1899 Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33

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Werder Bremen

Away

PreZero Arena, Sinsheim

AI poziv Teška pobeda ili remi za 1899 Hoffenheim

57%

23%

20%

Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

1899 Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen prediction: Sportiko gives 1899 Hoffenheim a 57% chance of winning, Werder Bremen 20% and the draw 23%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Hoffenheim claimed all three points against Werder Bremen in a match that was shaped dramatically in its opening minutes. Yukinari Sugawara was shown a red card in the fifth minute following a VAR review and card upgrade, leaving Bremen to play the entire match with ten men. Hoffenheim capitalised on the numerical advantage when Bazoumana Touré scored a straightforward goal in the 26th minute, a lead the hosts would protect through to the final whistle.

Despite their disadvantage, Bremen dominated possession with 72% of the ball and created the greater expected goals figure of 1.52 compared to Hoffenheim's 1.07, though they managed just four shots on target across the ninety minutes. Hoffenheim's defensive resolve proved the difference, as Bremen's pressure — including eight corner kicks — ultimately failed to produce an equaliser.

Our pre-match AI model rated a Hoffenheim win as the most likely outcome at 57%, a call that proved correct. The result keeps Hoffenheim competitive in the Bundesliga standings, while Bremen will rue the early dismissal that fundamentally altered the contest.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

🖵 4'

Yukinari Sugawara Card upgrade

▮ 5'

Yukinari Sugawara Red Card

⇄ 12'

Salim Musah ⇄ Isaac Schmidt

Bazoumana Touré assist: Andrej Kramarić

26' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 41'

Cameron Puertas Yellow Card

HT 1–0

Bazoumana Touré ⇄ Alexander Prass

57' ⇄

Bernardo Yellow Card

66' ▮

Bernardo ⇄ Robin Hranáč

71' ⇄

Tim Lemperle ⇄ Cole Campbell

71' ⇄

⇄ 71'

Romano Schmid ⇄ Marco Grüll

⇄ 71'

Jens Stage ⇄ Samuel Mbangula

⇄ 81'

⇄ Maximilian Wöber

▮ 88'

Justin Njinmah Yellow Card

Fisnik Asllani ⇄ Adam Hložek

89' ⇄

Andrej Kramarić ⇄ Grischa Prömel

89' ⇄

FT 1–0

1899 Hoffenheim

Match Stats

Werder Bremen

72% Ball Possession 28%

1.52 Expected Goals (xG) 1.07

15 Total Shots 11

4 Shots on Goal 2

8 Shots off Goal 5

3 Blocked Shots 4

8 Shots insidebox 5

7 Shots outsidebox 6

8 Corner Kicks 3

Offsides

4 Fouls 3

1 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

684 Total passes 267

597 Passes accurate 172

87% Passes % 64%

0.44 goals_prevented 0.44

1899 Hoffenheim

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Albian Hajdari D	8.6	90'	–	–	–	88 (81%)	2
34 Vladimír Coufal D	8.5	90'	–	–	–	77 (69%)	2
7 Leon Avdullahu M	8.2	90'	–	–	–	106 (100%)	–
5 Ozan Kabak D	7.5	90'	–	–	1	75 (71%)	–
29 Bazoumana Touré M	7.3	57'	1	–	1	24 (20%)	1
18 Wouter Burger M	7.3	90'	–	–	3	82 (72%)	1
1 Oliver Baumann G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	22 (19%)	–
2 Robin Hranáč D	6.9	19'	–	–	–	18 (14%)	1
27 Andrej Kramarić M	6.9	89'	–	1	1	45 (41%)	2
13 Bernardo D	6.9	71'	–	–	–	59 (45%)	–
11 Fisnik Asllani M	6.5	89'	–	–	3	27 (19%)	–
20 Cole Campbell F	6.5	19'	–	–	–	12 (12%)	–
22 Alexander Prass D	6.3	33'	–	–	1	17 (14%)	–
19 Tim Lemperle F	6.3	71'	–	–	2	22 (12%)	–
23 Adam Hložek F	—	1'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
6 Grischa Prömel M	—	1'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–

Werder Bremen

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
30 Mio Backhaus G	7.9	90'	–	–	–	50 (24%)	–
39 Maximilian Wöber D	7.5	10'	–	–	–	6 (3%)	–
2 Olivier Deman D	7.2	90'	–	–	2	24 (12%)	4
14 Senne Lynen M	7.2	90'	–	–	1	22 (18%)	5
18 Cameron Puertas M	6.7	90'	–	–	1	28 (26%)	2
6 Jens Stage M	6.7	71'	–	–	–	26 (18%)	–
17 Marco Grüll F	6.6	19'	–	–	–	4 (1%)	1
20 Romano Schmid M	6.5	71'	–	–	–	29 (16%)	1
11 Justin Njinmah M	6.5	90'	–	–	3	16 (12%)	–
29 Salim Musah F	6.5	12'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
32 Marco Friedl D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	1
5 Amos Pieper D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	23 (16%)	–
7 Samuel Mbangula F	6.3	19'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	–
23 Isaac Schmidt D	6.3	68'	–	–	–	15 (9%)	2
3 Yukinari Sugawara D	3.0	5'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

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Teška pobeda ili remi za 1899 Hoffenheim

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1899 Hoffenheim

WWLWD

Werder Bremen

WWDLL

Last 3 meetings 1899 Hoffenheim · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, 1899 Hoffenheim will host Werder Bremen on May 9, 2026. Hoffenheim has shown a solid home performance this season, with a win rate of around 60% at home, while their attacking unit averages 1.8 goals per match. Conversely, Werder Bremen has struggled on the road, with a win rate of only 25% away from home and a defensive record that concedes an average of 2 goals per match. Both teams will be eager to secure points, but Hoffenheim's home advantage and superior form suggest they will likely come out on top in this encounter. Expect a competitive match, potentially influenced by individual player performances, particularly in the midfield battle.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Werder Bremen goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	6	6	3	1
1	12	11	5	2
2	10	10	5	1
3	6	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ 1899 Hoffenheim goals · most likely 1–0 (11.6%)

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Head to Head: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen

2 1899 Hoffenheim Wins

0 Draws

1 Werder Bremen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Jan 2026	Werder Bremen	0 - 2	1899 Hoffenheim
16 Feb 2025	Werder Bremen	1 - 3	1899 Hoffenheim
29 Sep 2024	1899 Hoffenheim	3 - 4	Werder Bremen

See all 10 meetings — Premium

1899 Hoffenheim — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Karlsruher SC	W	3 - 0
29 Jul	H Holstein Kiel	W	3 - 1
16 May	A Borussia Mönchengladbach	L	4 - 0
09 May	H Werder Bremen	W	1 - 0
02 May	H VfB Stuttgart	D	3 - 3

Werder Bremen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Energie Cottbus	W	2 - 4
25 Jul	H VfL Bochum	W	2 - 0
22 Jul	H Fagiano Okayama	D	0 - 0
16 May	H Borussia Dortmund	L	0 - 2
09 May	A 1899 Hoffenheim	L	1 - 0

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Borussia Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	VfB Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	1899 Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	FSV Mainz 05	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	1. FC Köln	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	FC Schalke 04	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	SV Elversberg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	SC Paderborn 07	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0