Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Predviđanje

UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 3
FT
Post on X
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
AI poziv Real Madrid da pobedi ili remizira
75%
15%
10%
Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Prognoza: Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: Sportiko procenjuje da Real Madrid ima 75% šanse za pobedu, RB Leipzig 10%, a nerešeno 15%. Poslednje ažuriranje 21 Oct 2026, 20:55.

Match Report

Real Madrid secured a comfortable 4–1 victory over RB Leipzig in the UEFA Champions League league stage, despite the visitors dominating possession with 65% and generating an xG of 2.92 compared to Madrid's 1.46. The only goal of the first half came just before the break, with Bernardo Silva opening the scoring in the 43rd minute to give the hosts a slender advantage at half-time.

Leipzig responded quickly after the restart through Arda Güler in the 52nd minute to level the contest, but Madrid regained control as the second half progressed. Kylian Mbappé restored the lead in the 83rd minute, and late strikes from Tidiam Gomis and Yan Diomande in the 85th and 87th minutes sealed an emphatic scoreline in the closing stages.

Our pre-match AI model had flagged a Real Madrid win as the most likely outcome at 75%, a call that proved accurate. Despite being second-best in terms of possession and shot volume, Madrid's clinical finishing proved the decisive factor on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Bernardo Silva
43' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
Arda Güler assist: Kylian Mbappé
52' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 63'
Neil El Aynaoui ⇄ Rocco Reitz
⇄ 63'
Brajan Gruda ⇄ Andrija Maksimović
Álvaro Carreras Yellow Card
68' ▮
▮ 70'
Rocco Reitz Yellow Card
Vinícius Júnior ⇄ Yan Diomande
70' ⇄
Álvaro Carreras ⇄ Marc Cucurella
70' ⇄
⇄ 73'
David Raum ⇄ Max Finkgräfe
⇄ 73'
Antonio Nusa ⇄ Tidiam Gomis
⇄ 78'
Christopher Nkunku ⇄ Christoph Baumgartner
Arda Güler ⇄ Brahim Díaz
78' ⇄
Kylian Mbappé assist: Yan Diomande
83' ⚽ 3–0
⚽ 3–1 85'
Tidiam Gomis assist: Christoph Baumgartner
Yan Diomande assist: Brahim Díaz
87' ⚽ 4–1
Kylian Mbappé ⇄ Carlos Espí
88' ⇄
Jude Bellingham ⇄ Endrick
88' ⇄
FT 4–1
Real Madrid

Match Stats

RB Leipzig
65% Ball Possession 35%
2.92 Expected Goals (xG) 1.46
18 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Goal 6
6 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 1
13 Shots insidebox 10
5 Shots outsidebox 1
7 Corner Kicks 1
3 Offsides 2
13 Fouls 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 6
736 Total passes 396
674 Passes accurate 347
12 Free Kicks 13
Real Madrid
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Kylian Mbappé F 8.4 88' 1 1 4 35 (31%) –
15 Arda Güler M 8.2 78' 1 – 3 58 (54%) –
20 Bernardo Silva M 8.2 90' 1 – 1 81 (76%) –
1 Thibaut Courtois G 7.9 90' – – – 36 (33%) –
25 Yan Diomande F 7.6 20' 1 1 1 9 (8%) –
8 Federico Valverde D 7.6 90' – – 2 90 (79%) 4
4 Dean Huijsen D 7.5 90' – – – 101 (96%) –
5 Jude Bellingham M 7.2 88' – – 2 54 (47%) –
6 Eduardo Camavinga M 7.2 90' – – 1 72 (66%) 4
22 Antonio Rüdiger D 6.9 90' – – – 74 (71%) 1
18 Álvaro Carreras D 6.7 70' – – – 59 (54%) 3
9 Endrick F 6.6 2' – – – 2 (2%) –
17 Marc Cucurella D 6.6 20' – – – 17 (16%) –
19 Carlos Espí F 6.6 2' – – 1 1 –
21 Brahim Díaz M 6.5 12' – 1 – 10 (10%) –
7 Vinícius Júnior M 6.1 70' – – 3 35 (29%) 2
RB Leipzig
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
27 Tidiam Gomis F 7.2 17' 1 – 1 3 (3%) –
26 Maarten Vandevoordt G 7.0 90' – – – 33 (23%) –
21 Neil El Aynaoui M 6.7 63' – – – 37 (36%) –
23 Castello Lukeba D 6.6 90' – – – 44 (39%) 1
7 Antonio Nusa M 6.5 73' – – 2 13 (11%) 2
22 David Raum D 6.4 73' – – – 39 (32%) 2
17 Ridle Baku D 6.4 90' – – 2 38 (34%) 2
40 Rômulo F 6.3 90' – – 4 16 (11%) 1
13 Nicolas Seiwald M 6.2 90' – – – 49 (47%) 1
4 Willi Orbán D 6.2 90' – – – 34 (30%) 1
14 Christoph Baumgartner M 6.1 12' – 1 – 5 (5%) –
28 Christopher Nkunku M 6.0 78' – – 1 25 (22%) –
35 Max Finkgräfe D 5.9 17' – – 1 6 (5%) 3
30 Andrija Maksimović M 5.9 27' – – – 10 (10%) –
10 Brajan Gruda M 5.8 63' – – – 32 (29%) –
20 Rocco Reitz M 5.6 27' – – – 12 (10%) –
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Confidence High (75%)

At a glance

Naša prognoza
Real Madrid da pobedi ili remizira
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Real Madrid
WWWWW
RB Leipzig
WLWWW
Last 3 meetings Real Madrid · 1W 1D 1L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
75%
45%
Draw
15%
45%
Away
10%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Real Madrid
Kylian Mbappé 4 gls
RB Leipzig

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig

1 Real Madrid Wins
1 Draws
1 RB Leipzig Wins
Date Home Score Away
06 Mar 2024 Real Madrid 1 - 1 RB Leipzig
13 Feb 2024 RB Leipzig 0 - 1 Real Madrid
25 Oct 2022 RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Real Madrid
Pogledaj svih 4 međusobnih susreta — Premium

Real Madrid — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Valencia W 0 - 3
04 Nov A AEK Athens FC W 2 - 3
01 Nov A Racing Santander W 0 - 3
25 Oct A Barcelona W 1 - 2
21 Oct H RB Leipzig W 4 - 1

RB Leipzig — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H FC Augsburg W 5 - 2
04 Nov H Manchester City L 2 - 3
31 Oct A FC Schalke 04 W 0 - 2
27 Oct A Rot-Weiß Essen W 1 - 2
24 Oct H SV Elversberg W 4 - 0

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
4 4 0 0 +15 12
2
Real Madrid
4 4 0 0 +6 12
3
Arsenal
4 3 1 0 +5 10
4
Como
4 3 0 1 +13 9
5
Barcelona
4 3 0 1 +8 9
6
Aston Villa
4 3 0 1 +6 9
7
Manchester City
4 3 0 1 +5 9
8
Liverpool
4 3 0 1 +4 9
9
Club Brugge KV
4 3 0 1 +4 9
10
Sporting CP
4 3 0 1 +4 9
11
Real Betis
4 3 0 1 +2 9
12
Borussia Dortmund
4 3 0 1 +2 9
13
Bayern München
4 2 2 0 +7 8
14
VfB Stuttgart
4 2 1 1 +3 7
15
Inter
4 2 0 2 +2 6
16
Lask Linz
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Manchester United
4 2 0 2 0 6
18
Galatasaray
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Fenerbahçe
4 1 2 1 -5 5
20
AS Roma
4 1 1 2 +2 4
21
Shakhtar Donetsk
4 1 1 2 0 4
22
Viking
4 1 1 2 -1 4
23
Atletico Madrid
4 1 1 2 -1 4
24
PSV Eindhoven
4 1 1 2 -1 4
25
Bodo/Glimt
4 1 1 2 -5 4
26
FC Porto
4 1 0 3 -1 3
27
Napoli
4 1 0 3 -5 3
28
Villarreal
4 1 0 3 -6 3
29
AEK Athens FC
4 1 0 3 -6 3
30
RB Leipzig
4 1 0 3 -6 3
31
Sabah FA
4 1 0 3 -6 3
32
Feyenoord
4 1 0 3 -7 3
33
Lens
4 1 0 3 -12 3
34
Slavia Praha
4 0 1 3 -4 1
35
Lille
4 0 1 3 -6 1
36
Slovan Bratislava
4 0 0 4 -16 0

RB Leipzig

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Demichelis
26 Vandevoordt
22 Raum
23 Lukeba
4 Orbán
17 Baku
21 Aynaoui
13 Seiwald
7 Nusa
28 Nkunku
10 Gruda
40 Rômulo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
26 M. Vandevoordt G
17 R. Baku D
4 W. Orbán D
23 C. Lukeba D
22 D. Raum D
13 N. Seiwald M
21 N. El Aynaoui M
10 B. Gruda M
28 C. Nkunku M
7 A. Nusa M
40 Rômulo F

Substitutes

14 C. Baumgartner M
3 M. Estève D
35 Max Finkgräfe D
27 T. Gomis F
39 B. Henrichs D
16 L. Klostermann D
2 A. Koné D
30 A. Maksimović M
1 Ø. Nyland G
20 R. Reitz M
11 J. Bakayoko F
6 E. Banzuzi M

Real Madrid

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: José Mourinho
1 Courtois
18 Fernández
4 Huijsen
22 Rüdiger
8 Valverde
20 Silva
6 Camavinga
7 Júnior
5 Bellingham
15 Güler
10 Mbappé

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 T. Courtois G
8 F. Valverde D
22 A. Rüdiger D
4 D. Huijsen D
18 Álvaro Fernández D
6 E. Camavinga M
20 Bernardo Silva M
15 A. Güler M
5 J. Bellingham M
7 Vinícius Júnior M
10 Kylian Mbappé F

Substitutes

12 T. Alexander-Arnold D
21 Brahim Díaz M
25 Y. Diomande F
24 D. Dumfries D
17 Marc Cucurella D
3 Éder Militão D
9 Endrick F
19 Carlos Espí F
16 I. Konaté D
13 A. Lunin G
27 Thiago Pitarch M
14 A. Tchouaméni M

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