Czechia vs Mexico Tahmin

World Cup World Cup · Group Stage - 3
FT
Post on X
Estadio Azteca, D.F.
Yapay zeka tahmini Mexico kazanır veya berabere kalır
8%
24%
68%
Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

Czechia - Mexico tahmini: Sportiko, Czechia takımına %8 kazanma olasılığı, Mexico takımına %68 ve beraberliğe %24 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 20 Jul 2026, 15:55.

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Match Report

Mexico secured a comfortable 3–0 victory over Czechia in their final World Cup group stage match, with all the damage done in the second half. A goalless first period offered little indication of what was to come, though the underlying numbers already hinted at Mexican dominance — their expected goals figure of 1.91 dwarfed Czechia's 0.47 by the interval.

The floodgates opened within a minute of the restart as Mateo Chávez broke the deadlock on 55 minutes, and Julián Quiñones doubled the advantage just six minutes later to effectively end the contest. Czechia attempted to respond through a flurry of substitutions, introducing Adam Hložek and Tomáš Holeš shortly after going two down, but they managed only a single shot on target across the entire match. Mexico's single yellow card to Edson Álvarez was a minor blemish on an otherwise controlled display.

Álvaro Fidalgo added a third deep into stoppage time to round off a dominant performance. The result reflected Mexico's clear superiority on the night — a verdict our pre-match AI model had anticipated, rating a Mexican win as the most likely outcome at 68%.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0
⚽ 0–1 55'
Mateo Chávez assist: Luis Romo
Denis Višinský ⇄ Lukáš Provod
56' ⇄
⚽ 0–2 61'
Julián Quiñones assist: Jorge Sánchez
⇄ 63'
Guillermo Martínez ⇄ Santiago Giménez
⇄ 63'
Luis Romo ⇄ Obed Vargas
▮ 64'
Edson Álvarez Yellow Card
Adam Hložek ⇄ Patrik Schick
64' ⇄
Tomáš Holeš ⇄ Tomáš Souček
64' ⇄
⇄ 72'
Gilberto Mora ⇄ Álvaro Fidalgo
⇄ 78'
Raúl Rangel ⇄ Guillermo Ochoa
⇄ 78'
Mateo Chávez ⇄ Jesús Gallardo
Lukáš Červ ⇄ Tomáš Chorý
87' ⇄
Tomáš Souček ⇄ Alexandr Sojka
87' ⇄
⚽ 0–3 90+4'
Álvaro Fidalgo assist: Roberto Alvarado
FT 0–3
Czechia

Match Stats

Mexico
51% Ball Possession 49%
0.47 Expected Goals (xG) 1.91
13 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 9
7 Shots outsidebox 2
5 Corner Kicks 1
1 Offsides 0
9 Fouls 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
388 Total passes 384
325 Passes accurate 329
84% Passes % 86%
0.13 goals_prevented 0.13
Czechia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Adam Hložek F 7.0 64' – – – 13 (8%) 1
18 Michal Sadílek M 6.9 94' – – 1 44 (39%) 4
26 Denis Višinský F 6.7 56' – – 2 12 (12%) –
12 Lukáš Červ M 6.7 87' – – 1 21 (17%) 3
5 Vladimír Coufal M 6.6 94' – – – 34 (29%) –
22 Tomáš Souček M 6.5 23' – – – 1 (1%) –
15 Pavel Šulc F 6.5 94' – – 1 20 (14%) –
3 Tomáš Holeš D 6.5 64' – – – 34 (30%) 3
10 Patrik Schick F 6.3 30' – – – 3 (3%) –
21 David Douděra M 6.3 94' – – 4 37 (28%) –
1 Matěj Kovář G 6.2 94' – – – 31 (21%) –
17 Lukáš Provod M 6.2 38' – – – 18 (14%) –
7 Ladislav Krejčí D 6.0 94' – – – 66 (58%) 1
4 Robin Hranáč D 5.9 94' – – – 48 (46%) –
24 Alexandr Sojka M — 7' – – – 5 (4%) –
19 Tomáš Chorý F — 7' – – – 1 (1%) –
Mexico
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
20 Mateo Chávez D 7.9 78' 1 – 1 18 (16%) 1
8 Álvaro Fidalgo M 7.7 22' 1 – 1 14 (13%) –
15 Israel Reyes D 7.2 94' – – 1 48 (42%) –
3 César Montes D 7.2 94' – – – 43 (40%) 1
25 Roberto Alvarado F 7.2 94' – 1 1 55 (46%) 1
16 Julián Quiñones F 7.2 94' 1 – 3 25 (20%) 2
2 Jorge Sánchez D 7.2 94' – 1 1 34 (33%) 2
1 Raúl Rangel G 6.9 78' – – – 24 (18%) –
23 Jesús Gallardo D 6.7 16' – – – 6 (6%) –
18 Obed Vargas M 6.7 31' – – – 7 (7%) 1
11 Santiago Giménez F 6.7 31' – – 1 4 (1%) –
7 Luis Romo M 6.6 63' – 1 – 23 (20%) 1
4 Edson Álvarez M 6.6 94' – – – 35 (29%) 3
19 Gilberto Mora M 6.6 72' – – – 24 (21%) –
13 Guillermo Ochoa G 6.3 16' – – – 8 (4%) –
22 Guillermo Martínez F 6.2 63' – – – 16 (13%) –
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Czechia vs Mexico maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç

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Confidence Medium (68%)

At a glance

Bizim analizimiz
Mexico kazanır veya berabere kalır
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Czechia
LDLWL
Mexico
LWWWW

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup clash on June 25, 2026, the Czech Republic takes on Mexico. Historically, Mexico has been a strong performer in World Cups, with a solid record in the group stages. The Czech Republic, while less experienced in recent tournaments, boasts a strong defensive lineup, having conceded only 0.8 goals per match in qualifying. Mexico's attacking prowess, highlighted by their average of 2.1 goals per game in qualifiers, will test the Czech defense. This match could hinge on Mexico's ability to break through a disciplined Czech backline while exploiting transitions effectively. Expect a tactical battle with both teams looking to secure vital points early in the tournament.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
8%
10%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
68%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Czechia

No scorer data.

Mexico
J. Quiñones 4 gls

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Head to Head: Czechia vs Mexico

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Czechia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
25 Jun H Mexico L 0 - 3
18 Jun H South Africa D 1 - 1
12 Jun A South Korea L 2 - 1
05 Jun H Guatemala W 3 - 1
26 Jun H Türkiye L 1 - 2

Mexico — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Jul H England L 2 - 3
01 Jul H Ecuador W 2 - 0
25 Jun A Czechia W 0 - 3
19 Jun H South Korea W 1 - 0
11 Jun H South Africa W 2 - 0

World Cup Standings

Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Mexico
3 3 0 0 +6 9
2
South Africa
3 1 1 1 -1 4
4
Czechia
3 0 1 2 -4 1

Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Switzerland
3 2 1 0 +4 7
2
Canada
3 1 1 1 +5 4
4
Qatar
3 0 1 2 -8 1

Group C

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Brazil
3 2 1 0 +6 7
2
Morocco
3 2 1 0 +3 7
4
Haiti
3 0 0 3 -6 0

Group D

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
USA
3 2 0 1 +4 6
2
Australia
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Türkiye
3 1 0 2 -2 3

Group E

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Germany
3 2 0 1 +6 6
2
Ivory Coast
3 2 0 1 +2 6
4
Curaçao
3 0 1 2 -8 1

Group F

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Netherlands
3 2 1 0 +6 7
2
Japan
3 1 2 0 +4 5
4
Tunisia
3 0 0 3 -10 0

Group G

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Belgium
3 1 2 0 +4 5
2
Egypt
3 1 2 0 +2 5
4
New Zealand
3 0 1 2 -6 1

Group H

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Spain
3 2 1 0 +5 7
2
Cape Verde Islands
3 0 3 0 0 3
4
Saudi Arabia
3 0 2 1 -4 2

Group I

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
France
3 3 0 0 +8 9
2
Norway
3 2 0 1 +1 6
4
Iraq
3 0 0 3 -11 0

Group J

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Argentina
3 3 0 0 +7 9
2
Austria
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Jordan
3 0 0 3 -5 0

Group K

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Colombia
3 2 1 0 +3 7
2
Portugal
3 1 2 0 +5 5
4
Uzbekistan
3 0 0 3 -9 0

Group L

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
England
3 2 1 0 +4 7
2
Croatia
3 2 0 1 0 6
4
Panama
3 0 0 3 -4 0

Group Stage

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Congo DR
3 1 1 1 +1 4
2
Sweden
3 1 1 1 0 4
3
Ghana
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Ecuador
3 1 1 1 0 4
5
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 1 1 1 -1 4
6
Algeria
3 1 1 1 -2 4
7
Paraguay
3 1 1 1 -2 4
8
Senegal
3 1 0 2 +2 3
9
Iran
3 0 3 0 0 3
10
South Korea
3 1 0 2 -1 3
11
Scotland
3 1 0 2 -3 3
12
Uruguay
3 0 2 1 -1 2

Czechia

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Miroslav Koubek
1 Kovář
7 Krejčí
4 Hranáč
3 Holeš
21 Douděra
18 Sadílek
12 Červ
5 Coufal
26 Višinský
15 Šulc
9 Hložek

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Matěj Kovář G
3 Tomáš Holeš D
4 Robin Hranáč D
7 Ladislav Krejčí D
5 Vladimír Coufal M
12 Lukáš Červ M
18 Michal Sadílek M
21 David Douděra M
15 Pavel Šulc F
26 Denis Višinský F
9 Adam Hložek F

Substitutes

17 Lukáš Provod M
22 Tomáš Souček M
10 Patrik Schick F
16 Jindřich Staněk G
23 Lukáš Horníček G
6 Štěpán Chaloupek D
2 David Zima D
20 Jaroslav Zelený D
24 Alexandr Sojka M
25 Hugo Sochurek M
8 Vladimír Darida M
11 Jan Kuchta F
19 Tomáš Chorý F
13 Mojmír Chytil F

Mexico

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Javier Aguirre
1 Rangel
20 Chávez
15 Reyes
3 Montes
2 Sánchez
7 Romo
4 Álvarez
19 Mora
16 Quiñones
22 Martínez
25 Alvarado

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Raúl Rangel G
2 Jorge Sánchez D
3 César Montes D
15 Israel Reyes D
20 Mateo Chávez D
19 Gilberto Mora M
4 Edson Álvarez M
7 Luis Romo M
25 Roberto Alvarado F
22 Guillermo Martínez F
16 Julián Quiñones F

Substitutes

18 Obed Vargas M
11 Santiago Giménez F
12 Carlos Acevedo G
13 Guillermo Ochoa G
5 Johan Vásquez D
23 Jesús Gallardo D
6 Erik Lira M
8 Álvaro Fidalgo M
17 Orbelín Pineda M
24 Luis Chávez M
26 Brian Gutiérrez M
10 Alexis Vega F
21 César Huerta M
9 Raúl Jiménez F
14 Armando González F

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