Real Sociedad vs Lyon Predviđanje

UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4
FT
Post on X
Reale Arena, Donostia-San Sebastián
AI poziv Teška pobeda ili remi za Real Sociedad
57%
23%
19%
Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Prognoza: Real Sociedad vs Lyon: Sportiko procenjuje da Real Sociedad ima 57% šanse za pobedu, Lyon 19%, a nerešeno 23%. Poslednje ažuriranje 5 Nov 2026, 19:40.

Match Report

Real Sociedad and Lyon played out a tense 1–1 draw in the UEFA Europa League league stage, with the hosts taking the lead through Orri Steinn Óskarsson on 28 minutes. The Basque side carried that advantage into half-time, looking comfortable with 53% possession and controlling much of the first-half tempo.

Lyon responded after the break, with Corentin Tolisso equalising on 54 minutes to reset the contest. The second half grew increasingly fractious, with five yellow cards issued after the interval — including bookings for Gonçalo Guedes, Ander Barrenetxea, Julien Duranville, Dominik Greif, Yangel Herrera, and Abner Vinícius — as both sides pushed for a winner. Despite Lyon's expected goals figure of 1.41 edging out Real Sociedad's 0.94, neither team could find a decisive moment.

The result means the points were shared, though it is worth noting that our pre-match AI model had rated a Real Sociedad win as the most likely outcome at 57% — a call that ultimately fell short as Lyon's second-half response secured a point for the visitors.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Orri Steinn Óskarsson assist: Ander Barrenetxea
28' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 38'
Kaïl Boudache Yellow Card
Mamadou Sarr ⇄ Jon Martin
45' ⇄
HT 1–0
⚽ 1–1 54'
Corentin Tolisso assist: Tanner Tessmann
Gonçalo Guedes Yellow Card
61' ▮
Gonçalo Guedes ⇄ Job Ochieng
66' ⇄
⇄ 67'
Keito Nakamura ⇄ Julien Duranville
⇄ 75'
Mads Bidstrup ⇄ Noah Nartey
Ander Barrenetxea Yellow Card
77' ▮
Orri Steinn Óskarsson ⇄ Luka Sučić
79' ⇄
Ander Barrenetxea ⇄ Pablo Marín
79' ⇄
▮ 82'
Julien Duranville Yellow Card
▮ 87'
Dominik Greif Yellow Card
Yangel Herrera Yellow Card
89' ▮
⇄ 89'
Kaïl Boudache ⇄ Nicolás Tagliafico
⇄ 89'
Khalis Merah ⇄ Alejandro Gomes Rodriguez
▮ 90+1'
Abner Vinícius Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Real Sociedad

Match Stats

Lyon
47% Ball Possession 53%
1.41 Expected Goals (xG) 0.94
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 6
6 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 6
5 Corner Kicks 6
1 Offsides 4
23 Fouls 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
444 Total passes 509
369 Passes accurate 438
10 Free Kicks 22
Real Sociedad
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Orri Steinn Óskarsson F 8.0 79' 1 – 2 15 (10%) 1
5 Igor Zubeldia D 7.1 90' – – – 54 (51%) 4
19 Mamadou Sarr D 7.0 46' – – – 44 (39%) –
2 Jon Aramburu D 6.9 90' – – 1 33 (28%) 3
6 Jon Martin D 6.8 44' – – – 30 (27%) –
7 Ander Barrenetxea M 6.8 79' – 1 2 23 (17%) 1
17 Sergio Gómez D 6.7 90' – – 1 47 (38%) –
13 Unai Marrero G 6.7 90' – – – 44 (37%) –
12 Job Ochieng F 6.6 24' – – 1 3 (2%) 2
4 Jon Gorrotxategi M 6.5 90' – – – 42 (36%) 1
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F 6.4 90' – – 2 33 (26%) –
15 Pablo Marín M 6.4 11' – – – – 1
11 Gonçalo Guedes M 6.3 66' – – 2 25 (14%) –
21 Yangel Herrera M 6.3 90' – – – 48 (41%) 3
24 Luka Sučić M 6.2 11' – – – 3 (3%) –
Lyon
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Corentin Tolisso M 7.9 90' 1 – 4 56 (47%) –
6 Tanner Tessmann M 7.7 90' – 1 1 57 (54%) 2
11 Keito Nakamura F 6.9 67' – – 2 20 (19%) –
20 Felix Bacher D 6.8 90' – – 1 64 (58%) –
21 Ruben Kluivert D 6.8 90' – – – 62 (56%) 2
24 Julien Duranville F 6.6 23' – – – 2 (1%) –
1 Dominik Greif G 6.5 90' – – – 38 (26%) –
18 Khalis Merah F 6.5 89' – – 1 52 (49%) 1
3 Nicolás Tagliafico D 6.4 1' – – – 2 (1%) 1
2 Mads Bidstrup M 6.4 75' – – – 24 (19%) 3
13 Zachary Athekame D 6.3 90' – – 1 44 (35%) –
16 Abner Vinícius D 6.2 90' – – – 49 (41%) 2
26 Kaïl Boudache F 6.2 89' – – 2 32 (26%) –
32 Alejandro Gomes Rodriguez F 6.1 1' – – – 1 (1%) –
99 Noah Nartey M 5.9 15' – – – 6 (5%) –
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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Naša prognoza
Teška pobeda ili remi za Real Sociedad
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Real Sociedad
DLWWW
Lyon
DWLLW
Last 2 meetings Real Sociedad · 2W 0D 0L

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 62.9%. Late goal chance: 41.6%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Real Sociedad leads. Win probability: 81.6%. Over 0.5 more goals: 79%.

28' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Real Sociedad win: 81%. BTTS: 55%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
57%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
19%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Real Sociedad
Sergio Gómez 3 gls
Lyon

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Real Sociedad vs Lyon

2 Real Sociedad Wins
0 Draws
0 Lyon Wins
Date Home Score Away
28 Aug 2013 Real Sociedad 2 - 0 Lyon
20 Aug 2013 Lyon 0 - 2 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Lyon D 1 - 1
01 Nov A Athletic Club L 2 - 1
25 Oct H Levante W 2 - 1
22 Oct A Lillestrom W 0 - 6
18 Oct A Malaga W 2 - 5

Lyon — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Real Sociedad D 1 - 1
01 Nov H Angers W 2 - 0
26 Oct A Paris Saint Germain L 2 - 0
22 Oct A 1899 Hoffenheim L 3 - 0
18 Oct H Nice W 2 - 1

UEFA Europa League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Benfica
4 4 0 0 +10 12
2
Bournemouth
4 4 0 0 +9 12
3
Ferencvarosi TC
4 4 0 0 +8 12
4
Union St. Gilloise
4 3 1 0 +8 10
5
Juventus
4 3 1 0 +7 10
6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 3 1 0 +3 10
7
Bayer Leverkusen
4 3 0 1 +7 9
8
Beşiktaş
4 2 1 1 +3 7
9
Dinamo Zagreb
4 2 1 1 +1 7
10
Levski Sofia
4 2 1 1 +1 7
11
Sunderland
4 2 1 1 0 7
12
NEC Nijmegen
4 2 1 1 -1 7
13
Lyon
4 2 1 1 -1 7
14
AZ Alkmaar
4 2 0 2 +3 6
15
Anderlecht
4 2 0 2 +3 6
16
OFI
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Rennes
4 1 3 0 +1 6
18
Omonia Nicosia
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Torreense
4 2 0 2 -2 6
20
Real Sociedad
4 1 2 1 +5 5
21
Crystal Palace
4 1 2 1 +3 5
22
Sparta Praha
4 1 1 2 0 4
23
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 1 2 0 4
24
Sturm Graz
4 1 1 2 -3 4
25
Celje
4 1 1 2 -4 4
26
Red Bull Salzburg
4 1 1 2 -5 4
27
Celta Vigo
4 1 0 3 -2 3
28
AC Milan
4 1 0 3 -3 3
29
Jagiellonia
4 1 0 3 -3 3
30
Plzen
4 1 0 3 -4 3
31
Marseille
4 1 0 3 -4 3
32
Celtic
4 1 0 3 -5 3
33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4 0 1 3 -7 1
34
Lillestrom
4 0 1 3 -8 1
35
Lech Poznan
4 0 1 3 -10 1
36
Ararat-Armenia
4 0 0 4 -10 0

Lyon

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Jorge Maciel
1 Greif
16 Abner
21 Kluivert
20 Bacher
13 Athekame
8 Tolisso
6 Tessmann
2 Bidstrup
11 Nakamura
18 Merah
26 Boudache

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 D. Greif G
13 Z. Athekame D
20 F. Bacher D
21 R. Kluivert D
16 Abner D
2 M. Bidstrup M
6 T. Tessmann M
8 C. Tolisso M
26 K. Boudache F
18 K. Merah F
11 Keito Nakamura F

Substitutes

44 A. Hamdani F
85 N. Kamara D
22 Clinton Mata D
99 N. Nartey M
3 N. Tagliafico D
46 Tiago Gonçalves M
32 Alejandro Gomes Rodriguez F
24 J. Duranville F
40 R. Descamps G
25 J. Bengui João G

Real Sociedad

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: P. Matarazzo
13 Marrero
17 Gómez
19 Sarr
5 Zubeldia
2 Aramburu
11 Guedes
21 Herrera
4 Gorrotxategi
7 Barrenetxea
9 Óskarsson
10 Oyarzabal

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 Unai Marrero G
2 J. Aramburu D
5 Zubeldia D
19 M. Sarr D
17 Sergio Gómez D
7 Barrenetxea M
4 Jon Gorrotxategi M
21 Y. Herrera M
11 Gonçalo Guedes M
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
9 O. Óskarsson F

Substitutes

8 Beñat Turrientes M
22 Héctor Fort D
14 T. Kubo F
28 A. Lebarbier M
29 Alex Garcia F
15 Pablo Marín M
6 Jon Martín D
3 Aihen Muñoz D
12 J. Ochieng F
16 Jon Pacheco D
1 Álex Remiro G
24 L. Sučić M

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