Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander Predviđanje

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés
AI poziv Rayo Vallecano ili nerešeno
45%
28%
27%
Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Prognoza: Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander: Sportiko procenjuje da Rayo Vallecano ima 45% šanse za pobedu, Racing Santander 27%, a nerešeno 28%. Poslednje ažuriranje 5 Sep 2026, 18:30.

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Match Report

Rayo Vallecano edged a chaotic La Liga encounter against Racing Santander, winning 3–2 in a match that produced five goals, six yellow cards, and two late red cards. Racing made a bright start through Sergio Canales in the fourth minute, but Rayo responded swiftly with Andrei Rațiu levelling at 17 minutes. Pablo García restored Racing's advantage on 28 minutes, setting up a frantic closing spell to the first half.

Sergio Camello proved the decisive figure, netting twice in quick succession — first on 43 minutes to draw Rayo level, then again just two minutes into the second half to put the hosts ahead for the first time. The pre-match AI model had rated a Rayo win as the most likely outcome at 45%, a call that proved correct. Camello was withdrawn shortly after his brace, having already collected a yellow card.

The closing stages grew increasingly ill-tempered, with Fran Pérez and Jorge de Frutos both dismissed in the final minutes. Rayo finished the more threatening side, registering ten shots on goal to Racing's five, and held on to claim all three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Óscar Valentín Yellow Card
2'
0–1 4'
Sergio Canales
Andrei Rațiu assist: Sergio Camello
17' 1–1
25'
Yassir Zabiri Yellow Card
1–2 28'
Pablo García
35'
Iñigo Vicente Yellow Card
Sergio Camello Yellow Card
39'
Sergio Camello assist: Unai López
43' 2–2
HT 2–2
Sergio Camello assist: Unai López
47' 3–2
55'
Manu Hernando ⇄ Pablo Ramón
55'
Matteo Prati ⇄ André Almeida
55'
Facundo González ⇄ Jeanuël Belocian
Sergio Camello ⇄ Alemão
57'
Óscar Valentín ⇄ Gnangoro Bouaré
57'
Jorge de Frutos ⇄ Fran Pérez
65'
Florian Lejeune Yellow Card
66'
Álvaro García ⇄ Georgiy Tsitaishvili
74'
Adrià Pedrosa ⇄ Iván Balliu
75'
Fran Pérez Red Card
85'
Jorge de Frutos Red Card
89'
90'
Pablo García ⇄ Juan Carlos Arana
90'
Alvaro Mantilla ⇄ Aarón Martín
FT 3–2
Rayo Vallecano

Match Stats

Racing Santander
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 5
7 Shots outsidebox 5
9 Corner Kicks 6
1 Offsides 2
15 Fouls 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
2 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 6
384 Total passes 409
316 Passes accurate 331
12 Free Kicks 15
Rayo Vallecano
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Sergio Camello F 9.5 57' 2 1 3 15 (13%) 1
8 Unai López M 8.0 90' 2 1 63 (52%) 1
6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss D 7.2 90' 1 51 (47%) 2
2 Andrei Rațiu D 6.6 90' 1 3 38 (28%) 2
14 Georgiy Tsitaishvili F 6.5 16' 1 (1%)
18 Álvaro García F 6.5 74' 2 7 (5%)
19 Jorge de Frutos F 6.4 89' 1 12 (10%) 1
23 Óscar Valentín M 6.3 57' 43 (40%)
4 Pedro Díaz M 6.3 90' 2 34 (33%) 2
9 Alemão F 6.2 33' 4 (3%)
20 Iván Balliu D 6.2 15' 1
36 Gnangoro Bouaré M 6.1 33' 11 (10%) 2
24 Florian Lejeune D 6.0 90' 1 56 (47%)
17 Adrià Pedrosa D 6.0 75' 2 22 (14%) 1
1 Dani Cárdenas G 5.9 90' 21 (10%)
21 Fran Pérez F 5.6 20' 4 (3%)
Racing Santander
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
20 Sergio Canales M 8.0 90' 1 3 41 (37%) 2
15 Pablo García M 6.9 90' 1 3 9 (8%) 2
13 Julen Agirrezabala G 6.8 90' 23 (16%)
8 André Almeida M 6.5 35' 30 (28%) 2
21 Yassir Zabiri F 6.3 90' 2 13 (9%) 1
5 Pablo Ramón D 6.3 35' 24 (23%) 2
24 Jeanuël Belocian D 6.2 35' 1 14 (14%) 1
23 Iván Martín M 6.1 90' 59 (50%) 6
16 Facundo González D 6.1 55' 18 (15%) 2
18 Matteo Prati M 6.0 55' 38 (32%)
4 Manu Hernando D 6.0 55' 1 17 (14%)
17 Jorge Salinas D 5.9 90' 28 (20%) 4
10 Iñigo Vicente M 5.9 90' 49 (35%) 3
2 Alvaro Mantilla D 5.3 90' 33 (20%) 1
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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Naša prognoza
Rayo Vallecano ili nerešeno
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Rayo Vallecano
DWLWL
Racing Santander
LLWLW
Last 2 meetings Rayo Vallecano · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

Rayo Vallecano enters this match against Racing Santander with a solid home record, having secured 60% of their points at home this season. They have a well-balanced attack, averaging 1.5 goals per game, while their defense has shown improvement, conceding an average of 1.2 goals. Racing Santander, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, with only one win in their last five away matches and a goals-per-game average of 1.0. This matchup promises to be competitive, but Rayo's current form and home performance may give them the edge.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
45%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
27%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Rayo Vallecano
Sergio Camello 7 gls
Racing Santander
M. Zabiri 6 gls

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Head to Head: Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander

1 Rayo Vallecano Wins
1 Draws
0 Racing Santander Wins
Date Home Score Away
03 Mar 2012 Rayo Vallecano 4 - 2 Racing Santander
01 Oct 2011 Racing Santander 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Osasuna D 1 - 1
15 Sep H Espanyol W 2 - 1
12 Sep A Real Madrid L 4 - 1
05 Sep H Racing Santander W 3 - 2
31 Aug A Barcelona L 5 - 2

Racing Santander — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Celta Vigo L 5 - 0
16 Sep A Barcelona L 7 - 2
12 Sep H Alaves W 2 - 1
05 Sep A Rayo Vallecano L 3 - 2
28 Aug H Elche W 3 - 2

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Rayo Vallecano

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Beñat San José
1 Cárdenas
17 Pedrosa
6 Ciss
24 Lejeune
2 Rațiu
4 Díaz
23 Valentín
8 López
18 García
10 Camello
19 Frutos

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Dani Cárdenas G
2 A. Rațiu D
24 F. Lejeune D
6 P. Ciss D
17 Adrià Pedrosa D
8 Unai López M
23 Óscar Valentín M
4 Pedro Díaz M
19 Jorge de Frutos F
10 Sergio Camello F
18 Álvaro García F

Substitutes

9 Alemão F
25 E. Audero G
20 I. Balliu D
36 G. Bouare M
26 Marco de las Sías D
22 Pelayo Fernández D
11 R. Nteka M
21 Fran Pérez F
15 Mujaid Sadick D
14 G. Tsitaishvili F
37 Rayane Belid F

Racing Santander

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: José Alberto López
13 Agirrezabala
17 Salinas
16 González
4 Hernando
2 Mantilla
18 Prati
23 Martín
10 Vicente
20 Canales
15 García
21 Zabiri

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 Julen Agirrezabala G
2 Álvaro Mantilla D
4 Manu Hernando D
16 Facundo González D
17 Jorge Salinas D
23 Iván Martín M
18 M. Prati M
15 Pablo García M
20 Sergio Canales M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
21 M. Zabiri F

Substitutes

24 J. Belocian D
14 M. Gueye M
7 G. Guliashvili F
3 Aarón Martín D
22 Pedro Felipe D
38 H. Perez F
5 Pablo Ramón D
6 Íñigo Sainz-Maza M
12 Asier Villalibre F
8 André Almeida M
9 Juan Carlos Arana F
1 S. Eriksson G

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