Lyon vs Lens Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34

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Lens

Away

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21%

25%

54%

Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Lyon vs Lens prediction: Sportiko gives Lyon a 21% chance of winning, Lens 54% and the draw 25%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Lens produced a dominant display at the Groupama Stadium, running out comprehensive 4-0 winners against Lyon in Ligue 1 matchday 34. Wesley Saïd was the catalyst, netting twice in quick succession in the 20th and 32nd minutes to put Lens firmly in control. Florian Sotoca added a third just before the break, sending the visitors into half-time with a commanding 3-0 lead — a result that effectively ended the contest.

Lyon's coaching staff responded with a raft of changes at the interval, introducing Ruben Kluivert, Ainsley Maitland-Niles, and withdrawing the booked Malang Sarr and Saud Abdulhamid, but the hosts struggled to find a foothold. Florian Thauvin compounded Lyon's misery with a fourth goal eight minutes into the second half before being substituted off shortly afterwards.

Despite Lyon enjoying 55% possession and generating 20 corners, they managed just four shots on target — a reflection of how effectively Lens defended their lead. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Lens victory as the most likely outcome at 54%, a call that proved well-founded on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 5'

Malang Sarr Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 20'

Wesley Saïd assist: Kyllian Antonio

▮ 27'

Saud Abdulhamid Yellow Card

⚽ 0–2 32'

Wesley Saïd assist: Amadou Haidara

⇄ 39'

Kyllian Antonio ⇄ Ismaelo Ganiou

⚽ 0–3 45'

Florian Sotoca assist: Florian Thauvin

HT 0–3

Ruben Kluivert ⇄ Roman Yaremchuk

46' ⇄

Ainsley Maitland-Niles ⇄ Hans Hateboer

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Malang Sarr ⇄ Matthieu Udol

⇄ 46'

Saud Abdulhamid ⇄ Ruben Aguilar

⚽ 0–4 53'

Florian Thauvin assist: Andrija Bulatovic

⇄ 61'

Amadou Haidara ⇄ Adrien Thomasson

⇄ 61'

Florian Thauvin ⇄ Abdallah Sima

Pavel Šulc Yellow Card

63' ▮

Endrick ⇄ Malick Fofana

71' ⇄

Orel Mangala ⇄ Ernest Nuamah

71' ⇄

▮ 73'

Ruben Aguilar Yellow Card

▮ 83'

Nidal Čelik Yellow Card

FT 0–4

Lyon

Match Stats

Lens

55% Ball Possession 45%

1.91 Expected Goals (xG) 1.54

16 Total Shots 14

4 Shots on Goal 4

7 Shots off Goal 8

5 Blocked Shots 2

11 Shots insidebox 10

5 Shots outsidebox 4

20 Corner Kicks 8

Offsides

10 Fouls 11

1 Yellow Cards 4

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

460 Total passes 384

388 Passes accurate 319

84% Passes % 83%

0.63 goals_prevented 0.63

Lyon

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
17 Afonso Moreira F	7.7	90'	–	–	2	24 (15%)	2
11 Malick Fofana F	7.7	19'	–	–	–	11 (10%)	–
16 Abner Vinícius M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	44 (41%)	3
9 Endrick F	6.7	71'	–	–	2	19 (13%)	–
37 Ernest Nuamah F	6.6	19'	–	–	–	12 (12%)	–
8 Corentin Tolisso M	6.6	90'	–	–	4	57 (48%)	–
5 Orel Mangala M	6.6	71'	–	–	–	24 (23%)	1
19 Moussa Niakhaté D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	63 (54%)	–
77 Roman Yaremchuk F	6.2	45'	–	–	1	4 (4%)	–
33 Hans Hateboer D	6.2	45'	–	–	–	23 (18%)	–
10 Pavel Šulc M	5.9	90'	–	–	1	32 (24%)	–
21 Ruben Kluivert D	5.9	45'	–	–	1	22 (19%)	2
22 Clinton Mata D	5.7	90'	–	–	–	55 (48%)	–
98 Ainsley Maitland-Niles D	5.6	45'	–	–	–	24 (22%)	–
1 Dominik Greif G	5.2	90'	–	–	–	46 (37%)	–

Lens

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
22 Wesley Saïd F	8.5	90'	2	–	5	26 (18%)	–
7 Florian Sotoca F	8.3	90'	1	–	1	25 (24%)	–
16 Mathieu Gorgelin G	8.2	90'	–	–	–	34 (24%)	–
5 Andrija Bulatovic M	7.6	90'	–	1	1	32 (26%)	4
25 Ismaelo Ganiou D	7.3	51'	–	–	2	30 (24%)	1
20 Malang Sarr D	7.3	45'	–	–	1	24 (22%)	2
14 Matthieu Udol D	7.3	45'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	2
10 Florian Thauvin F	7.3	61'	1	1	1	22 (17%)	–
32 Kyllian Antonio D	7.3	39'	–	1	–	22 (20%)	1
4 Nidal Čelik D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	52 (47%)	2
27 Arthur Masuaku M	7.0	90'	–	–	–	33 (28%)	1
21 Amadou Haidara M	7.0	61'	–	1	–	12 (10%)	–
2 Ruben Aguilar D	6.9	45'	–	–	–	17 (15%)	–
28 Adrien Thomasson M	6.7	29'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	–
19 Abdallah Sima F	6.5	29'	–	–	1	12 (10%)	–
23 Saud Abdulhamid M	6.2	45'	–	–	–	17 (12%)	–

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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

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Lyon

LLWWL

Lens

DWLWD

Last 3 meetings Lyon · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Lyon hosts Lens, both teams vying for crucial points as the season approaches its conclusion. Lyon has shown a solid home record with an average of 2.1 goals scored per match at Groupama Stadium, while Lens, known for their robust defense, has conceded just 1.2 goals per away match. Historically, matches between these sides have been tightly contested, with Lyon having the edge in home fixtures. However, Lens' counter-attacking style could exploit any defensive vulnerabilities in Lyon's backline. This match could significantly impact both teams' aspirations for European qualification.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lens goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	13	10	6	2	1
1	7	12	10	5	2	1
2	3	5	5	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Lyon goals · most likely 0–1 (12.5%)

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Head to Head: Lyon vs Lens

1 Lyon Wins

1 Draws

1 Lens Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Mar 2026	Lyon	2 - 2	Lens
16 Aug 2025	Lens	0 - 1	Lyon
04 May 2025	Lyon	1 - 2	Lens

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Lyon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Aug	A Sparta Praha	L	2 - 1
29 Jul	A Real Betis	L	4 - 0
15 Jul	H Servette FC	W	2 - 1
11 Jul	H FC ST. Gallen	W	6 - 3
17 May	H Lens	L	0 - 4

Lens — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
25 Jul	H Charleroi	D	2 - 2
17 May	A Lyon	W	0 - 4
13 May	H Paris Saint Germain	L	0 - 2
08 May	H Nantes	W	1 - 0
02 May	A Nice	D	1 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Angers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Stade Brestois 29	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Lille	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Nice	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Paris Saint Germain	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Lens	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Estac Troyes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0