Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland Predviđanje

UEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League · League B - 4
FT
Post on X
Bilino Polje, Zenica
AI poziv Poland ili nerešeno
33%
30%
37%
Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Prognoza: Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland: Sportiko procenjuje da Bosnia & Herzegovina ima 33% šanse za pobedu, Poland 37%, a nerešeno 30%. Poslednje ažuriranje 5 Oct 2026, 20:43.

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Match Report

Bosnia & Herzegovina secured a narrow but deserved 1–0 victory over Poland in UEFA Nations League League B, Group 4, with the match remaining goalless at the break despite a feisty first half that produced three yellow cards across both sides.

The decisive moment arrived late, as a penalty was awarded in the 84th minute — though not before a VAR review cancelled an earlier spot-kick for Jovo Lukić in the 83rd minute. Ivan Bašić stepped up to convert the rescheduled penalty and hand Bosnia the win. The hosts had been the dominant side throughout, finishing with 56% possession, 18 total shots to Poland's nine, and an 8–2 advantage in corners, though they managed just four shots on target.

Poland struggled to make any meaningful impact, registering only one shot on goal across the entire match. A triple substitution at the hour mark failed to shift the momentum in their favour. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Poland win as the most likely outcome at 37%, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark as Bosnia controlled proceedings from start to finish.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Armin Gigović Yellow Card
32' ▮
▮ 38'
Nicola Zalewski Yellow Card
Ermedin Demirović Yellow Card
42' ▮
HT 0–0
⇄ 63'
Matty Cash ⇄ Norbert Wojtuszek
⇄ 63'
Karol Świderski ⇄ Marcel Regula
Zinedin Smajlović ⇄ Esmir Bajraktarević
63' ⇄
Ermin Mahmic ⇄ Benjamin Tahirović
63' ⇄
Nikola Katić Yellow Card
76' ▮
Haris Tabaković ⇄ Samed Baždar
78' ⇄
Ermedin Demirović ⇄ Jovo Lukić
78' ⇄
▮ 83'
Jan Bednarek Yellow Card
Jovo Lukić Penalty cancelled
83' 🖵
Ivan Bašić Penalty
84' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 89'
Wiktor Nowak ⇄ Kacper Urbański
⇄ 89'
Mateusz Żukowski ⇄ Oskar Pietuszewski
Armin Gigović ⇄ Stjepan Radeljić
89' ⇄
▮ 90+1'
Norbert Wojtuszek Yellow Card
FT 1–0
Bosnia & Herzegovina

Match Stats

Poland
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 7
4 Blocked Shots 7
5 Shots insidebox 10
4 Shots outsidebox 8
2 Corner Kicks 8
4 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
359 Total passes 442
301 Passes accurate 373
7 Free Kicks 10
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
13 Ivan Bašić M 7.8 90' 1 – 3 66 (58%) 1
22 Martin Zlomislić G 7.8 90' – – – 18 (11%) –
7 Zinedin Smajlović D 7.4 63' – – 1 38 (32%) –
4 Tarik Muharemović D 7.3 90' – – 1 66 (55%) 1
5 Sead Kolašinac D 7.1 90' – – 1 19 (15%) 2
21 Stjepan Radeljić D 7.1 1' – – – 3 (2%) 1
18 Nikola Katić D 6.9 90' – – – 48 (43%) 1
6 Benjamin Tahirović M 6.8 27' – – 1 10 (10%) –
15 Amar Memić M 6.7 90' – – – 18 (15%) –
16 Ermin Mahmic M 6.7 63' – – 1 18 (14%) 2
9 Samed Baždar F 6.6 12' – – – 1 (1%) –
11 Esmir Bajraktarević F 6.5 27' – – – 8 (5%) –
19 Jovo Lukić F 6.5 12' – – – 2 (2%) 1
8 Armin Gigović M 6.4 89' – – – 18 (17%) 1
23 Haris Tabaković F 6.4 78' – – – 15 (13%) –
10 Ermedin Demirović F 6.3 78' – – 1 7 (5%) 1
Poland
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Przemysław Frankowski D 7.5 90' – – 4 63 (54%) 3
14 Jakub Kiwior D 7.5 90' – – 2 53 (46%) 1
10 Piotr Zieliński M 7.2 90' – – 3 60 (55%) 2
2 Matty Cash D 6.9 63' – – 1 34 (28%) –
16 Wiktor Nowak M 6.9 89' – – 1 39 (33%) 3
21 Nicola Zalewski M 6.8 90' – – – 36 (28%) –
20 Sebastian Szymański M 6.7 90' – – 1 23 (20%) 1
5 Jan Bednarek D 6.7 90' – – 1 47 (44%) 1
11 Karol Świderski M 6.6 63' – – 2 14 (12%) –
8 Kacper Urbański M 6.5 1' – – – 4 (2%) 1
18 Marcel Regula M 6.5 27' – – – 2 (1%) –
7 Oskar Pietuszewski F 6.4 1' – – – – –
9 Mateusz Żukowski F 6.3 89' – – 3 18 (13%) –
1 Marcin Bułka G 6.2 90' – – – 25 (18%) –
13 Norbert Wojtuszek D 6.1 27' – – – 20 (16%) –
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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Naša prognoza
Poland ili nerešeno
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Bosnia & Herzegovina
WDWDL
Poland
LWLDD
Last 1 meetings Bosnia & Herzegovina · 0W 1D 0L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
33%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
37%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Bosnia & Herzegovina

No scorer data.

Poland
R. Lewandowski 3 gls

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Head to Head: Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland

0 Bosnia & Herzegovina Wins
1 Draws
0 Poland Wins
Date Home Score Away
25 Sep 2026 Poland 0 - 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina

Bosnia & Herzegovina — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Oct H Poland W 1 - 0
02 Oct H Sweden D 1 - 1
28 Sep A Romania W 2 - 4
25 Sep A Poland D 0 - 0
02 Jul A USA L 2 - 0

Poland — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Oct A Bosnia & Herzegovina L 1 - 0
02 Oct H Romania W 6 - 0
28 Sep A Sweden L 3 - 1
25 Sep H Bosnia & Herzegovina D 0 - 0
25 Jun A France D 1 - 1

UEFA Nations League Standings

League A - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
France
4 3 1 0 +5 10
2
Italy
4 2 1 1 +3 7
3
Belgium
4 2 0 2 +1 6
4
Türkiye
4 0 0 4 -9 0

League A - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Netherlands
4 2 2 0 +2 8
2
Greece
4 2 2 0 +2 8
3
Germany
4 1 2 1 +1 5
4
Serbia
4 0 0 4 -5 0

League A - Group C

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Spain
4 4 0 0 +7 12
2
England
4 3 0 1 +11 9
3
Croatia
4 1 0 3 -10 3
4
Czechia
4 0 0 4 -8 0

League A - Group D

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Portugal
4 4 0 0 +5 12
2
Denmark
4 2 0 2 0 6
3
Wales
4 1 0 3 -3 3
4
Norway
4 1 0 3 -2 3

League B - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Switzerland
4 4 0 0 +10 12
2
Slovenia
4 2 1 1 +2 7
3
Scotland
4 1 1 2 -2 4
4
FYR Macedonia
4 0 0 4 -10 0

League B - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Northern Ireland
4 2 2 0 +4 8
2
Hungary
4 2 1 1 +1 7
3
Ukraine
4 1 1 2 -3 4
4
Georgia
4 0 2 2 -2 2

League B - Group C

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Austria
4 2 2 0 +4 8
2
Kosovo
4 1 2 1 -1 5
3
Rep. Of Ireland
4 1 2 1 +2 5
4
Israel
4 0 2 2 -5 2

League B - Group D

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Sweden
4 3 1 0 +4 10
2
Bosnia & Herzegovina
4 2 2 0 +3 8
3
Poland
4 1 1 2 +3 4
4
Romania
4 0 0 4 -10 0

League C - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Albania
4 3 0 1 +5 9
2
Belarus
4 2 1 1 +3 7
3
Finland
4 2 1 1 +7 7
4
San Marino
4 0 0 4 -15 0

League C - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Montenegro
4 3 1 0 +3 10
2
Cyprus
4 2 1 1 +2 7
3
Armenia
4 1 1 2 -1 4
4
Latvia
4 0 1 3 -4 1

League C - Group C

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Slovakia
4 3 1 0 +7 10
2
Faroe Islands
4 0 4 0 0 4
3
Moldova
4 1 1 2 -5 4
4
Kazakhstan
4 0 2 2 -2 2

League C - Group D

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Iceland
4 2 2 0 +6 8
2
Estonia
4 1 3 0 +1 6
3
Bulgaria
4 1 1 2 -2 4
4
Luxembourg
4 1 0 3 -5 3

League D - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Malta
3 2 1 0 +2 7
2
Gibraltar
2 0 2 0 0 2
3
Andorra
3 0 1 2 -2 1

League D - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Azerbaijan
3 1 2 0 +1 5
2
Lithuania
3 1 1 1 +1 4
3
Liechtenstein
2 0 1 1 -2 1

Poland

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: J. Urban
1 Bułka
19 Frankowski
14 Kiwior
5 Bednarek
2 Cash
10 Zieliński
16 Nowak
21 Zalewski
20 Szymański
11 Świderski
9 Żukowski

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 M. Bułka G
2 M. Cash D
5 J. Bednarek D
14 J. Kiwior D
19 P. Frankowski D
16 W. Nowak M
10 P. Zieliński M
11 K. Świderski M
20 S. Szymański M
21 N. Zalewski M
9 M. Żukowski F

Substitutes

12 M. Kochalski G
7 O. Pietuszewski F
23 K. Potulski D
15 T. Puchacz D
18 M. Reguła M
17 M. Skóraś F
6 B. Slisz M
8 K. Urbański M
3 P. Wiśniewski D
13 N. Wojtuszek D
22 S. Abramowicz G
4 T. Kędziora D

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: S. Barbarez
22 Zlomislić
5 Kolašinac
4 Muharemović
18 Katić
7 Smajlović
16 Mahmić
13 Bašić
8 Gigović
15 Memić
23 Tabaković
10 Demirović

Starting XI

# Player Pos
22 M. Zlomislić G
7 Z. Smajlović D
18 N. Katić D
4 T. Muharemović D
5 S. Kolašinac D
15 A. Memić M
8 A. Gigović M
13 I. Bašić M
16 Ermin Mahmić M
10 E. Demirović F
23 H. Tabaković F

Substitutes

9 S. Baždar F
19 J. Lukić F
1 M. Jurkas G
3 A. Malic D
17 A. Hasić M
12 S. Hamzić G
11 E. Bajraktarevic F
2 N. Mujakić D
20 N. Omerović F
21 S. Radeljić D
14 I. Šunjić M
6 B. Tahirović M

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