Estoril vs Casa Pia Predviđanje

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 7

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Casa Pia

Away

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

AI poziv Teška pobeda ili remi za Estoril

54%

26%

20%

Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Prognoza: Estoril vs Casa Pia: Sportiko procenjuje da Estoril ima 54% šanse za pobedu, Casa Pia 20%, a nerešeno 26%. Poslednje ažuriranje 20 Sep 2026, 19:01.

Timeline

✗ 27'

Henrique Araújo Missed Penalty

Ismael Sierra Arnal Yellow Card

41' ▮

Axel Camblan ⇄ Jordan Arnolin

45' ⇄

⇄ 45'

Henrique Araújo ⇄ Alassana Jatta

HT 0–0

Milan Robin ⇄ Antef Tsoungui

60' ⇄

Nail Omerović ⇄ Rafik Guitane

60' ⇄

▮ 62'

David Sousa Yellow Card

⇄ 65'

Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri ⇄ E. Maurin

⇄ 65'

JP ⇄ Benjamin Pauwels

Ricard Sánchez assist: Jordan Holsgrove

70' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 72'

Selvi Clúa assist: Lawrence Ofori

⇄ 74'

Selvi Clúa ⇄ Sebastian Perez

Xavi Sintes ⇄ Pedro Carvalho

80' ⇄

João Carvalho ⇄ André Lacximicant

80' ⇄

Yanis Begraoui Yellow Card

82' ▮

Jordan Arnolin Yellow Card

85' ▮

⇄ 87'

João Rêgo ⇄ Abdu Dafe

⚽ 1–2 89'

Benjamin Pauwels assist: Sebastian Perez

▮ 90+5'

Alassana Jatta Yellow Card

FT 1–2

Estoril

Match Stats

Casa Pia

53% Ball Possession 47%

14 Total Shots 11

6 Shots on Goal 3

6 Shots off Goal 7

2 Blocked Shots 1

7 Shots insidebox 7

7 Shots outsidebox 4

7 Corner Kicks 4

0 Offsides 3

7 Fouls 11

3 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

0 Goalkeeper Saves 5

391 Total passes 347

299 Passes accurate 271

11 Free Kicks 7

Estoril

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Jordan Holsgrove M	7.7	90'	–	1	–	76 (65%)	3
2 Ricard Sánchez D	7.3	90'	1	–	1	35 (27%)	2
14 Yanis Begraoui F	6.8	90'	–	–	3	19 (11%)	1
6 Xavi Sintes D	6.7	80'	–	–	–	40 (36%)	–
11 Nail Omerović M	6.6	60'	–	–	1	12 (10%)	–
42 Jordan Arnolin D	6.5	44'	–	–	2	20 (17%)	–
5 Antef Tsoungui D	6.4	30'	–	–	1	11 (7%)	–
7 André Lacximicant F	6.4	10'	–	–	1	–	–
99 Rafik Guitane M	6.3	30'	–	–	1	7 (5%)	–
21 Roko Jurišić D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	29 (21%)	1
12 João Carvalho M	6.2	80'	–	–	2	15 (12%)	–
44 Milan Robin M	6.2	60'	–	–	2	21 (15%)	3
22 Pedro Carvalho D	6.1	10'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
9 Axel Camblan M	6.0	46'	–	–	–	10 (6%)	–
15 Ismael Sierra Arnal D	5.8	90'	–	–	–	55 (40%)	1
1 Joel Robles G	5.7	90'	–	–	–	28 (17%)	–

Casa Pia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
77 Benjamin Pauwels F	7.7	25'	1	–	1	8 (6%)	–
16 Selvi Clúa M	7.7	74'	1	–	2	23 (18%)	1
95 Ivan Mandić G	7.6	90'	–	–	–	38 (24%)	–
80 Lawrence Ofori M	7.5	90'	–	1	–	40 (35%)	3
70 João Rêgo M	6.8	87'	–	–	1	41 (35%)	2
43 David Sousa D	6.7	90'	–	–	1	37 (31%)	3
11 Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri M	6.7	65'	–	–	2	38 (35%)	2
20 Alassana Jatta F	6.6	44'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
17 E. Maurin F	6.6	25'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	–
18 Andre Geraldes D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	34 (25%)	2
24 Sebastian Perez M	6.5	16'	–	1	–	5 (4%)	–
75 Pedro Rosas D	6.4	90'	–	–	1	18 (13%)	–
3 Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira D	6.4	90'	–	–	–	33 (25%)	1
98 JP M	6.3	65'	–	–	1	8 (5%)	–
9 Henrique Araújo F	6.2	46'	–	–	1	7 (4%)	–
59 Abdu Dafe M	6.1	3'	–	–	1	1	–

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Naša prognoza

Teška pobeda ili remi za Estoril

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.4%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Estoril

LLDLL

Casa Pia

WLDLL

Last 3 meetings Estoril · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Estoril faces Casa Pia in a Primeira Liga matchup that promises to be competitive. Estoril has shown a solid defensive record this season, conceding an average of only 1 goal per match, while Casa Pia has been effective in attack, averaging 1.5 goals per game. Both teams exhibit a balanced approach, with Estoril focusing on home results and Casa Pia looking to capitalize on counter-attacks. Key players to watch include Estoril's goalkeeper, who has made crucial saves, and Casa Pia's forwards, known for their pace and finishing ability. This match could hinge on set-pieces and individual moments of brilliance.

Live insights

90' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 1-2! Casa Pia win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 81.3%. Late goal chance: 19.8%.

77' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 1-2! Casa Pia win probability: 79.9%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 33.4%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 66.3%. Late goal chance: 37.4%.

72' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 62%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

54%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

20%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Casa Pia goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	5	3	1
1	9	12	6	2
2	10	10	5	2
3	6	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Estoril goals · most likely 1–1 (12.3%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

26%

Away Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

26%

Away Win

20%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

74% Home (No Draw) 26% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 20% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.3%	4.6%	3.1%	1.0%	0.3%
1	9.3%	12.4%	5.6%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.8%	10.0%	5.1%	1.7%	0.4%
3	6.0%	6.1%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%
4	2.7%	2.8%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

48%

1.5

52%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Estoril	Draw	Casa Pia
Estoril	30.9%	3.4%	1.2%
Draw	21.5%	15.8%	7.7%
Casa Pia	3.5%	4.6%	11.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Estoril vs Casa Pia

1 Estoril Wins

2 Draws

0 Casa Pia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Mar 2026	Estoril	0 - 0	Casa Pia
03 Oct 2025	Casa Pia	2 - 2	Estoril
29 Apr 2025	Casa Pia	1 - 3	Estoril

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Estoril — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Casa Pia	L	1 - 2
14 Sep	A SC Braga	L	1 - 0
07 Sep	H Arouca	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A Benfica	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Rio Ave	L	0 - 2

Casa Pia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Estoril	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H FC Porto	L	1 - 4
06 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H Moreirense	L	0 - 1
24 Aug	A GIL Vicente	L	2 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Estoril

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou

1 Robles

21 Jurišić

15 Sierra

6 Sintes

2 Sánchez

44 Robin

10 Holsgrove

9 Camblan

12 Carvalho

11 Omerović

14 Begraoui

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Joel Robles	G
2	Ricard Sánchez	D
6	Xavi Sintes	D
15	Isma Sierra	D
21	R. Jurišić	D
10	J. Holsgrove	M
44	M. Robin	M
11	N. Omerović	M
12	João Carvalho	M
9	A. Camblan	M
14	Y. Begraoui	F

Substitutes

90	Tiago Brito	M
35	S. Amissah	D
7	André Lacximicant	F
99	R. Guitane	M
3	Fernando Medrano	D
19	Tiago Parreira Parente	D
17	Peixinho	F
22	Pedro Carvalho	D
42	J. Arnolin	D
43	fletcher lowe	G
5	A. Tsoungui	D
16	M. Turk	G

Casa Pia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Filipe Coelho

95 Mandić

75 Rosas

43 Sousa

3 Kaly

18 Geraldes

80 Ofori

16 Silvi

98 JP

70 Rêgo

11 Boukammiri

9 Araújo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
95	Ivan Mandić	G
18	Geraldes	D
3	Kaly	D
43	David Sousa	D
75	Pedro Rosas	D
16	Silvi	M
80	L. Ofori	M
11	M. El Boukammiri	M
70	João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo	M
98	JP	M
9	Henrique Araújo	F

Substitutes

24	S. Pérez	M
19	K. Prieto	F
77	B. Pauwels	F
17	E. Maurin	F
20	A. Jatta	F
4	João Goulart	D
44	Felipe Silva	D
8	Gabi Pereira	M
90	Cassiano	F
59	Abdu Dafe	M
10	Rochinha	F
1	P. Sequeira	G