USA vs Paraguay Predviđanje

World Cup · Group Stage - 1

Post on X

Paraguay

Away

AI poziv Teška pobeda ili remi za USA

53%

29%

18%

Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Prognoza: USA vs Paraguay: Sportiko procenjuje da USA ima 53% šanse za pobedu, Paraguay 18%, a nerešeno 29%. Poslednje ažuriranje 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Match Report

The United States delivered a commanding 4-1 victory over Paraguay in their World Cup group stage opener, with the match effectively decided by halftime. An early own goal from Damián Bobadilla in the 7th minute set the tone, before Folarin Balogun struck twice in the first half to give the Americans a comfortable 3-0 lead at the break. Our pre-match AI model rated "USA win" most likely at 53% — that call was correct.

Balogun completed his brace early in the second half with another clinical finish in the 50th minute. Paraguay managed to pull one back through Mauricio's 73rd-minute effort, but any hopes of a comeback were extinguished when Giovanni Reyna added a fourth goal deep into stoppage time. The match saw several yellow cards distributed throughout, with VAR confirming an upgrade for Tim Ream in the 52nd minute.

Despite Paraguay dominating possession (64% to 36%) and registering more shots (16 to 9), they struggled to convert their territorial advantage into clear-cut chances, managing just one shot on target compared to the USA's six. The Americans' clinical finishing proved the decisive factor in securing all three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Damián Bobadilla Own Goal

7' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 10'

Juan Cáceres Yellow Card

Folarin Balogun assist: Christian Pulišić

31' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 45'

Damián Bobadilla ⇄ Mauricio

Christian Pulišić ⇄ Sebastian Berhalter

45' ⇄

HT 3–0

Folarin Balogun assist: Malik Tillman

50' ⚽ 3–0

Tim Ream Card upgrade confirmed

52' 🖵

▮ 53'

Miguel Almirón Yellow Card

Tyler Adams Yellow Card

59' ▮

⇄ 62'

Antonio Sanabria ⇄ Alex Arce

Sergiño Dest ⇄ Tim Weah

72' ⇄

Folarin Balogun ⇄ Ricardo Pepi

72' ⇄

⚽ 3–1 73'

Mauricio assist: Julio Enciso

▮ 79'

Diego Gómez Yellow Card

⇄ 79'

Miguel Almirón ⇄ Ramón Sosa

⇄ 79'

Juan Cáceres ⇄ Gustavo Velázquez

⇄ 80'

Diego Gómez ⇄ Alejandro Romero

Malik Tillman ⇄ Giovanni Reyna

82' ⇄

▮ 88'

Alex Arce Yellow Card

▮ 93'

Junior Alonso Yellow Card

Giovanni Reyna

98' ⚽ 4–1

FT 4–1

USA

Match Stats

Paraguay

64% Ball Possession 36%

16 Total Shots 9

6 Shots on Goal 1

6 Shots off Goal 3

4 Blocked Shots 5

3 Corner Kicks 1

2 Offsides 1

13 Fouls 17

1 Yellow Cards 5

0 Red Cards 0

0 Goalkeeper Saves 3

16 Free Kicks 13

USA

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Folarin Balogun F	9.1	72'	2	–	5	16 (10%)	–
10 Christian Pulišić M	7.7	46'	–	1	–	22 (18%)	1
17 Malik Tillman M	7.5	82'	–	1	5	38 (30%)	–
13 Tim Ream D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	90 (84%)	1
3 Chris Richards D	7.1	90'	–	–	1	83 (83%)	1
16 Alexander Freeman D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	71 (61%)	1
5 Antonee Robinson D	6.8	90'	–	–	–	56 (44%)	–
9 Ricardo Pepi F	6.7	18'	–	–	1	2 (2%)	1
21 Tim Weah F	6.6	18'	–	–	2	11 (10%)	–
4 Tyler Adams M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	57 (51%)	2
8 Weston McKennie M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	51 (39%)	–
2 Sergiño Dest M	6.4	72'	–	–	–	35 (28%)	–
7 Giovanni Reyna M	6.4	8'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	–
14 Sebastian Berhalter M	6.3	44'	–	–	1	26 (19%)	–
24 Matthew Freese G	6.1	90'	–	–	–	20 (12%)	–

Paraguay

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
19 Julio Enciso F	6.9	90'	–	1	2	25 (20%)	2
10 Miguel Almirón M	6.5	79'	–	–	2	23 (18%)	2
11 Mauricio M	6.5	44'	1	–	1	20 (14%)	2
17 Alejandro Romero M	6.3	10'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	–
15 Gustavo Gómez D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	29 (23%)	1
9 Antonio Sanabria F	6.2	62'	–	–	–	10 (5%)	–
18 Alex Arce F	6.1	28'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	1
8 Diego Gómez M	6.0	80'	–	–	4	26 (21%)	2
14 Andrés Cubas M	5.9	90'	–	–	–	31 (25%)	5
16 Damián Bobadilla M	5.8	46'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	–
7 Ramón Sosa F	5.8	11'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
12 Orlando Gill G	5.7	90'	–	–	–	25 (15%)	–
3 Omar Alderete D	5.5	90'	–	–	–	33 (21%)	–
2 Gustavo Velázquez D	5.4	11'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
4 Juan Cáceres D	5.1	79'	–	–	–	32 (20%)	5
6 Junior Alonso D	5.1	90'	–	–	–	34 (23%)	2

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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Naša prognoza

Teška pobeda ili remi za USA

Most likely score

1:0 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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USA

LWLWW

Paraguay

LDDWL

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 13, 2026, the USA faces Paraguay, both looking to establish momentum in the tournament. The USA has shown strong form in its recent friendlies, boasting a solid home advantage with a record of 10 wins in their last 12 matches at home. Paraguay, while historically competitive, has struggled against top-tier teams, winning only 2 of their last 6 matches against higher-ranked opponents. Key players like Christian Pulisic for the USA could exploit Paraguay's defensive vulnerabilities, while Paraguay will rely on their physicality and set-pieces to challenge the American backline. Overall, the USA is favored, but Paraguay's resilience could make for a tightly contested encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Paraguay goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	6	3	1
1	14	14	5	1
2	12	9	4	1
3	6	5	2
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ USA goals · most likely 1–0 (13.9%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

29%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

29%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

75% Home (No Draw) 25% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 18% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.8%	6.5%	3.1%	0.8%	0.2%
1	13.9%	13.6%	4.7%	1.2%	0.2%
2	11.6%	9.0%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%
3	5.8%	4.5%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%
4	2.2%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	USA	Draw	Paraguay
USA	32.8%	3.8%	0.9%
Draw	19.2%	19.9%	7.9%
Paraguay	1.9%	3.7%	10.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: USA vs Paraguay

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

USA — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Jul	H Belgium	L	1 - 4
02 Jul	H Bosnia & Herzegovina	W	2 - 0
26 Jun	A Türkiye	L	3 - 2
19 Jun	H Australia	W	2 - 0
13 Jun	H Paraguay	W	4 - 1

Paraguay — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Jul	H France	L	0 - 1
29 Jun	A Germany	D	1 - 1
26 Jun	H Australia	D	0 - 0
20 Jun	A Türkiye	W	0 - 1
13 Jun	A USA	L	4 - 1

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Paraguay

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Gustavo Alfaro

12 Gill

6 Alonso

3 Alderete

15 Gómez

4 Cáceres

10 Almirón

16 Bobadilla

14 Cubas

8 Gómez

19 Enciso

9 Sanabria

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Orlando Gill	G
4	Juan Cáceres	D
15	Gustavo Gómez	D
3	Omar Alderete	D
6	Junior Alonso	D
8	Diego Gómez	M
14	Andrés Cubas	M
16	Damián Bobadilla	M
10	Miguel Almirón	M
9	Antonio Sanabria	F
19	Julio Enciso	F

Substitutes

11	Mauricio	M
18	Alex Arce	F
22	Gastón Olveira	G
1	Roberto Fernández	G
5	Fabián Balbuena	D
26	Alexandro Maidana	D
2	Gustavo Velázquez	D
13	José Canale	D
20	Braian Ojeda	M
17	Alejandro Romero	M
24	Gustavo Caballero	F
23	Matías Galarza	M
21	Gabriel Ávalos	F
25	Isidro Pitta	F
7	Ramón Sosa	F

USA

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Mauricio Pochettino

24 Freese

5 Robinson

13 Ream

3 Richards

16 Freeman

17 Tillman

4 Adams

10 Pulišić

8 McKennie

2 Dest

20 Balogun

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
24	Matthew Freese	G
16	Alexander Freeman	D
3	Chris Richards	D
13	Tim Ream	D
5	Antonee Robinson	D
4	Tyler Adams	M
17	Malik Tillman	M
2	Sergiño Dest	M
8	Weston McKennie	M
10	Christian Pulišić	M
20	Folarin Balogun	F

Substitutes

14	Sebastian Berhalter	M
1	Matt Turner	G
25	Chris Brady	G
6	Auston Trusty	D
12	Miles Robinson	D
22	Mark McKenzie	D
23	Joe Scally	D
18	Maximilian Arfsten	M
7	Giovanni Reyna	M
15	Cristian Roldán	M
11	Brenden Aaronson	M
21	Tim Weah	F
26	Alex Zendejas	F
9	Ricardo Pepi	F
19	Haji Wright	F