Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia Predviđanje

UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4
FT
Post on X
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
AI poziv Teška pobeda ili remi za Torreense
52%
27%
21%
Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Prognoza: Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia: Sportiko procenjuje da Torreense ima 52% šanse za pobedu, Ararat-Armenia 21%, a nerešeno 27%. Poslednje ažuriranje 5 Nov 2026, 21:59.

Premium analize

Premium
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 73%
  • Manje od 3.5 golova 71%
Premium članovi su imali ove prognoze pre početka utakmice. Pogledaj Premium izbore

Match Report

Torreense claimed a dramatic 3–2 victory over Ararat-Armenia in a Europa League league stage encounter that swung wildly on red cards and late drama. Jorge Aguirre gave the Portuguese side an early lead on 13 minutes, but a VAR-upgraded red card saw him dismissed just 12 minutes later, leaving Torreense to defend with ten men for much of the contest. Ararat levelled through K. Muradyan on 41 minutes, sending the sides into the break level at 1–1.

Bruno Wilson restored Torreense's advantage shortly after the hour mark, and the hosts appeared to be managing the game despite their numerical disadvantage. However, a second red card — this time for João Bravim on 76 minutes — reduced them to nine men and reopened the contest entirely. Javi Vázquez struck deep into stoppage time to seemingly seal the points, before M. Drammeh pulled one back for Ararat in the fifth minute of added time, setting up a nervy finish.

Torreense ultimately held on, dominating possession at 58% and registering 19 total shots to Ararat's 12. The win vindicated our pre-match AI model, which had rated a Torreense victory as the most likely outcome at 52%.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Jorge Aguirre assist: Javi Vázquez
13' ⚽ 1–0
Jorge Aguirre Card upgrade confirmed
22' 🖵
Jorge Aguirre Red Card
25' ▮
Karem Zoabi ⇄ M. Drammeh
36' ⇄
⚽ 1–1 41'
K. Muradyan assist: Z. Shaghoyan
▮ 43'
Bruno Wilson Yellow Card
▮ 45+2'
K. Muradyan Yellow Card
Volnei Feltes Yellow Card
45+2' ▮
HT 1–1
▮ 48'
Bernardo Yellow Card
⚽ 1–2 58'
Bruno Wilson assist: A. Serobyan
Manu Pozo ⇄ L. Quintero
66' ⇄
Jonathan Mutombo ⇄ David Bruno
66' ⇄
⇄ 68'
Bernardo ⇄ Zidane Banjaqui
⇄ 68'
Z. Shaghoyan ⇄ França
▮ 76'
João Bravim Red Card
Joao Marques ⇄ A. Oudrhiri
76' ⇄
D. Jean ⇄ Juan María Alcedo
76' ⇄
▮ 79'
Arman Nersesyan Yellow Card
⇄ 79'
A. Serobyan ⇄ Arman Nersesyan
⇄ 80'
Juan Balanta ⇄ K. Hovhannisyan
▮ 84'
França Yellow Card
⇄ 85'
Hugo Oliveira ⇄ M. Carlier
M. Drammeh Yellow Card
88' ▮
Javi Vázquez assist: David Bruno
90+3' ⚽ 2–2
M. Drammeh
90+5' ⚽ 3–2
FT 3–2
Torreense

Match Stats

Ararat-Armenia
42% Ball Possession 58%
1.48 Expected Goals (xG) 1.66
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Goal 8
6 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 7
7 Shots insidebox 10
5 Shots outsidebox 9
4 Corner Kicks 6
2 Offsides 3
13 Fouls 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
1 Red Cards 1
6 Goalkeeper Saves 2
331 Total passes 469
275 Passes accurate 415
10 Free Kicks 13
Torreense
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Javi Vázquez D 7.9 90' 1 1 3 27 (21%) 1
17 M. Drammeh F 7.5 54' 1 – 1 10 (5%) 1
1 Lucas Paes G 7.4 90' – – – 36 (26%) –
14 Jorge Aguirre F 7.0 25' 1 – 1 1 (1%) 1
22 David Bruno D 6.8 24' – 1 – 5 (4%) –
4 Volnei Feltes D 6.6 90' – – – 70 (64%) –
29 L. Quintero F 6.6 24' – – 3 2 (2%) –
8 Alejandro Alfaro M 6.5 90' – – – 39 (37%) 1
11 Manu Pozo M 6.4 66' – – – 14 (9%) 3
33 Joao Marques M 6.2 76' – – 1 18 (14%) 1
45 Jonathan Mutombo D 6.2 66' – – – 13 (12%) 1
5 M. Diadie D 6.1 90' – – 2 63 (51%) –
7 D. Jean M 6.1 76' – – 1 18 (14%) 2
6 A. Oudrhiri M 6.0 14' – – – 10 (10%) –
19 Karem Zoabi M 5.9 36' – – – 1 (1%) –
3 Juan María Alcedo D 5.8 14' – – – 4 (4%) –
Ararat-Armenia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Z. Shaghoyan M 7.6 68' – 1 1 31 (27%) 2
43 Bruno Wilson D 7.0 90' 1 – 1 56 (54%) 2
8 Juan Balanta M 6.9 80' – – 1 55 (52%) –
19 K. Muradyan M 6.7 90' 1 – 2 38 (28%) –
2 Hugo Oliveira D 6.7 85' – – 2 46 (42%) 2
77 A. Serobyan M 6.6 79' – 1 4 47 (39%) –
95 França F 6.5 22' – – – 4 (4%) –
91 Sandro Lima F 6.3 90' – – 2 35 (29%) 1
47 Alexandros Malis D 6.3 90' – – – 57 (53%) 1
16 E. Grigoryan D 6.2 90' – – 1 41 (36%) 2
70 Bernardo M 6.2 68' – – 3 26 (23%) –
11 Zidane Banjaqui M 6.0 22' – – 2 16 (13%) –
13 K. Hovhannisyan D 5.9 10' – – – 1 (1%) –
17 M. Carlier M 5.8 5' – – – 2 (2%) –
98 João Bravim G 5.1 76' – – – 10 (9%) –
1 Arman Nersesyan G 4.5 11' – – – 4 (3%) –
Premium

Otključaj potpunu AI analizu za Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia

  • Sva 70+ tržišta verovatnoće
  • AI Dubinska Analiza utakmice
  • Tipovi koje biraš
Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Naša prognoza
Teška pobeda ili remi za Torreense
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now
Torreense
WDWLL
Ararat-Armenia
LWWLW

Live insights

90' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

90' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 3-2! Torreense win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Ararat-Armenia leads 1-2. Win probability: 86.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 13.8%.

59' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. Ararat-Armenia win: 77.2%. BTTS: 100%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-1. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 27.1%, Away win 2H: 27.7%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
52%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
21%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Torreense — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Ararat-Armenia W 3 - 2
31 Oct A Portimonense D 0 - 0
26 Oct H Amarante W 1 - 0
22 Oct A Ferencvarosi TC L 4 - 1
15 Oct H Sunderland L 1 - 2

Ararat-Armenia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Torreense L 3 - 2
01 Nov H Gandzasar W 3 - 0
26 Oct H FC Noah W 2 - 1
22 Oct H AZ Alkmaar L 0 - 4
18 Oct A BKMA W 0 - 1

UEFA Europa League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Benfica
4 4 0 0 +10 12
2
Bournemouth
4 4 0 0 +9 12
3
Ferencvarosi TC
4 4 0 0 +8 12
4
Union St. Gilloise
4 3 1 0 +8 10
5
Juventus
4 3 1 0 +7 10
6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 3 1 0 +3 10
7
Bayer Leverkusen
4 3 0 1 +7 9
8
Beşiktaş
4 2 1 1 +3 7
9
Dinamo Zagreb
4 2 1 1 +1 7
10
Levski Sofia
4 2 1 1 +1 7
11
Sunderland
4 2 1 1 0 7
12
NEC Nijmegen
4 2 1 1 -1 7
13
Lyon
4 2 1 1 -1 7
14
AZ Alkmaar
4 2 0 2 +3 6
15
Anderlecht
4 2 0 2 +3 6
16
OFI
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Rennes
4 1 3 0 +1 6
18
Omonia Nicosia
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Torreense
4 2 0 2 -2 6
20
Real Sociedad
4 1 2 1 +5 5
21
Crystal Palace
4 1 2 1 +3 5
22
Sparta Praha
4 1 1 2 0 4
23
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 1 2 0 4
24
Sturm Graz
4 1 1 2 -3 4
25
Celje
4 1 1 2 -4 4
26
Red Bull Salzburg
4 1 1 2 -5 4
27
Celta Vigo
4 1 0 3 -2 3
28
AC Milan
4 1 0 3 -3 3
29
Jagiellonia
4 1 0 3 -3 3
30
Plzen
4 1 0 3 -4 3
31
Marseille
4 1 0 3 -4 3
32
Celtic
4 1 0 3 -5 3
33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4 0 1 3 -7 1
34
Lillestrom
4 0 1 3 -8 1
35
Lech Poznan
4 0 1 3 -10 1
36
Ararat-Armenia
4 0 0 4 -10 0

Ararat-Armenia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Seong-jae Kim
98 Bravim
16 Grigoryan
47 Malis
43 Wilson
2 Oliveira
8 Balanta
19 Muradyan
7 Shaghoyan
70 Oliveira
77 Serobyan
91 Lima

Starting XI

# Player Pos
98 João Bravim G
2 Hugo Oliveira D
43 Bruno Wilson D
47 A. Malis D
16 E. Grigoryan D
19 K. Muradyan M
8 J. Balanta M
77 A. Serobyan M
70 B. Oliveira M
7 Z. Shaghoyan M
91 Sandro Lima F

Substitutes

10 A. Ambartsumyan M
20 A. Tera M
14 Bruno Pereira D
25 A. Ndour F
5 Luís Felipe D
13 K. Hovhannisyan D
95 França F
9 A. Eloyan M
17 M. Carlier M
11 Zidane Banjaqui M
1 A. Nersesyan G

Torreense

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: João Nuno
1 Paes
23 Vázquez
4 Feltes
5 Diadie
45 Mutombo
8 Alfaro
33 Marques
7 Jean
19 Zoabi
11 Pozo
14 Aguirre

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Lucas Paes G
45 J. Mutombo D
5 M. Diadie D
4 Volnei Feltes D
23 Javi Vázquez D
33 João Marques M
8 Alejandro Alfaro M
11 Manu Pozo M
19 K. Zoabi M
7 D. Jean M
14 Jorge Aguirre F

Substitutes

31 Adriel G
3 Juan María Alcedo D
44 S. Henriksen G
22 David Bruno D
17 M. Drammeh F
21 Nuha Jatta M
6 A. Oudrhiri M
29 L. Quintero F
26 André Simões M
2 Stopira D
63 Daniel Zamith De Oliveira Noro F
86 Gustavo Sousa Alhinho Alves Rijo M

Sportiko Asistent

Funkcionalnosti, takmičenje ili fudbal

Registruj se besplatno i razgovaraj sa Sportiko Asistentom — pitaj o predikcijama, takmičenju, bilo čemu vezanom za fudbal.

Registruj se besplatno Već imate nalog? Prijavite se