Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Predviđanje

La Liga · Regular Season - 30

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Barcelona

Away

AI poziv Teška pobeda ili remi za Barcelona

24%

20%

57%

Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Prognoza: Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona: Sportiko procenjuje da Atletico Madrid ima 24% šanse za pobedu, Barcelona 57%, a nerešeno 20%. Poslednje ažuriranje 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.

Match Report

Atletico Madrid dominated possession and territory throughout, finishing with 22 total shots and an xG of 2.52, yet it was Barcelona who ultimately claimed the three points in a chaotic and ill-tempered contest at the Metropolitano. Giuliano Simeone broke the deadlock in the 39th minute, only for Marcus Rashford to equalise almost immediately, sending the sides into the break level at 1–1 amid a flurry of bookings and VAR interventions that saw Nicolás González's yellow card upgraded to a red before being cancelled shortly after the restart.

The second half saw further substitutions reshape both sides, with Antoine Griezmann introduced as Atletico pushed for a winner, but it was Barcelona who struck the decisive blow when Robert Lewandowski converted in the 87th minute to seal a 2–1 victory despite the visitors managing just six total shots and an xG of only 0.92.

Our pre-match AI model rated a Barcelona win as the most likely outcome at 57%, a call that proved correct. The result is a significant one in the La Liga title race, with Barcelona taking all three points from a ground where Atletico had looked the more threatening side for long stretches.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Nicolás González Yellow Card

22' ▮

Giuliano Simeone

39' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 40'

Ronald Araújo

⚽ 1–1 42'

Marcus Rashford assist: Dani Olmo

Yellow Card

45' ▮

Nahuel Molina Yellow Card

45' ▮

▮ 45'

Yellow Card

Nicolás González Card upgrade

45+6' 🖵

Nicolás González Red Card

45+7' ▮

HT 1–1

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

⇄ Ferran Torres

🖵 49'

Red card cancelled

Juan Musso Yellow Card

50' ▮

▮ 50'

Yellow Card

53' ▮

Giuliano Simeone ⇄ Alexander Sørloth

61' ⇄

Alex Baena ⇄ José María Giménez

61' ⇄

Antoine Griezmann

61' ⇄

⇄ 62'

⇄ Jules Koundé

68' ⇄

⇄ 78'

Eric García ⇄ Pablo Gavi

⇄ 79'

Marcus Rashford ⇄ Robert Lewandowski

⚽ 1–2 87'

Robert Lewandowski

Yellow Card

90+3' ▮

FT 1–2

Atletico Madrid

Match Stats

Barcelona

33% Ball Possession 67%

0.92 Expected Goals (xG) 2.52

6 Total Shots 22

2 Shots on Goal 8

4 Shots off Goal 7

0 Blocked Shots 7

4 Shots insidebox 15

2 Shots outsidebox 7

1 Corner Kicks 9

4 Offsides 3

15 Fouls 11

6 Yellow Cards 2

1 Red Cards 1

6 Goalkeeper Saves 1

307 Total passes 631

247 Passes accurate 579

80% Passes % 92%

0.05 goals_prevented 0.05

Atletico Madrid

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Giuliano Simeone M	7.7	61'	1	–	1	18 (13%)	2
1 Juan Musso G	7.0	90'	–	–	–	29 (17%)	–
16 Nahuel Molina D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	39 (33%)	6
21 Obed Vargas M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	22 (16%)	3
10 Alex Baena F	6.9	61'	–	–	1	10 (9%)	2
2 José María Giménez D	6.9	29'	–	–	–	1	2
24 Robin Le Normand D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	32 (30%)	4
15 Clément Lenglet D	6.9	68'	–	1	–	45 (40%)	1
11 Thiago Almada M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	4
7 Antoine Griezmann F	6.7	61'	–	–	2	17 (15%)	1
6 Koke M	6.7	45'	–	–	1	30 (25%)	3
3 Matteo Ruggeri D	6.5	45'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	–
9 Alexander Sørloth F	6.2	29'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
47 Javi Morcillo M	6.2	29'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	1
28 Taufik Seidu M	6.2	22'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–
23 Nicolás González D	5.3	52'	–	–	–	16 (13%)	1

Barcelona

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
14 Marcus Rashford M	7.3	79'	1	–	2	33 (30%)	–
8 Pedri M	7.2	90'	–	–	1	91 (84%)	2
5 Pau Cubarsí D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	84 (79%)	–
6 Pablo Gavi M	6.9	12'	–	–	–	11 (10%)	–
24 Eric García M	6.9	78'	–	–	–	42 (42%)	2
20 Dani Olmo F	6.9	90'	–	1	–	39 (34%)	1
10 Lamine Yamal M	6.9	90'	–	–	4	69 (54%)	–
23 Jules Koundé D	6.9	28'	–	–	–	35 (33%)	1
9 Robert Lewandowski F	6.9	11'	1	–	1	5 (5%)	–
2 João Cancelo D	6.7	90'	–	–	1	48 (43%)	2
13 Joan García G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	33 (32%)	–
18 Gerard Martín D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	72 (67%)	–
16 Fermín López M	6.6	45'	–	–	2	16 (15%)	1
4 Ronald Araújo D	6.3	40'	–	–	–	30 (28%)	1
22 Marc Bernal M	6.3	22'	–	–	1	15 (15%)	1
7 Ferran Torres F	6.2	45'	–	–	3	8 (8%)	–

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Confidence Medium (63%)

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Naša prognoza

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Atletico Madrid

WWWLL

Barcelona

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings Atletico Madrid · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

Atletico Madrid will host Barcelona in a crucial La Liga clash on April 5, 2026. Historically, this fixture has been tightly contested, with Atletico's robust defense often challenging Barcelona's attacking prowess. Atletico, known for their disciplined pressing and counter-attacking play, will aim to exploit any defensive lapses from Barcelona, who have shown vulnerability against high-pressing teams. Barcelona, on the other hand, will rely on their possession-based game and creativity in the midfield to break down Atletico's defensive lines. The result could significantly impact both teams' title aspirations, making this a must-watch encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Barcelona goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	2	5	6	5	3	1
1	3	7	9	7	5	2
2	2	6	7	6	3	2
3	1	3	3	3	2	1
4		1	1	1	1
5

↑ Atletico Madrid goals · most likely 1–2 (9.0%)

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Players in form

Atletico Madrid

Álex Baena 4 gls

J. David 3 gls

Barcelona

Raphinha 12 gls

Lamine Yamal 7 gls

Fermín 4 gls

K. Adeyemi 2 gls

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Head to Head: Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona

0 Atletico Madrid Wins

0 Draws

3 Barcelona Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Mar 2026	Barcelona	3 - 0	Atletico Madrid
02 Dec 2025	Barcelona	3 - 1	Atletico Madrid
16 Mar 2025	Atletico Madrid	2 - 4	Barcelona

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Atletico Madrid — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Madrid	W	2 - 1
16 Sep	H Osasuna	W	4 - 0
13 Sep	A Real Sociedad	W	0 - 3
09 Sep	A Liverpool	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Athletic Club	L	3 - 0

Barcelona — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sevilla	W	1 - 3
16 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	7 - 2
13 Sep	A Levante	W	2 - 4
09 Sep	H Feyenoord	W	5 - 1
06 Sep	A Valencia	W	0 - 5

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3