Millwall vs Derby Predviđanje

Championship Championship · Regular Season - 13
FT
Post on X
The Den, London
AI poziv Teška pobeda ili remi za Millwall
56%
26%
18%
Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Prognoza: Millwall vs Derby: Sportiko procenjuje da Millwall ima 56% šanse za pobedu, Derby 18%, a nerešeno 26%. Poslednje ažuriranje 31 Oct 2026, 16:55.

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Timeline

Kyrell Lisbie assist: Lyndon Dykes
3' ⚽ 1–0
Kyrell Lisbie assist: Caleb Taylor
10' ⚽ 2–0
Luke Cundle assist: Camiel Neghli
17' ⚽ 3–0
Lyndon Dykes Yellow Card
24' ▮
Derek Mazou-Sacko Yellow Card
32' ▮
⇄ 37'
D. Ozoh ⇄ Alex Mowatt
▮ 45+1'
Rhian Brewster Yellow Card
HT 3–0
⇄ 57'
Henrik Wendel Meister ⇄ Mohammed Fuseini
Tristan Crama ⇄ Ryan Leonard
67' ⇄
Lyndon Dykes ⇄ Mihailo Ivanović
68' ⇄
▮ 71'
Carlton Morris Yellow Card
Camiel Neghli ⇄ Mark Sykes
74' ⇄
Kyrell Lisbie ⇄ Alfie Doughty
74' ⇄
⇄ 78'
Carlton Morris ⇄ Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
⇄ 78'
Sammie Szmodics ⇄ Filip Bilbija
⇄ 78'
Rhian Brewster ⇄ Oscar Fraulo
Zak Sturge ⇄ Romain Esse
78' ⇄
Jake Cooper assist: Mihailo Ivanović
84' ⚽ 4–0
⚽ 4–1 87'
Filip Bilbija
Jenson Metcalfe Yellow Card
89' ▮
FT 4–1
Millwall

Match Stats

Derby
56% Ball Possession 44%
3.95 Expected Goals (xG) 1.26
22 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Goal 4
11 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 3
18 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Corner Kicks 5
1 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
502 Total passes 395
411 Passes accurate 292
8 Free Kicks 9
Millwall
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 Kyrell Lisbie M 8.6 74' 2 – 6 16 (13%) –
25 Luke Cundle M 8.2 90' 1 – 2 57 (55%) 2
5 Jake Cooper D 7.9 90' 1 – 1 62 (54%) –
10 Camiel Neghli M 7.7 74' – 1 2 38 (30%) 1
9 Mihailo Ivanović F 7.7 22' – 1 – 14 (11%) –
6 Caleb Taylor D 7.4 90' – 1 2 52 (43%) 1
49 Derek Mazou-Sacko M 7.2 90' – – 1 53 (49%) 1
4 Tristan Crama D 7.1 67' – – – 17 (8%) 2
3 Zak Sturge D 7.0 78' – – 1 33 (28%) 2
15 Max Crocombe G 6.8 90' – – – 28 (17%) –
18 Ryan Leonard D 6.8 23' – – – 10 (10%) 1
45 Alfie Doughty M 6.6 16' – – 1 10 (8%) 2
17 Mark Sykes M 6.6 16' – – 1 3 (3%) –
13 Lyndon Dykes F 6.5 68' – 1 3 28 (15%) –
11 Romain Esse M 6.4 12' – – 2 8 (7%) –
14 Jenson Metcalfe M 6.2 90' – – – 71 (58%) 5
Derby
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
15 Lars-Jørgen Salvesen F 6.7 12' – – – 2 (2%) –
13 Filip Bilbija M 6.6 12' 1 – 1 10 (8%) –
1 Jacob Widell Zetterström G 6.5 90' – – – 36 (17%) –
10 Rhian Brewster M 6.4 78' – – 2 12 (7%) 1
11 Sammie Szmodics M 6.3 78' – – 2 37 (30%) –
20 Alex Mowatt M 6.3 53' – – – 40 (36%) –
16 Mohammed Fuseini F 6.2 33' – – 1 3 (2%) 1
24 Ryan Nyambe D 6.2 90' – – – 29 (25%) 2
9 Carlton Morris F 6.1 78' – – 4 18 (14%) –
26 Ryan Hedges D 6.0 90' – – – 41 (31%) 3
29 Oscar Fraulo M 5.9 12' – – 1 6 (5%) –
4 D. Ozoh M 5.9 37' – – – 19 (17%) 1
14 Jack Robinson D 5.8 90' – – – 35 (27%) 2
19 Henrik Wendel Meister M 5.7 57' – – 1 14 (5%) 1
8 Bobby Clark M 5.5 90' – – – 40 (29%) 1
22 Max Johnston D 5.4 90' – – 1 33 (20%) –
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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Naša prognoza
Teška pobeda ili remi za Millwall
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Millwall
LLWLD
Derby
WLLDL
Last 1 meetings Millwall · 1W 0D 0L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
56%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
18%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Millwall vs Derby

1 Millwall Wins
0 Draws
0 Derby Wins
Date Home Score Away
10 Mar 2026 Millwall 1 - 0 Derby

Millwall — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A West Brom L 3 - 0
03 Nov A Birmingham L 3 - 0
31 Oct H Derby W 4 - 1
24 Oct A Portsmouth L 2 - 1
17 Oct H Lincoln D 2 - 2

Derby — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov H Bolton W 3 - 1
03 Nov H Norwich L 0 - 4
31 Oct A Millwall L 4 - 1
24 Oct A Sheffield Utd D 1 - 1
17 Oct H Stoke City L 0 - 1

Championship Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Birmingham
15 8 5 2 +14 29
2
Middlesbrough
15 8 5 2 +11 29
3
Stoke City
15 9 2 4 +6 29
4
Wolves
15 8 4 3 +8 28
5
West Brom
15 8 4 3 +8 28
6
Swansea
15 8 2 5 +4 26
7
Southampton
15 8 4 3 +14 24
8
QPR
15 6 6 3 +6 24
9
West Ham
15 6 5 4 +14 23
10
Sheffield Utd
15 6 4 5 +2 22
11
Portsmouth
15 6 4 5 +2 22
12
Norwich
15 7 0 8 +8 21
13
Blackburn
15 6 3 6 -1 21
14
Cardiff
15 4 6 5 0 18
15
Wrexham
15 4 6 5 -2 18
16
Millwall
15 5 3 7 -4 18
17
Bristol City
15 5 3 7 -8 18
18
Bolton
15 5 2 8 -9 17
19
Charlton
15 4 5 6 -10 17
20
Watford
15 4 3 8 -10 15
21
Lincoln
15 4 3 8 -11 15
22
Burnley
15 1 7 7 -9 10
23
Derby
15 2 4 9 -16 10
24
Preston
15 2 2 11 -17 8

Millwall

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: A. Neil
15 Crocombe
3 Sturge
5 Cooper
6 Taylor
4 Crama
49 Mazou-Sacko
14 Metcalfe
22 Lisbie
25 Cundle
10 Neghli
13 Dykes

Starting XI

# Player Pos
15 M. Crocombe G
4 T. Crama D
6 C. Taylor D
5 J. Cooper D
3 Zak Norton Sturge D
14 Jenson Metcalfe M
49 D. Mazou-Sacko M
10 C. Neghli M
25 L. Cundle M
22 K. Lisbie M
13 L. Dykes F

Substitutes

17 M. Sykes M
41 G. Evans G
19 J. Coburn F
12 E. Baggott D
45 A. Doughty M
9 M. Ivanović F
16 D. Kelly M
11 R. Esse M
18 R. Leonard D

Derby

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: J. Eustace
1 Zetterström
26 Hedges
14 Robinson
24 Nyambe
22 Johnston
8 Clark
4 Ozoh
19 Meister
11 Szmodics
10 Brewster
9 Morris

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Widell Zetterström G
22 M. Johnston D
24 R. Nyambe D
14 J. Robinson D
26 R. Hedges D
4 D. Ozoh M
8 B. Clark M
10 R. Brewster M
11 S. Szmodics M
19 H. Meister M
9 C. Morris F

Substitutes

33 C. Blackett-Taylor F
25 S. Duffy D
29 O. Fraulo M
16 M. Fuseini F
20 A. Mowatt M
15 L. Salvesen F
31 J. Vickers G
13 F. Bilbija M
43 I. Gordon D

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