Marseille vs Strasbourg Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 1

21 Aug 2026, 18:45

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Strasbourg

Away

AI poziv Teška pobeda ili remi za Marseille

58%

28%

14%

Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Marseille vs Strasbourg prediction: Sportiko gives Marseille a 58% chance of winning, Strasbourg 14% and the draw 28%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:47.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 15.4%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Marseille

WWWLD

Strasbourg

LLWWD

Last 3 meetings Marseille · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Marseille will face Strasbourg at their home ground. Marseille has shown strong form in recent matches, boasting a solid home record with an average of 2.1 goals per game this season. Strasbourg, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per game away. The matchup will hinge on Marseille's ability to capitalize on their attacking prowess against a vulnerable Strasbourg defense. Key players to watch include Marseille's leading scorer, who has been instrumental in their recent success.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Strasbourg goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	5	2	1
1	15	13	4	1
2	13	9	3	1
3	7	5	2
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Marseille goals · most likely 1–0 (15.4%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

28%

Away Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

28%

Away Win

14%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

81% Home (No Draw) 19% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

58% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 14% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.9%	5.5%	2.3%	0.5%	0.1%
1	15.4%	12.5%	3.7%	0.8%	0.1%
2	13.4%	8.9%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%
3	7.2%	4.7%	1.6%	0.3%	0.1%
4	2.9%	1.9%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Marseille	Draw	Strasbourg
Marseille	36.8%	3.3%	0.7%
Draw	21.0%	19.1%	6.2%
Strasbourg	1.9%	3.4%	7.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

52%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Marseille vs Strasbourg

1 Marseille Wins

2 Draws

0 Strasbourg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Feb 2026	Marseille	2 - 2	Strasbourg
26 Sep 2025	Strasbourg	1 - 2	Marseille
19 Jan 2025	Marseille	1 - 1	Strasbourg

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Marseille — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
30 Jul	H Nimes	W	2 - 1
17 May	H Rennes	W	3 - 1
10 May	A Le Havre	W	0 - 1
02 May	A Nantes	L	3 - 0
26 Apr	H Nice	D	1 - 1

Strasbourg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Aug	H SV Elversberg	L	2 - 5
20 Jul	A Sporting CP	L	7 - 0
17 May	H Monaco	W	5 - 4
13 May	A Stade Brestois 29	W	1 - 2
10 May	A Angers	D	1 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Angers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Stade Brestois 29	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Lille	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Nice	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Paris Saint Germain	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Lens	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Estac Troyes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.