Arouca vs Nacional Predviđanje

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 10

01 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Nacional

Away

AI poziv Arouca ili nerešeno

44%

32%

25%

Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Prognoza: Arouca vs Nacional: Sportiko procenjuje da Arouca ima 44% šanse za pobedu, Nacional 25%, a nerešeno 32%. Poslednje ažuriranje 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Arouca

DLDWL

Nacional

LLLLL

Last 3 meetings Arouca · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Arouca will face Nacional in what promises to be a competitive Primeira Liga clash. Arouca has shown solid form at home, with a defense that has conceded an average of 1 goal per match this season. Nacional, on the other hand, struggles on the road, having recorded only 1 win in their last 5 away fixtures, indicating potential vulnerabilities in their away form. Both teams will be keen to secure points, making this match critical for their respective standings. Expect a tight contest, with Arouca looking to exploit Nacional's away difficulties.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nacional goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	8	5	1
1	12	15	6	2
2	9	9	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Arouca goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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Players in form

Arouca

Barbero 4 gls

Nacional

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

32%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

32%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

64% Home (No Draw) 36% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.5%	8.2%	4.6%	1.4%	0.3%
1	12.4%	14.7%	6.0%	1.8%	0.4%
2	9.3%	8.5%	3.9%	1.2%	0.3%
3	4.0%	3.7%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.3%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Arouca	Draw	Nacional
Arouca	26.4%	4.1%	1.2%
Draw	16.9%	21.3%	10.5%
Nacional	1.8%	4.1%	13.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

93%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Arouca vs Nacional

3 Arouca Wins

0 Draws

0 Nacional Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Feb 2026	Arouca	3 - 0	Nacional
20 Sep 2025	Nacional	1 - 2	Arouca
01 Feb 2025	Nacional	1 - 2	Arouca

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Arouca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sporting CP	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Santa Clara	L	1 - 2
07 Sep	A Estoril	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Maritimo	W	2 - 1
23 Aug	A FC Porto	L	2 - 0

Nacional — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Famalicao	L	0 - 4
12 Sep	H Alverca	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Sporting CP	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Estrela	L	2 - 3
23 Aug	A Vitória SC	L	1 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.