Strasbourg vs Auxerre Predviđanje

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9
FT
Post on X
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
AI poziv Teška pobeda ili remi za Strasbourg
51%
25%
24%
Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Prognoza: Strasbourg vs Auxerre: Sportiko procenjuje da Strasbourg ima 51% šanse za pobedu, Auxerre 24%, a nerešeno 25%. Poslednje ažuriranje 1 Nov 2026, 15:58.

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Match Report

Strasbourg produced a commanding home performance to dismantle Auxerre 5–1 in Ligue 1, with the contest effectively settled well before the final whistle. Dário Essugo broke the deadlock just before half-time to give the hosts a 1–0 lead at the interval, and Strasbourg quickly tightened their grip after the restart through Martial Godo and a Conrad Harder penalty, making it 3–0 by the hour mark.

Auxerre's afternoon worsened significantly when Lamfia Dioubaté was shown a red card in the 74th minute, reducing them to ten men. Substitute Cameron Archer had already added a fourth, and Gessime Yassine then capped the rout with two late goals — in the 77th and 85th minutes — to complete a thoroughly one-sided scoreline. Auxerre's sole reply came from a moment that barely troubled the hosts given the match's overall flow.

The statistics underlined Strasbourg's dominance: 64% possession, 17 total shots, and an expected goals figure of 3.01 compared to Auxerre's meagre 0.50. The pre-match AI model had identified a Strasbourg win as the most likely outcome at 51%, a call that proved well-founded.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 39'
Lamine Sy Yellow Card
Dário Essugo assist: Oso
41' ⚽ 1–0
Yellow Card
44' ▮
HT 1–0
▮ 51'
Yellow Card
Martial Godo assist: Gessime Yassine
55' ⚽ 2–0
Martial Godo ⇄ Sebastian Nanasi
59' ⇄
▮ 60'
Christ Makosso Yellow Card
Conrad Harder Penalty
62' ⚽ 3–0
⇄ 63'
Danny Namaso ⇄ Arthur Piedfort
⇄ 63'
Kévin Danois ⇄ Lamfia Dioubaté
⇄ 63'
Lamine Sy ⇄ Rayan Mandengue
⇄ 63'
Christ Makosso ⇄ Marvin Senaya
Giovanni Reyna ⇄ Diogo Sousa
66' ⇄
Ismael Doukouré ⇄ Jeyland Mitchell
66' ⇄
⚽ 3–1 68'
Cameron Archer assist: Romain Faivre
▮ 72'
Paul Nardi Yellow Card
⇄ 73'
Naouirou Ahamada
▮ 74'
Lamfia Dioubaté Red Card
Gessime Yassine assist: Sebastian Nanasi
77' ⚽ 4–1
Dário Essugo ⇄ Pape Diop
78' ⇄
Conrad Harder ⇄ Jacobo Ortega
78' ⇄
Gessime Yassine assist: Oso
85' ⚽ 5–1
▮ 87'
Romain Faivre Yellow Card
FT 5–1
Strasbourg

Match Stats

Auxerre
64% Ball Possession 36%
3.01 Expected Goals (xG) 0.5
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 2
7 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Corner Kicks 0
3 Offsides 0
10 Fouls 18
0 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
576 Total passes 320
512 Passes accurate 255
17 Free Kicks 10
Strasbourg
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
80 Gessime Yassine F 9.6 90' 2 1 4 38 (31%) 3
20 Martial Godo F 8.2 59' 1 – 3 16 (15%) 2
14 Dário Essugo M 8.2 78' 1 – 1 24 (24%) 5
36 Oso D 8.1 90' – 2 – 54 (47%) 1
21 Pape Diop M 7.4 12' – – – 22 (21%) 2
11 Sebastian Nanasi M 7.4 31' – 1 1 26 (24%) 1
29 Samir El Mourabet M 7.1 90' – – 1 78 (70%) 5
31 Karim Coulibaly D 7.0 90' – – 1 73 (66%) –
1 Filip Jørgensen G 7.0 90' – – – 52 (47%) 1
4 Jeyland Mitchell D 6.9 24' – – – 28 (27%) –
24 Lucas Høgsberg D 6.8 90' – – – 52 (43%) 3
23 Diogo Sousa M 6.8 24' – – – 20 (19%) –
40 Conrad Harder F 6.7 78' 1 – 2 15 (10%) –
6 Ismael Doukouré D 6.6 66' – – 2 45 (39%) –
10 Giovanni Reyna M 6.5 66' – – 2 26 (23%) 1
30 Jacobo Ortega F 6.4 12' – – – 7 (6%) –
Auxerre
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Cameron Archer F 7.4 90' 1 – 2 16 (14%) –
21 Romain Faivre M 6.4 90' – 1 2 26 (22%) 1
Seamus Maughan 6.2 17' – – – 1 (1%) –
92 Clement Akpa D 6.2 90' – – – 52 (42%) 2
4 Axel Tuanzebe D 6.1 90' – – – 38 (36%) –
46 Arthur Piedfort M 5.9 27' – – – 8 (8%) 1
10 Danny Namaso M 5.8 63' – – – 14 (11%) 1
8 Naouirou Ahamada M 5.8 73' – – 1 25 (20%) 1
22 Fredrik Oppegård M 5.6 90' – – 1 26 (19%) 1
1 Paul Nardi G 5.6 90' – – – 26 (17%) –
29 Marvin Senaya D 5.4 27' – – – 7 (5%) –
15 Christ Makosso D 5.4 63' – – – 27 (23%) 2
32 Rayan Mandengue D 5.3 27' – – – 5 (4%) 1
5 Kévin Danois M 5.1 63' – – – 26 (19%) –
27 Lamine Sy M 5.0 63' – – – 20 (11%) 3
34 Lamfia Dioubaté M 4.9 11' – – – 3 (3%) –
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Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Naša prognoza
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Strasbourg
LWLLL
Auxerre
LLDWL
Last 3 meetings Strasbourg · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 match, Strasbourg faces Auxerre, both teams looking to secure crucial points. Strasbourg has shown a solid defensive record at home, conceding an average of just 1 goal per match this season, while Auxerre struggles offensively with only 0.8 goals per game. The recent head-to-head history favors Strasbourg, who have won three of the last five encounters. Auxerre will need to improve their away form, as they have only secured one win in their last five away matches. This clash could hinge on Strasbourg’s ability to capitalize on set pieces and Auxerre's need for clinical finishing.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
51%
10%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
24%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Strasbourg
Gessime Yassine 4 gls
Auxerre
C. Archer 6 gls

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Head to Head: Strasbourg vs Auxerre

2 Strasbourg Wins
1 Draws
0 Auxerre Wins
Date Home Score Away
07 Mar 2026 Auxerre 0 - 0 Strasbourg
29 Oct 2025 Strasbourg 3 - 0 Auxerre
02 Mar 2025 Auxerre 0 - 1 Strasbourg
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Strasbourg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A Toulouse L 3 - 1
01 Nov H Auxerre W 5 - 1
25 Oct A Rennes L 3 - 0
17 Oct H Paris Saint Germain L 1 - 3
11 Oct A Nice L 2 - 1

Auxerre — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Paris FC L 0 - 1
01 Nov A Strasbourg L 5 - 1
25 Oct H Le Mans D 1 - 1
18 Oct A Le Havre W 1 - 3
11 Oct A Rennes L 4 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
10 7 2 1 +12 23
2
Lille
10 6 3 1 +7 21
3
Paris FC
10 6 2 2 +7 20
4
Marseille
10 6 0 4 +8 18
5
Lyon
10 5 2 3 +6 17
6
Nice
10 5 2 3 +3 17
7
Monaco
10 4 4 2 +2 16
8
Rennes
10 5 1 4 0 16
9
Stade Brestois 29
10 4 3 3 +6 15
10
Lorient
10 4 3 3 +1 15
11
Lens
10 4 1 5 +2 13
12
Toulouse
10 3 4 3 +1 13
13
Strasbourg
10 3 1 6 -4 10
14
Auxerre
10 3 1 6 -11 10
15
Le Mans
10 1 5 4 -7 8
16
Angers
10 2 2 6 -10 8
17
Estac Troyes
10 2 2 6 -10 8
18
Le Havre
10 0 2 8 -13 2

Strasbourg

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Hugo Oliveira
1 Jörgensen
36 Oso
31 Coulibaly
6 Doukouré
24 Høgsberg
10 Reyna
29 Mourabet
14 Essugo
20 Godo
40 Harder
80 Yassine

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 F. Jörgensen G
24 L. Høgsberg D
6 I. Doukouré D
31 Abdoul Karim Coulibaly D
36 Oso D
14 Dário Essugo M
29 S. El Mourabet M
10 G. Reyna M
80 Gessime Yassine F
40 C. Harder F
20 M. Godo F

Substitutes

23 Diogo Sousa M
12 M. Piekutowski G
30 J. Ortega F
11 S. Nanasi M
4 J. Mitchell D
26 O. Kellyman M
21 P. Diop M
16 G. Antwi D
7 S. Amo-Ameyaw F

Auxerre

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: W. Still
1 Nardi
92 Akpa
4 Tuanzebe
15 Makosso
22 Oppegård
5 Danois
8 Ahamada
27 Sy
10 Namaso
21 Faivre
9 Archer

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 P. Nardi G
15 C. Makosso D
4 A. Tuanzebe D
92 C. Akpa D
27 L. Sy M
8 N. Ahamada M
5 K. Danois M
22 F. Oppegård M
21 R. Faivre M
10 D. Namaso M
9 C. Archer F

Substitutes

23 M. Diop G
34 L. Dioubate M
20 S. Diomandé D
47 Youssef Khoudda F
32 R. Mandengue D
46 A. Piedfort M
29 M. Senaya D
13 T. Siwe D
77 Aristide Zossou M

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