	1
2 Jon Aramburu D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	37 (29%)	5
4 Jon Gorrotxategi M	6.1	20'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F	5.9	70'	–	–	–	22 (18%)	1
6 Jon Martin D	5.3	6'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–

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Elche vs Real Sociedad maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Bizim analizimiz

Real Sociedad veya beraberlik

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Elche

WLDLL

Real Sociedad

WLLWD

Last 3 meetings Elche · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Elche faces Real Sociedad in a La Liga clash that promises to be pivotal for both teams. Elche has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match this season, which could be exploited by Sociedad's potent attack, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Sociedad’s midfield control and creativity will be crucial, particularly with their ability to dominate possession (averaging 58% this season). Elche will need to bolster their defense while capitalizing on set-piece opportunities to challenge Sociedad's backline effectively. Overall, the match could hinge on Elche's ability to contain Sociedad’s forwards and make the most of their chances.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

28%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

44%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Real Sociedad goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	8	7	4	2	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	4	7	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Elche goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Players in form

Elche

Fer Niño 5 gls

Real Sociedad

L. Sučić 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

28%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

28%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

61% Away (No Draw) 39% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Away Scores More 28% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	7.7%	7.4%	4.0%	1.6%
1	5.6%	13.1%	9.4%	5.1%	2.1%
2	4.5%	7.3%	5.9%	3.2%	1.3%
3	1.9%	3.1%	2.5%	1.3%	0.5%
4	0.6%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

55%

1.5

45%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Elche	Draw	Real Sociedad
Elche	15.9%	3.9%	1.9%
Draw	11.0%	16.4%	13.2%
Real Sociedad	2.2%	5.3%	30.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Elche vs Real Sociedad

0 Elche Wins

1 Draws

2 Real Sociedad Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Feb 2026	Real Sociedad	3 - 1	Elche
07 Nov 2025	Elche	1 - 1	Real Sociedad
19 Mar 2023	Real Sociedad	2 - 0	Elche

Tüm 10 karşılaşmayı gör — Premium

Elche — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Espanyol	W	1 - 3
15 Sep	H Real Madrid	L	2 - 3
12 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Racing Santander	L	3 - 2

Real Sociedad — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Valencia	W	2 - 3
17 Sep	H Bournemouth	L	1 - 2
13 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	L	0 - 3
07 Sep	A Elche	W	2 - 3
03 Sep	H Celta Vigo	D	0 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Real Sociedad

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: P. Matarazzo

13 Marrero

17 Gómez

19 Sarr

5 Zubeldia

2 Aramburu

11 Guedes

18 Soler

21 Herrera

12 Ochieng

10 Oyarzabal

24 Sučić

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Unai Marrero	G
2	J. Aramburu	D
5	Zubeldia	D
19	M. Sarr	D
17	Sergio Gómez	D
12	J. Ochieng	M
21	Y. Herrera	M
18	Carlos Soler	M
11	Gonçalo Guedes	M
24	L. Sučić	F
10	Mikel Oyarzabal	F

Substitutes

3	Aihen Muñoz	D
6	Jon Martín	D
29	Alex Garcia	F
14	T. Kubo	F
4	Jon Gorrotxategi	M
22	Héctor Fort	D
7	Barrenetxea	F
16	Jon Pacheco	D
1	Álex Remiro	G
8	Beñat Turrientes	M
23	A. Zakharyan	M
9	O. Óskarsson	F

Elche

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: M. Anselmi

1 Dituro

6 Bigas

23 Chust

2 Sangaré

11 Valera

12 Villar

47 Morcillo

10 Buonanotte

20 Morente

14 Niño

9 Ponce

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	M. Dituro	G
2	Buba Sangaré	D
23	Víctor Chust	D
6	Bigas	D
20	Tete Morente	M
10	F. Buonanotte	M
47	J. Morcillo	M
12	Gonzalo Villar	M
11	Germán Valera	M
9	E. Ponce	F
14	Fer Niño	F

Substitutes

26	Matia Barzic Gutiérrez	D
16	Martim Neto	M
21	L. Cepeda	F
17	Josan	M
29	Ali Houary	F
13	Alejandro Iturbe	G
18	T. Lemar	M
24	A. Osorio	F
5	F. Redondo	M
3	R. Revivo	D
22	Rubén Sánchez	D
8	Marc Aguado	M