Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Predviđanje

First League · Regular Season - 5

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Spartak Varna

Home

0 : 1

HT 0 - 0

Septemvri Sofia

Away

Stadion Spartak, Varna

AI poziv Teška pobeda ili remi za Spartak Varna

59%

25%

16%

Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Prognoza: Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia: Sportiko procenjuje da Spartak Varna ima 59% šanse za pobedu, Septemvri Sofia 16%, a nerešeno 25%. Poslednje ažuriranje 17 Aug 2026, 17:54.

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Timeline

▮ 20'

Yellow Card

▮ 33'

Yellow Card

39' ▮

HT 0–0

59' ⇄

⚽ 0–1 61'

⇄ 63'

71' ⇄

Yellow Card

74' ▮

79' ⇄

⇄ 79'

⇄ 87'

▮ 90+3'

Yellow Card

FT 0–1

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Naša prognoza

Teška pobeda ili remi za Spartak Varna

Most likely score

1:0 · 20%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Spartak Varna

LDDDL

Septemvri Sofia

LLLDW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

59%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

16%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Septemvri Sofia goals →

	0	1	2
0	12	3	1
1	20	8	1
2	20	6	1
3	13	4	1
4	6	2
5	2	1

↑ Spartak Varna goals · most likely 1–0 (20.0%)

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Players in form

Spartak Varna

Boubacar Hanne 0 gls

Tomás Silva 0 gls

José Ricardo Gomes Sousa 0 gls

Septemvri Sofia

André Filipe Rio Liberal 0 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

25%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

25%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

94% Home (No Draw) 6% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

48% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

75% Home Scores More 20% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

23%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.8%	2.6%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
1	20.0%	7.5%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.9%	6.4%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
3	12.7%	4.1%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	6.0%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

36%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

35%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Spartak Varna	Draw	Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna	49.8%	1.5%	0.1%
Draw	24.9%	15.5%	2.1%
Septemvri Sofia	1.4%	1.9%	2.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

73%

23%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Spartak Varna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lokomotiv Sofia	L	0 - 1
13 Sep	A Slavia Sofia	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	H CSKA Sofia	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	H Ludogorets	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Levski Sofia	L	6 - 0

Septemvri Sofia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Botev Plovdiv	L	0 - 3
14 Sep	A Ludogorets	L	2 - 1
04 Sep	H Botev Vratsa	L	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Slavia Sofia	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H CSKA 1948	W	1 - 0

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	9	8	1	0	21	4	+17	25
2	CSKA Sofia	10	7	3	0	24	7	+17	24
3	Ludogorets	9	7	2	0	16	7	+9	23
4	CSKA 1948	10	7	1	2	19	10	+9	22
5	Arda Kardzhali	10	5	2	3	15	12	+3	17
6	Botev Plovdiv	10	5	1	4	16	14	+2	16
7	Slavia Sofia	10	2	5	3	9	8	+1	11
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10	15	-5	10
9	Botev Vratsa	10	2	3	5	9	19	-10	9
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8	18	-10	8
11	Lokomotiv Sofia	10	1	4	5	11	18	-7	7
12	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	10	2	1	7	5	13	-8	7
13	Cherno More Varna	10	1	3	6	11	20	-9	6
14	Dunav Ruse	10	1	2	7	10	19	-9	5

Septemvri Sofia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Simao Freitas

12 Ivanov

3 Wade

26 Ozornwafor

4 Hristov

13 Onashchi

6 Ferreira

5 Baurenski

29 Herard

8 Penchev

11 Dzhamov

27 Liberal

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Vladimir Ivanov	G
13	Kubrat Onashchi	D
4	Martin Hristov	D
26	Valentine Ozornwafor	D
3	Sebas Wade	D
5	Yoan Baurenski	M
6	Pedro Ferreira	M
11	Aleksandar Dzhamov	F
8	Bozhidar Penchev	D
29	Frantzety Herard	F
27	André Liberal	F

Substitutes

28	Stoyan Stoichkov	M
1	Alexander Radkov	G
15	Petar Gospodinov	D
20	Bozhidar Tomovski	D
24	Zahari Atanasov	M
17	Nicolas Fontaine	M
33	Galin Ivanov	M
7	Edney Ribeiro	F

Spartak Varna

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Yasen Petrov

23 Iliev

4 Ivanov

44 Granchov

45 Tshitoku

76 Juan

17 Marinov

10 Lopes

82 Silva

6 Sousa

11 Hanne

70 Ahmedov

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	Plamen Iliev	G
76	David Valverde Juan	M
45	Joey Tshitoku	D
44	Angel Granchov	D
4	Boris Ivanov	D
17	Tsvetoslav Marinov	M
11	Boubacar Hanne	F
6	Ricardo Sousa	M
82	Tomás Silva	M
10	Jota Lopes	M
70	Ahmed Ahmedov	F

Substitutes

77	Anton Ivanov	F
19	Sámuel Major	M
7	Buá	M
9	Tsvetelin Chunchukov	F
1	Pedro Victor	G
3	Mateo Jurić-Petrašilo	D
14	Daniel Pavlov	D
99	Georgi Trifonov	F
80	Ángel Gomes Arevalo	F