Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama Predviđanje

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 22
FT
Post on X
AI poziv Teška pobeda ili remi za Bahia
59%
24%
17%
Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Prognoza: Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama: Sportiko procenjuje da Bahia ima 59% šanse za pobedu, Vasco DA Gama 17%, a nerešeno 24%. Poslednje ažuriranje 9 Aug 2026, 21:02.

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Timeline

🖵 21'
Adson Goal Disallowed - offside
▮ 31'
Cuiabano Yellow Card
▮ 37'
Thiago Mendes Yellow Card
Ademir ⇄ Kauê Furquim
43' ⇄
HT 0–0
⇄ 46'
Brenner ⇄ Marino Hinestroza
⇄ 46'
Carlos Cuesta ⇄ Alan Saldivia
Luciano Juba ⇄ José Guilherme
46' ⇄
Jean Lucas ⇄ Caio Alexandre
64' ⇄
Willian José ⇄ Michel Araújo
64' ⇄
⇄ 72'
Adson ⇄ Claudio Spinelli
⇄ 74'
David ⇄ Ramon Rique
Ademir Yellow Card
77' ▮
⇄ 86'
Jair ⇄ Cauan Barros
Rodrigo Nestor ⇄ Mateo Sanabria
86' ⇄
Mateo Sanabria Goal Disallowed - offside
90' 🖵
FT 0–0
Bahia

Match Stats

Vasco DA Gama
51% Ball Possession 49%
0.53 Expected Goals (xG) 0.65
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 7
8 Shots insidebox 10
3 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Corner Kicks 6
3 Offsides 4
13 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
383 Total passes 362
321 Passes accurate 300
84% Passes % 83%
0.17 goals_prevented 0.17
Bahia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
31 Román Gómez D 7.6 94' – – 1 38 (31%) 5
33 David Duarte D 7.5 94' – – – 64 (53%) –
21 Santiago Ramos Mingo D 7.2 94' – – – 48 (41%) –
11 Rodrigo Nestor M 7.0 86' – – 1 22 (18%) 1
1 Ronaldo G 6.9 94' – – – 29 (22%) –
5 Nicolás Acevedo M 6.9 94' – – – 58 (53%) 1
12 Willian José F 6.9 64' – – – 11 (9%) –
23 Mateo Sanabria F 6.7 8' – – 1 – 1
6 Jean Lucas M 6.7 64' – – 1 25 (22%) –
8 Caio Alexandre M 6.6 30' – – – 20 (20%) –
9 Alejo Véliz F 6.6 94' – – – 6 (5%) 2
66 José Guilherme D 6.5 49' – – – 18 (17%) –
7 Ademir M 6.5 43' – – 2 7 (5%) –
57 Kauê Furquim M 6.3 51' – – – 14 (11%) –
46 Luciano Juba D 6.3 45' – – – 13 (10%) 1
15 Michel Araújo M 6.3 30' – – – 7 (3%) –
Vasco DA Gama
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
30 Robert Renan D 8.0 94' – – 1 39 (35%) 2
66 Cuiabano D 7.7 94' – – 2 38 (29%) 8
8 Jair M 7.3 86' – – – 42 (40%) 2
28 Adson M 7.0 72' – – 1 31 (28%) 4
1 Léo Jardim G 6.9 94' – – – 19 (14%) –
46 Carlos Cuesta D 6.9 45' – – – 14 (12%) –
88 Cauan Barros M 6.9 8' – – – 2 (1%) 1
96 Paulo Henrique D 6.9 94' – – 1 38 (34%) 1
18 Marino Hinestroza F 6.9 49' – – – 10 (9%) 2
3 Tchê Tchê M 6.9 94' – – 1 28 (22%) 2
4 Alan Saldivia D 6.9 49' – – – 8 (5%) 3
77 Claudio Spinelli F 6.5 22' – – – 7 (6%) –
83 Ramon Rique M 6.5 20' – – – 4 (3%) –
23 Thiago Mendes M 6.3 94' – – 1 46 (37%) 1
20 Brenner F 6.3 45' – – – 8 (6%) 1
7 David M 6.3 74' – – – 23 (17%) –
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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Naša prognoza
Teška pobeda ili remi za Bahia
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Bahia
LWWWW
Vasco DA Gama
WWWDL
Last 3 meetings Bahia · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A match, Bahia will face Vasco da Gama with both teams vying for crucial points. Bahia has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match this season, while Vasco da Gama struggles offensively, scoring only 1 goal per match on average. The match could hinge on Bahia’s ability to capitalize on counter-attacks, given Vasco's tendency to leave space in transition. Additionally, Bahia's midfield control will be critical to dictate the pace and limit Vasco's attacking opportunities. Overall, this matchup presents an intriguing battle between Bahia's defense and Vasco's offense.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
59%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
17%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 gls
Vasco DA Gama

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama

2 Bahia Wins
0 Draws
1 Vasco DA Gama Wins
Date Home Score Away
11 Feb 2026 Vasco DA Gama 0 - 1 Bahia
23 Nov 2025 Bahia 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama
24 Sep 2025 Vasco DA Gama 3 - 1 Bahia
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Bahia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Atletico Paranaense L 2 - 1
14 Sep H Remo W 2 - 1
05 Sep A RB Bragantino W 2 - 3
30 Aug H Internacional W 3 - 2
23 Aug A Vitoria W 0 - 2

Vasco DA Gama — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Coritiba W 5 - 0
15 Sep H Santa Fe W 2 - 0
12 Sep A Gremio W 1 - 2
08 Sep A Santa Fe D 0 - 0
06 Sep A Fluminense L 1 - 0

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
28 18 6 4 +32 60
2
Palmeiras
28 16 9 3 +26 57
3
Atletico Paranaense
28 14 7 7 +11 49
4
Fluminense
28 13 9 6 +8 48
5
Bahia
28 12 10 6 +8 46
6
Cruzeiro
28 13 6 9 +2 45
7
Atletico-MG
27 11 7 9 +4 40
8
Santos
27 10 8 9 +1 38
9
Coritiba
28 10 8 10 -6 38
10
RB Bragantino
27 10 6 11 +2 36
11
Sao Paulo
27 10 6 11 +2 36
12
Botafogo
28 9 8 11 -4 35
13
Vitoria
28 9 6 13 -14 33
14
Corinthians
28 8 8 12 -3 32
15
Mirassol
28 8 8 12 -9 32
16
Vasco DA Gama
27 8 7 12 -7 31
17
Gremio
28 7 8 13 -8 29
18
Internacional
28 6 10 12 -6 28
19
Remo
28 5 8 15 -15 23
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
27 3 9 15 -24 18

Bahia

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Ceni Rogerio
1 Ronaldo
46 Juba
21 Mingo
33 Duarte
31 Gómez
11 Nestor
6 Lucas
5 Acevedo
7 Ademir
9 Véliz
12 José

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Ronaldo G
31 Román Gómez D
33 David Duarte D
21 Santiago Ramos Mingo D
46 Luciano Juba D
7 Ademir M
5 Nicolás Acevedo M
6 Jean Lucas M
11 Rodrigo Nestor M
12 Willian José F
9 Alejo Véliz F

Substitutes

57 Kauê Furquim M
66 José Guilherme D
15 Michel Araújo M
8 Caio Alexandre M
17 Guido Herrera G
4 Kanu D
3 Marco Moreno D
44 Marcos Victor D
63 David Martins M
23 Mateo Sanabria F
99 Cristian Olivera F
27 Everaldo F

Vasco DA Gama

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Pedro Emanuel
1 Jardim
66 Cuiabano
30 Renan
46 Cuesta
96 Henrique
8 Jair
3 Tchê
7 David
23 Mendes
28 Adson
20 Brenner

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Léo Jardim G
96 Paulo Henrique D
46 Carlos Cuesta D
30 Robert Renan D
66 Cuiabano D
3 Tchê Tchê M
8 Jair M
28 Adson M
23 Thiago Mendes M
7 David M
20 Brenner F

Substitutes

4 Alan Saldivia D
18 Marino Hinestroza F
13 Daniel Fuzato G
37 Pablo G
6 Lucas Piton D
64 Walace D
43 Lucas Freitas D
2 Puma Rodríguez D
88 Cauan Barros M
10 Johan Rojas F
83 Ramon Rique M
77 Claudio Spinelli F

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