Lecce vs Fiorentina Predviđanje

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 33
FT
Post on X
AI poziv Teška pobeda ili remi za Fiorentina
20%
25%
55%
Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Prognoza: Lecce vs Fiorentina: Sportiko procenjuje da Lecce ima 20% šanse za pobedu, Fiorentina 55%, a nerešeno 25%. Poslednje ažuriranje 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Fiorentina took control of this Serie A encounter early, with Jack Harrison breaking the deadlock on 30 minutes to give the visitors a deserved half-time lead. The Florentines dominated possession at 55% and registered 14 total shots across the 90 minutes, reflecting their overall superiority throughout the contest.

Lecce responded after the break with a flurry of substitutions, and the equaliser arrived on 71 minutes through Tiago Gabriel — though the scorer was immediately booked the following minute in a frantic spell. The hosts' comeback was hard-earned against a Fiorentina side that had the better of the underlying numbers, with the visitors posting an expected goals figure of 1.26 to Lecce's 1.14. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Fiorentina win as the most likely outcome at 55%, and while the visitors ultimately couldn't hold on for three points, the call reflected their dominance well.

The closing stages were ill-tempered, with yellow cards shown to De Gea, Pongračić, Fazzini and Solomon as both sides grew frustrated. The draw leaves Fiorentina with a point from a game they might reasonably feel they should have won.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

11'
Robin Gosens ⇄ Luís Balbo
0–1 30'
Jack Harrison assist: Rolando Mandragora
HT 0–1
Konan N'Dri ⇄ Lameck Banda
56'
Oumar Ngom ⇄ Omri Gandelman
57'
Walid Cheddira ⇄ Nikola Štulić
57'
60'
Albert Guðmundsson ⇄ Manor Solomon
Santiago Pierotti Yellow Card
62'
Tiago Gabriel assist: Antonino Gallo
71' 1–1
Tiago Gabriel Yellow Card
72'
76'
David De Gea Yellow Card
79'
Marin Pongračić Yellow Card
80'
Jack Harrison ⇄ Jacopo Fazzini
80'
Nicolò Fagioli ⇄ Giovanni Fabbian
80'
Cher Ndour ⇄ Marco Brescianini
82'
Jacopo Fazzini Yellow Card
Antonino Gallo ⇄ Corrie Ndaba
85'
90+1'
Manor Solomon Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Lecce

Match Stats

Fiorentina
55% Ball Possession 45%
1.26 Expected Goals (xG) 1.14
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 0
9 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 1
5 Corner Kicks 2
2 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
373 Total passes 327
293 Passes accurate 253
79% Passes % 77%
-0.43 goals_prevented -0.43
Lecce
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
20 Ylber Ramadani M 8.0 90' 1 55 (50%) 4
19 Lameck Banda M 7.3 34' 1 9 (7%) 2
17 Danilo Veiga D 7.2 90' 30 (23%) 2
44 Tiago Gabriel D 7.2 90' 1 1 43 (38%)
79 Oumar Ngom M 7.0 57' 1 28 (26%) 3
25 Antonino Gallo D 7.0 85' 1 33 (22%) 1
3 Corrie Ndaba D 6.9 10' 5 (4%)
16 Omri Gandelman M 6.9 33' 12 (6%)
11 Konan N'Dri M 6.9 56' 1 12 (7%) 2
29 Lassana Coulibaly M 6.7 90' 1 37 (32%) 2
9 Nikola Štulić F 6.7 33' 1 5 (4%)
50 Santiago Pierotti M 6.6 90' 2 37 (28%) 4
30 Wladimiro Falcone G 6.3 90' 19 (12%)
5 Jamil Siebert D 6.3 90' 40 (30%) 1
99 Walid Cheddira F 6.3 57' 2 8 (4%)
Fiorentina
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
44 Nicolò Fagioli M 7.9 80' 33 (30%) 3
2 Dodô D 7.5 90' 26 (22%) 2
17 Jack Harrison F 7.3 80' 1 1 23 (18%) 1
5 Marin Pongračić D 6.9 90' 54 (47%)
6 Luca Ranieri D 6.9 90' 41 (34%) 3
80 Giovanni Fabbian M 6.7 10' 4 (2%)
4 Marco Brescianini M 6.7 10' 5 (4%)
21 Robin Gosens D 6.6 11' 4 (4%)
8 Rolando Mandragora M 6.6 90' 1 2 31 (22%) 2
22 Jacopo Fazzini M 6.6 10' 1 (1%) 2
62 Luís Balbo D 6.3 79' 20 (14%) 4
43 David De Gea G 6.2 90' 29 (17%)
19 Manor Solomon F 6.2 30' 4 (3%)
10 Albert Guðmundsson F 6.2 60' 16 (10%)
91 Roberto Piccoli F 5.9 90' 1 15 (9%)
27 Cher Ndour M 5.6 80' 1 21 (16%) 1
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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Naša prognoza
Teška pobeda ili remi za Fiorentina
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Lecce
LWLLW
Fiorentina
DWWLL
Last 3 meetings Lecce · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Lecce hosts Fiorentina on April 19, 2026. Lecce, known for their solid home advantage, has been leveraging a robust defensive setup, allowing only 1.1 goals per game at home this season. Fiorentina, on the other hand, boasts a potent attack, averaging 2.0 goals per match, and will look to capitalize on their speed on the counter. Historically, Fiorentina has had the upper hand in this fixture, winning 60% of their encounters in the last five seasons. The match is poised to be a tactical battle between Lecce's resilience and Fiorentina's offensive flair.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Players in form

Lecce
L. Coulibaly 2 gls
Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 3 gls

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Head to Head: Lecce vs Fiorentina

1 Lecce Wins
0 Draws
2 Fiorentina Wins
Date Home Score Away
02 Nov 2025 Fiorentina 0 - 1 Lecce
28 Feb 2025 Fiorentina 1 - 0 Lecce
20 Oct 2024 Lecce 0 - 6 Fiorentina
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Lecce — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A AC Milan L 3 - 0
13 Sep H Monza W 3 - 2
07 Sep A Cagliari L 1 - 0
31 Aug H AS Roma L 0 - 4
23 Aug A Venezia W 0 - 2

Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Napoli D 1 - 1
15 Sep H Pisa W 3 - 0
11 Sep A Venezia W 2 - 4
05 Sep H Torino L 1 - 2
29 Aug H Frosinone L 0 - 3

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Fiorentina

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Paolo Vanoli
43 Gea
21 Gosens
6 Ranieri
5 Pongracic
2 Dodo
27 Ndour
44 Fagioli
8 Mandragora
10 Gudmundsson
91 Piccoli
17 Harrison

Starting XI

# Player Pos
43 D. de Gea G
2 Dodo D
5 M. Pongracic D
6 L. Ranieri D
21 R. Gosens D
8 R. Mandragora M
44 N. Fagioli M
27 C. Ndour M
17 J. Harrison F
91 R. Piccoli F
10 A. Gudmundsson F

Substitutes

1 L. Lezzerini G
53 O. Christensen G
22 J. Fazzini M
80 G. Fabbian M
61 R. Braschi F
23 E. Kospo D
60 E. Kouadio D
3 D. Rugani D
19 M. Solomon F
4 M. Brescianini M
62 L. Balbo D
15 P. Comuzzo D
69 G. Puzzoli F

Lecce

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco
30 Falcone
25 Gallo
44 Gabriel
5 Siebert
17 Veiga
79 Ngom
20 Ramadani
11 Ndri
29 Coulibaly
50 Pierotti
99 Cheddira

Starting XI

# Player Pos
30 W. Falcone G
17 D. Veiga D
5 J. Siebert D
44 Tiago Gabriel D
25 A. Gallo D
20 Y. Ramadani M
79 O. Ngom M
50 S. Pierotti M
29 L. Coulibaly M
11 K. Ndri M
99 W. Cheddira F

Substitutes

1 C. Fruchtl G
32 J. Samooja G
14 T. J. Helgason M
36 F. Marchwinski M
16 O. Gandelman M
6 A. Sala M
28 O. Gorter M
3 C. Ndaba D
19 L. Banda M
18 G. Jean D
9 N. Stulic F
80 N. Kovac M
13 M. Perez D

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