Gyori ETO FC vs Riga Predviđanje

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

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Gyori ETO FC

Home

1 : 1

HT 1 - 0

Prva utakmica 0-1 · Ukupno 1-2

Riga

Away

AI poziv Previše neizvesno za procenu

38%

27%

35%

Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Prognoza: Gyori ETO FC vs Riga: Sportiko procenjuje da Gyori ETO FC ima 38% šanse za pobedu, Riga 35%, a nerešeno 27%. Poslednje ažuriranje 13 Aug 2026, 20:30.

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1st Half Over 0.5 72%

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Match Report

Gyori ETO FC and Riga played out a tense 1–1 draw in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, with the visitors dominating possession and territory throughout. Željko Gavrić gave the Hungarian side the lead from the penalty spot on 28 minutes, and they carried that advantage into the break.

Riga, who controlled 63% of possession and registered 21 total shots to Gyori's 10, continued to press after the interval and were rewarded late when substitute Caio equalised with a normal goal in the 88th minute — though he was immediately cautioned for his celebration. The equaliser came despite Gavrić's earlier withdrawal in the 64th minute, which coincided with a shift in momentum toward the visitors.

The closing stages grew fractious, with yellow cards shown to Caio, Márton Szép, and A. Ankrah in the final minutes. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Gyori win as the most likely outcome at 38%, a call that was ultimately left unsettled. The tie remains finely balanced heading into the second leg.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Željko Gavrić Penalty

28' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

▮ 47'

Raki Aouani Yellow Card

⇄ 64'

⇄ Salah Oulad M'Hand

Željko Gavrić ⇄ Szabolcs Schön

64' ⇄

Claudiu Bumba Yellow Card

66' ▮

⇄ 71'

Reginaldo Ramires ⇄ M. Badamosi

Szabolcs Schön ⇄ Marcell Huszár

75' ⇄

Ádám Décsy ⇄ Ádám Umathum

84' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Raki Aouani ⇄ Caio

⚽ 1–1 88'

Caio assist: A. Salazar

▮ 89'

Caio Yellow Card

Márton Szép Yellow Card

90+3' ▮

▮ 90+6'

A. Ankrah Yellow Card

FT 1–1

Gyori ETO FC

Match Stats

Riga

37% Ball Possession 63%

Expected Goals (xG)

10 Total Shots 21

4 Shots on Goal 7

5 Shots off Goal 8

1 Blocked Shots 6

7 Shots insidebox 13

3 Shots outsidebox 8

2 Corner Kicks 11

0 Offsides 1

8 Fouls 11

2 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

5 Goalkeeper Saves 2

303 Total passes 535

236 Passes accurate 463

78% Passes % 87%

goals_prevented

Gyori ETO FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
53 Bálint Selyem D	8.3	96'	–	–	–	21 (16%)	3
24 Miljan Krpić D	7.3	96'	–	–	–	41 (34%)	–
10 Claudiu Bumba M	7.3	96'	–	–	2	27 (20%)	2
99 Samuel Petráš G	7.0	96'	–	–	–	35 (24%)	–
23 Daniel Štefulj D	7.0	96'	–	–	–	35 (27%)	–
14 Márton Szép M	7.0	96'	–	–	–	32 (30%)	2
34 Viktor Đukanović F	7.0	96'	–	–	1	12 (8%)	2
80 Željko Gavrić M	6.9	64'	1	–	3	17 (15%)	1
47 Ádám Décsy M	6.9	84'	–	–	–	23 (18%)	2
17 Szabolcs Schön F	6.7	11'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
11 Nfansu Njie M	6.5	96'	–	–	3	19 (10%)	4
26 Ádám Umathum D	6.3	12'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
37 Norbert Urblík D	6.3	96'	–	–	–	31 (27%)	–
96 Marcell Huszár F	6.3	21'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–

Riga

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
17 A. Salazar D	8.5	96'	–	1	1	64 (56%)	–
99 Caio M	7.3	12'	1	–	1	3 (3%)	1
33 Paulo D	6.9	96'	–	–	1	81 (77%)	1
19 M. Badamosi F	6.9	24'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
10 Reginaldo Ramires F	6.7	72'	–	–	4	8 (5%)	2
21 B. Musah D	6.7	96'	–	–	–	66 (59%)	1
18 Salah Oulad M'Hand M	6.7	32'	–	–	–	16 (13%)	1
40 A. Ankrah M	6.6	96'	–	–	1	53 (47%)	3
8 Iago Siqueira Augusto M	6.6	96'	–	–	3	58 (50%)	1
7 Raki Aouani M	6.5	84'	–	–	1	44 (34%)	2
5 K. Wassom M	6.3	96'	–	–	3	45 (40%)	1
22 M. Diop M	6.3	64'	–	–	–	19 (14%)	4
13 R. Jurkovskis D	6.3	96'	–	–	–	54 (47%)	–
91 Frenks Orols G	6.2	96'	–	–	–	18 (13%)	–

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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Naša prognoza

Previše neizvesno za procenu

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.7%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

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Gyori ETO FC

WWWLD

Riga

WWDDW

Last 1 meetings Gyori ETO FC · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

38%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

35%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Riga goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	6	6	3	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	2	4	3	2	1
4	1	1	1	1
5

↑ Gyori ETO FC goals · most likely 1–1 (12.6%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

35%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

35%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

55% Away (No Draw) 45% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 15% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Away Scores More 33% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.4%	6.4%	6.3%	3.4%	1.4%
1	5.5%	12.7%	9.0%	4.8%	1.9%
2	5.0%	8.0%	6.4%	3.4%	1.4%
3	2.4%	3.8%	3.0%	1.6%	0.6%
4	0.8%	1.3%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

48%

1.5

52%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Gyori ETO FC	Draw	Riga
Gyori ETO FC	16.8%	3.7%	1.9%
Draw	13.5%	15.8%	12.6%
Riga	3.0%	5.8%	27.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

24%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Gyori ETO FC vs Riga

0 Gyori ETO FC Wins

0 Draws

1 Riga Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Aug 2026	Riga	1 - 0	Gyori ETO FC

Gyori ETO FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A MTK Budapest	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	A Karcag SE	W	1 - 5
06 Sep	H Budapest Honved	W	3 - 2
03 Sep	H Ferencvarosi TC	L	0 - 3
30 Aug	A Kisvarda FC	D	1 - 1

Riga — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A FS Jelgava	W	0 - 1
15 Sep	A Super Nova	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	H Auda	D	2 - 2
07 Sep	H BFC Daugavpils	D	1 - 1
03 Sep	A Rīgas FS	W	2 - 3

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Gyori ETO FC

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Efrain Juarez

99 Petráš

23 Štefulj

24 Krpić

37 Urblík

53 Selyem

14 Szép

47 Décsy

10 Bumba

80 Gavrić

11 Njie

34 Đukanović

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Samuel Petráš	G
53	Bálint Selyem	D
37	Norbert Urblík	D
24	Miljan Krpić	D
23	Daniel Štefulj	D
47	Ádám Décsy	M
14	Márton Szép	M
11	Nfansu Njie	M
80	Željko Gavrić	M
10	Claudiu Bumba	M
34	Viktor Đukanović	F

Substitutes

16	Balázs Megyeri	G
2	Ștefan Vlădoiu	D
20	Barnabás Bíró	D
26	Ádám Umathum	D
49	Leon Balogun	D
75	Noel Csorba	D
17	Szabolcs Schön	F
18	Modou Lamin Mass	M
70	Imre Tollár	M
90	Kevin Bánáti	M

Riga

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Adrian Gula

91 Orols

17 Salazar

33 Paulo

21 Musah

13 Jurkovskis

40 Ankrah

5 Wassom

7 Aouani

8 Augusto

22 Diop

10 Ramires

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
91	Frenks Orols	G
13	Raivis Jurkovskis	D
21	Baba Musah	D
33	Paulo	D
17	Andrés Salazar	D
5	Karl Gameni Wassom	M
40	Ahmed Ankrah	M
22	Meïssa Diop	M
8	Iago Siqueira Augusto	M
7	Raki Aouani	M
10	Reginaldo Ramires	F

Substitutes

1	Krišjānis Zviedris	G
44	Marcis Kazainis	G
3	Abner	D
23	Maksims Tonisevs	D
34	Antonijs Černomordijs	D
4	Orlando Galo	M
6	Coli Saco	M
18	Salah Oulad M'Hand	M
19	Muhammed Badamosi	F
25	Abdulrahman Taiwo	F
99	Caio Ferreira	M