Aston Villa vs Manchester City Tahmin

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 8
FT
Post on X
Villa Park, Birmingham
Yapay zeka tahmini Zorlu Manchester City galibiyet veya beraberlik
19%
23%
58%
Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

Aston Villa - Manchester City tahmini: Sportiko, Aston Villa takımına %19 kazanma olasılığı, Manchester City takımına %58 ve beraberliğe %23 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 24 Oct 2026, 13:25.

Premium tahminler

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 76%
  • Under 4.5 76%
  • Away 2H Over 0.5 74%
  • Draw/Away & Over 1.5 70%
  • Ev Sahibi Gol Atar 70%
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Match Report

Aston Villa claimed a 2–1 victory over Manchester City in a lively Premier League encounter, with Nicolas Jackson proving the decisive figure on the night. Jackson opened the scoring in just the sixth minute, giving Villa an early advantage they carried into half-time. The home side dominated possession throughout, controlling 63% of the ball and generating 1.7 expected goals to City's 0.6.

Manchester City levelled through Erling Haaland just after the hour mark, but Villa responded almost immediately. Jackson struck again in the 60th minute to restore the home side's lead, completing a brace that proved enough to secure all three points. The match was disrupted by a flurry of bookings and substitutions, with both Marc Guéhi and Rayan Cherki forced off at half-time having each received yellow cards.

Villa held firm despite City pressing for an equaliser, limiting the visitors to just two shots on target. The result defied the pre-match AI model, which had rated a Manchester City win as the most likely outcome at 58%. Villa's defensive resilience and Jackson's clinical finishing ultimately told the story.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Nicolas Jackson assist: John McGinn
6' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 32'
Marc Guéhi Yellow Card
▮ 38'
Rayan Cherki Yellow Card
⇄ 45'
Marc Guéhi ⇄ Rico Lewis
⇄ 45'
Rayan Cherki ⇄ Phil Foden
HT 1–0
⚽ 1–1 52'
Erling Haaland assist: Iliman Ndiaye
Johan Manzambi Yellow Card
54' ▮
Matty Cash Yellow Card
55' ▮
Alysson ⇄ Ibrahim Mbaye
59' ⇄
Nicolas Jackson assist: Ibrahim Mbaye
60' ⚽ 2–1
Johan Manzambi ⇄ Emiliano Buendía
66' ⇄
John McGinn ⇄ Ross Barkley
66' ⇄
⇄ 69'
Iliman Ndiaye ⇄ Ryan McAidoo
▮ 74'
Elliot Anderson Yellow Card
▮ 76'
Ryan McAidoo Yellow Card
Nicolas Jackson ⇄ Brian Madjo
82' ⇄
João Gomes ⇄ Leon Goretzka
82' ⇄
Brian Madjo Yellow Card
83' ▮
Emiliano Buendía Yellow Card
90+5' ▮
FT 2–1
Aston Villa

Match Stats

Manchester City
37% Ball Possession 63%
0.6 Expected Goals (xG) 1.7
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Goal 7
3 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 4
6 Shots insidebox 12
2 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Corner Kicks 7
1 Offsides 2
21 Fouls 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
6 Goalkeeper Saves 0
314 Total passes 528
254 Passes accurate 472
17 Free Kicks 21
Aston Villa
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Nicolas Jackson F 8.9 82' 2 – 3 15 (9%) 1
7 John McGinn M 7.6 66' – 1 – 12 (8%) 1
1 Zion Suzuki G 7.5 90' – – – 46 (33%) –
3 Victor Lindelöf D 7.0 90' – – – 41 (35%) 1
2 Matty Cash D 6.9 90' – – – 22 (19%) 8
22 Ian Maatsen D 6.8 90' – – 2 29 (23%) 4
10 Emiliano Buendía M 6.7 24' – – – 5 (5%) 3
8 Boubacar Kamara M 6.6 90' – – – 30 (27%) 5
47 Alysson M 6.6 59' – – 2 7 (5%) 3
35 João Gomes M 6.5 82' – – – 28 (27%) 1
44 Johan Manzambi M 6.4 66' – – 1 7 (5%) 3
14 Pau Torres D 6.4 90' – – – 58 (49%) –
27 Leon Goretzka M 6.3 8' – – – 3 (2%) –
39 Brian Madjo F 6.3 8' – – – 3 (2%) –
19 Ibrahim Mbaye F 6.2 31' – 1 – 3 (2%) –
6 Ross Barkley M 6.0 24' – – – 4 (2%) –
Manchester City
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Erling Haaland F 7.7 90' 1 – 3 7 (4%) –
45 Abdukodir Khusanov D 7.1 90' – – 1 66 (59%) 8
11 Jérémy Doku M 7.0 90' – – 3 36 (27%) –
17 Enzo Fernández M 6.9 90' – – 1 78 (75%) –
47 Phil Foden M 6.7 44' – – 1 20 (20%) –
7 Iliman Ndiaye M 6.6 69' – 1 2 29 (23%) –
5 Elliot Anderson M 6.6 90' – – – 72 (69%) 1
56 Ryan McAidoo F 6.5 21' – – – 9 (6%) –
24 Joško Gvardiol D 6.4 90' – – 3 42 (38%) 3
3 Rúben Dias D 6.3 90' – – – 81 (76%) –
6 Marc Guéhi D 6.1 46' – – – 30 (29%) –
82 Rico Lewis D 6.0 44' – – – 19 (13%) –
10 Rayan Cherki M 5.9 46' – – 1 19 (15%) –
1 Gianluigi Donnarumma G 5.7 90' – – – 13 (12%) –
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Aston Villa vs Manchester City maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç

  • 70'ten fazla olasılık kategorisinin tamamı
  • Yapay Zeka derinlemesine maç raporu
  • Seçtiğiniz tahmin türleri
Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Bizim analizimiz
Zorlu Manchester City galibiyet veya beraberlik
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Aston Villa
LDLWW
Manchester City
LWLDL
Last 3 meetings Aston Villa · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Aston Villa faces a challenging matchup against Manchester City, who are currently one of the strongest teams in the Premier League. Manchester City boasts an impressive attacking record, led by key players who consistently contribute goals and assists. Aston Villa will need to focus on solid defensive organization and capitalize on any counter-attacking opportunities to disrupt City's fluid play. Recent form indicates Villa has been competitive, but they will need to elevate their performance to secure points against the reigning champions. The outcome will likely hinge on Villa's defensive resilience and City's ability to break through.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
19%
10%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
58%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Aston Villa
N. Jackson 5 gls
Manchester City
E. Haaland 9 gls
R. Cherki 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Aston Villa vs Manchester City

2 Aston Villa Wins
0 Draws
1 Manchester City Wins
Date Home Score Away
24 May 2026 Manchester City 1 - 2 Aston Villa
26 Oct 2025 Aston Villa 1 - 0 Manchester City
22 Apr 2025 Manchester City 2 - 1 Aston Villa
Tüm 10 karşılaşmayı gör — Premium

Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
03 Nov A Barcelona L 3 - 0
31 Oct H Fulham D 1 - 1
28 Oct A Bournemouth L 3 - 0
24 Oct H Manchester City W 2 - 1
21 Oct H Viking W 3 - 1

Manchester City — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Nottingham Forest L 3 - 1
04 Nov A RB Leipzig W 2 - 3
31 Oct H Brighton L 0 - 1
28 Oct H Brighton D 2 - 2
24 Oct A Aston Villa L 2 - 1

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal
10 9 0 1 +10 27
2
Manchester City
10 7 0 3 +8 21
3
Brighton
9 6 1 2 +17 19
4
Chelsea
9 5 1 3 +4 16
5
Everton
10 4 4 2 +2 16
6
Liverpool
9 4 3 2 +2 15
7
Brentford
9 3 5 1 +7 14
8
Leeds
10 3 5 2 +2 14
9
Bournemouth
9 3 3 3 +1 12
10
Tottenham
10 3 3 4 -1 12
11
Newcastle
10 3 3 4 -3 12
12
Aston Villa
9 3 3 3 -3 12
13
Hull City
10 2 5 3 0 11
14
Ipswich
9 3 2 4 -4 11
15
Fulham
10 2 4 4 -2 10
16
Nottingham Forest
10 2 3 5 -4 9
17
Coventry
10 3 0 7 -9 9
18
Manchester United
9 1 4 4 -5 7
19
Crystal Palace
9 2 1 6 -12 7
20
Sunderland
9 1 2 6 -10 5

Manchester City

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: E. Maresca
1 Donnarumma
24 Gvardiol
3 Dias
6 Guéhi
45 Khusanov
17 Fernández
5 Anderson
11 Doku
10 Cherki
7 Ndiaye
9 Haaland

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 G. Donnarumma G
45 A. Khusanov D
6 M. Guéhi D
3 Rúben Dias D
24 J. Gvardiol D
5 E. Anderson M
17 E. Fernández M
7 I. Ndiaye M
10 R. Cherki M
11 J. Doku M
9 E. Haaland F

Substitutes

47 P. Foden M
56 R. McAidoo F
28 G. Rulli G
21 R. Aït-Nouri D
22 Vitor Nunes D
33 N. O'Reilly D
82 R. Lewis D
8 M. Kovačić M
32 A. Bouaddi M

Aston Villa

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Unai Emery
1 Suzuki
22 Maatsen
14 Torres
3 Lindelöf
2 Cash
35 Gomes
8 Kamara
44 Manzambi
7 McGinn
47 Edward
11 Jackson

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Z. Suzuki G
2 M. Cash D
3 V. Lindelöf D
14 Pau Torres D
22 I. Maatsen D
8 B. Kamara M
35 João Gomes M
47 Alysson Edward M
7 J. McGinn M
44 J. Manzambi M
11 N. Jackson F

Substitutes

39 Brian Madjo F
19 I. Mbaye F
53 George Hemmings M
27 L. Goretzka M
26 L. Bogarde M
10 E. Buendía M
6 R. Barkley M
5 T. Mings D
40 M. Bizot G

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