SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 Predviđanje

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5
FT
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Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
AI poziv Teška pobeda ili remi za SC Freiburg
58%
24%
18%
Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Prognoza: SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04: Sportiko procenjuje da SC Freiburg ima 58% šanse za pobedu, FC Schalke 04 18%, a nerešeno 24%. Poslednje ažuriranje 11 Oct 2026, 17:26.

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  • Home/Draw & Over 1.5 71%
  • Home 2H Over 0.5 72%
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Match Report

SC Freiburg claimed a 2–1 Bundesliga victory over FC Schalke 04 in a match that swung decisively in the hosts' favour after the break. Maximilian Eggestein opened the scoring in the 10th minute, only for Kerim Karaman to level for Schalke before half-time, sending the sides in level at 1–1.

The turning point arrived early in the second half when Schalke's Yuito Suzuki, already booked in the 49th minute, received a second yellow card in the 64th minute to leave his side a man down. Freiburg capitalised on the numerical advantage, and substitute Keisuke Goto sealed the three points with a decisive goal in the 85th minute. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Freiburg win as the most likely outcome at 58%, a call that proved correct.

The underlying numbers underlined Freiburg's dominance throughout — the hosts registered an expected goals figure of 1.07 against Schalke's 0.32, with a 4–1 advantage in shots on target and seven corners to two. The result moves Freiburg further up the Bundesliga standings after five matchdays.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Maximilian Eggestein
10' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 30'
K. Karaman assist: A. Gantenbein
HT 1–1
Yuito Suzuki Yellow Card
49' ▮
Matthias Ginter Yellow Card
57' ▮
Yuito Suzuki Red Card
64' ▮
Igor Matanović ⇄ Lucas Höler
65' ⇄
Jan-Niklas Beste ⇄ Cyriaque Irié
69' ⇄
Yannik Engelhardt ⇄ Keisuke Goto
69' ⇄
⇄ 69'
Satoshi Tanaka ⇄ Ron Schallenberg
⇄ 69'
Junior Adamu ⇄ Edin Džeko
⇄ 79'
A. Gantenbein ⇄ Adil Aouchiche
⇄ 79'
Maximilian Wöber ⇄ Timo Becker
⇄ 79'
Moussa Sylla ⇄ Hwang Hee-chan
Philipp Treu ⇄ Lukas Kübler
83' ⇄
Derry Scherhant ⇄ Vincenzo Grifo
83' ⇄
Keisuke Goto assist: Vincenzo Grifo
85' ⚽ 2–1
▮ 87'
Hwang Hee-chan Yellow Card
FT 2–1
SC Freiburg

Match Stats

FC Schalke 04
51% Ball Possession 49%
1.07 Expected Goals (xG) 0.32
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 5
3 Shots outsidebox 0
7 Corner Kicks 2
0 Offsides 5
11 Fouls 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
1 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
427 Total passes 417
335 Passes accurate 324
11 Free Kicks 11
SC Freiburg
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Maximilian Eggestein M 7.8 90' 1 – 2 40 (30%) 2
42 Keisuke Goto F 7.7 21' 1 – 1 3 (2%) –
28 Matthias Ginter D 6.9 90' – – 2 69 (61%) 1
9 Lucas Höler F 6.8 25' – – – 12 (4%) –
29 Philipp Treu D 6.7 83' – – – 57 (49%) 1
22 Cyriaque Irié F 6.6 21' – – 1 10 (8%) 1
32 Vincenzo Grifo M 6.6 7' – 1 1 7 (3%) –
33 Jordy Makengo D 6.6 90' – – – 38 (28%) 1
19 Jan-Niklas Beste M 6.5 69' – – – 24 (22%) 3
31 Igor Matanović F 6.4 65' – – 2 14 (10%) 1
17 Lukas Kübler D 6.3 7' – – – 2 –
7 Derry Scherhant M 6.3 83' – – 1 15 (11%) 1
3 Philipp Lienhart D 6.2 90' – – – 52 (43%) 1
16 Yannik Engelhardt M 6.2 69' – – – 24 (19%) 3
14 Yuito Suzuki M 6.0 64' – – – 18 (14%) 1
1 Mio Backhaus G 5.8 90' – – – 42 (31%) –
FC Schalke 04
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
4 Hasan Kuruçay D 7.1 90' – – – 55 (49%) 3
39 Maximilian Wöber D 6.9 79' – – – 49 (44%) 3
17 A. Gantenbein M 6.8 79' – 1 1 21 (16%) 5
25 Nikola Katić D 6.6 90' – – 1 57 (50%) –
19 K. Karaman M 6.6 90' 1 – 1 29 (17%) –
1 Loris Karius G 6.5 90' – – – 41 (27%) –
10 Edin Džeko F 6.4 21' – – – 9 (5%) –
13 Satoshi Tanaka M 6.4 69' – – – 26 (23%) 2
5 Timo Becker D 6.2 11' – – – 9 (9%) 1
20 Junior Adamu F 6.1 69' – – – 18 (9%) 1
23 Soufiane El-Faouzi M 6.1 90' – – – 33 (27%) 1
9 Moussa Sylla M 6.1 79' – – 1 13 (9%) 2
24 Adil Aouchiche M 6.0 11' – – – 4 (2%) –
7 Hwang Hee-chan F 5.9 11' – – – 3 (2%) –
8 Robin Gosens M 5.8 90' – – 1 32 (22%) 2
6 Ron Schallenberg M 5.7 21' – – – 18 (13%) –
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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Naša prognoza
Teška pobeda ili remi za SC Freiburg
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SC Freiburg
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FC Schalke 04
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Last 3 meetings SC Freiburg · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga match, SC Freiburg will face FC Schalke 04. Freiburg has shown a solid defensive record this season, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Schalke struggles with away form, averaging 0.8 goals scored per game. Freiburg's midfield control could be key, as they average 55% possession, allowing them to dictate play. Conversely, Schalke's reliance on counter-attacks could be stifled by Freiburg's organized defense. The outcome will likely hinge on Freiburg's ability to exploit Schalke's defensive vulnerabilities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
58%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
18%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

SC Freiburg
I. Matanović 4 gls
Y. Suzuki 4 gls
FC Schalke 04

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04

3 SC Freiburg Wins
0 Draws
0 FC Schalke 04 Wins
Date Home Score Away
23 Apr 2023 SC Freiburg 4 - 0 FC Schalke 04
30 Oct 2022 FC Schalke 04 0 - 2 SC Freiburg
17 Apr 2021 SC Freiburg 4 - 0 FC Schalke 04
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SC Freiburg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Trabzonspor W 0 - 1
31 Oct A FC Augsburg W 1 - 2
28 Oct H VfL Wolfsburg W 3 - 2
25 Oct H Bayern München L 1 - 3
22 Oct A Monaco L 3 - 0

FC Schalke 04 — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
31 Oct H RB Leipzig L 0 - 2
28 Oct A Dynamo Dresden L 2 - 0
24 Oct A 1. FC Köln D 0 - 0
17 Oct H FSV Mainz 05 L 0 - 1
11 Oct A SC Freiburg L 2 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München
9 6 3 0 +20 21
2
Borussia Dortmund
9 6 3 0 +9 21
3
RB Leipzig
9 6 0 3 +14 18
4
SC Freiburg
8 5 1 2 +8 16
5
Werder Bremen
9 4 3 2 +2 15
6
Bayer Leverkusen
8 4 1 3 +2 13
7
SV Elversberg
9 4 1 4 -1 13
8
VfB Stuttgart
9 4 0 5 0 12
9
Eintracht Frankfurt
9 3 3 3 -5 12
10
Hamburger SV
9 4 0 5 -10 12
11
FSV Mainz 05
9 3 1 5 -1 10
12
SC Paderborn 07
9 2 4 3 -3 10
13
FC Augsburg
9 2 3 4 0 9
14
1899 Hoffenheim
8 3 0 5 -2 9
15
1. FC Köln
8 2 3 3 -3 9
16
Union Berlin
8 1 4 3 -12 7
17
FC Schalke 04
8 1 3 4 -5 6
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9 1 1 7 -13 4

SC Freiburg

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: J. Schuster
1 Backhaus
33 Makengo
3 Lienhart
28 Ginter
29 Treu
16 Engelhardt
8 Eggestein
7 Scherhant
14 Suzuki
19 Beste
31 Matanović

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 M. Backhaus G
29 P. Treu D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
33 J. Makengo D
8 M. Eggestein M
16 Y. Engelhardt M
19 J. Beste M
14 Y. Suzuki M
7 D. Scherhant M
31 I. Matanović F

Substitutes

42 K. Goto F
32 V. Grifo M
30 C. Günter D
9 L. Höler F
24 J. Huth G
22 Cyriaque Kalou Irié F
17 L. Kübler D
6 P. Osterhage M
37 M. Rosenfelder D

FC Schalke 04

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: M. Muslić
1 Karius
39 Wöber
25 Katić
4 Kuruçay
8 Gosens
13 Tanaka
23 El-Faouzi
17 Gantenbein
19 Karaman
9 Sylla
20 Adamu

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 L. Karius G
4 H. Kuruçay D
25 N. Katić D
39 M. Wöber D
17 A. Gantenbein M
23 S. El-Faouzi M
13 S. Tanaka M
8 R. Gosens M
9 M. Sylla M
19 K. Karaman M
20 J. Adamu F

Substitutes

29 J. Dina Ebimbe M
10 E. Džeko F
7 Hwang Hee-Chan F
22 K. Müller G
6 R. Schallenberg M
5 T. Becker D
33 Vitalie Becker D
43 M. Ayhan D
24 A. Aouchiche M

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