Marseille vs Nice Parashikim

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31
FT
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Parashikim AI Fitore ose barazim i vështirë për Marseille
61%
23%
16%
Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi Marseille vs Nice: Sportiko i jep Marseille 61% probabilitet fitese, Nice 16% dhe barazimit 23%. Përditësuar së fundmi 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Marseille and Nice played out a tense 1–1 draw at the Vélodrome in Ligue 1's 31st round, with the match goalless at the break despite a feisty first half that saw yellow cards for Emerson Palmieri, Facundo Medina, and Elye Wahi before the interval.

The deadlock was broken just after the hour mark when Pierre-Emile Højbjerg put Marseille ahead in the 66th minute, and the home side looked set to claim all three points. Marseille had dominated throughout, finishing with 68% possession, 24 total shots, and an expected goals figure of 2.32 — though our pre-match AI model had rated a Marseille win as the most likely outcome at 61%, a call that ultimately fell short. Nice levelled in the 88th minute through an Elye Wahi penalty, cancelling out the advantage Marseille had worked hard to establish.

The result leaves both sides with a point each from a match that Marseille statistically controlled but could not convert into a victory. Wahi was substituted immediately after scoring, departing in the 90th minute following his earlier booking.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Emerson Palmieri Yellow Card
29' ▮
Facundo Medina Yellow Card
44' ▮
▮ 44'
Elye Wahi Yellow Card
HT 0–0
⇄ 46'
Morgan Sanson ⇄ Sofiane Diop
Emerson Palmieri
62' ⇄
Arthur Vermeeren ⇄ Mason Greenwood
63' ⇄
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg assist: Tochukwu Nnadi
66' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 67'
Mohamed-Ali Cho ⇄ Kaïl Boudache
Tochukwu Nnadi ⇄ Nouhoum Kamissoko
80' ⇄
Q. Timber ⇄ Himad Abdelli
81' ⇄
⇄ 81'
Melvin Bard ⇄ Ali Abdi
⇄ 81'
Salis Abdul Samed ⇄ Kevin Carlos Omoruyi
Tim Weah Yellow Card
86' ▮
Gerónimo Rulli Yellow Card
87' ▮
⚽ 1–1 88'
Elye Wahi Penalty
⇄ 90+1'
Elye Wahi ⇄ Charles Vanhoutte
FT 1–1
Marseille

Match Stats

Nice
68% Ball Possession 32%
2.32 Expected Goals (xG) 1.46
24 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Goal 2
12 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 1
18 Shots insidebox 4
6 Shots outsidebox 1
7 Corner Kicks 1
0 Offsides 2
14 Fouls 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
655 Total passes 302
573 Passes accurate 220
87% Passes % 73%
0.52 goals_prevented 0.52
Marseille
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M 8.2 90' 1 – 2 97 (80%) 3
22 Tim Weah M 7.9 90' – – 1 51 (44%) 2
5 Leonardo Balerdi D 7.5 90' – – 6 83 (80%) 4
32 Facundo Medina D 7.2 90' – – – 85 (78%) –
6 Tochukwu Nnadi M 7.2 80' – 1 1 55 (47%) 1
10 Mason Greenwood F 6.7 27' – – 2 13 (13%) –
17 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang F 6.7 90' – – 2 27 (19%) 1
27 Q. Timber F 6.6 81' – – – 37 (32%) 1
28 Benjamin Pavard D 6.6 90' – – – 82 (75%) 1
33 Emerson Palmieri M 6.6 62' – – – 39 (34%) –
8 Himad Abdelli M 6.5 9' – – – 7 (5%) –
71 Nouhoum Kamissoko M 6.5 10' – – 1 12 (11%) –
18 Arthur Vermeeren M 6.3 63' – – 1 34 (29%) 2
1 Gerónimo Rulli G 6.2 90' – – 1 20 (15%) –
76 Tadjidine Mmadi M 5.9 28' – – 1 13 (11%) –
Nice
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Hicham Boudaoui M 7.7 90' – – – 30 (23%) 3
10 Sofiane Diop M 7.5 45' – – – 19 (14%) 1
28 Abdulay Juma Bah D 7.2 90' – – – 25 (24%) 4
26 Melvin Bard D 7.0 81' – – – 27 (19%) 1
2 Ali Abdi D 6.9 9' – – – 2 (1%) 1
37 Kojo Peprah Oppong D 6.9 90' – – – 36 (34%) 1
92 Jonathan Clauss D 6.9 90' – – – 25 (20%) –
11 Elye Wahi F 6.7 89' 1 – 2 13 (10%) –
24 Charles Vanhoutte M 6.7 8' – – – 4 (2%) –
32 Kaïl Boudache F 6.7 23' – – 1 8 (7%) 2
80 Yehvann Diouf G 6.5 90' – – – 33 (12%) –
25 Mohamed-Ali Cho M 6.5 67' – – – 12 (7%) –
90 Kevin Carlos Omoruyi F 6.3 9' – – – 2 (1%) –
33 Antoine Mendy D 6.2 90' – – – 37 (25%) 1
8 Morgan Sanson M 6.2 45' – – 1 9 (6%) –
99 Salis Abdul Samed M 6.2 81' – – – 20 (15%) –
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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Analizat tona
Fitore ose barazim i vështirë për Marseille
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Marseille
LLLLL
Nice
WLDLD
Last 3 meetings Marseille · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash on April 26, 2026, Marseille hosts Nice in a pivotal match for both teams. Marseille has displayed a solid home record, winning 70% of their matches at the Stade Vélodrome this season, while Nice has struggled in away fixtures, securing only 30% of points on the road. Key players to watch include Marseille’s leading scorer, who has netted 15 goals this season, and Nice’s defensive stalwart, who boasts an impressive tackle success rate of 85%. The tactical battle could hinge on Marseille's ability to exploit Nice’s vulnerabilities in transition, making this match crucial for both teams' aspirations for European qualification.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Marseille
A. Gouiri 4 gls
Nice

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Marseille vs Nice

2 Marseille Wins
0 Draws
1 Nice Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Nov 2025 Nice 1 - 5 Marseille
26 Jan 2025 Nice 2 - 0 Marseille
14 Sep 2024 Marseille 2 - 0 Nice
Shiko të gjitha 10 ndeshjet — Premium

Marseille — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Paris Saint Germain L 1 - 2
17 Sep A Beşiktaş L 4 - 1
11 Sep A Rennes L 1 - 0
06 Sep H Paris FC L 2 - 3
30 Aug A Monaco L 2 - 0

Nice — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Lille W 2 - 1
12 Sep A Auxerre L 1 - 0
05 Sep H Le Mans D 1 - 1
30 Aug A Paris FC L 3 - 0
22 Aug H Lorient D 0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Marseille

Formation: 3-5-1-1 Coach: Habib Beye
1 Rulli
32 Medina
5 Balerdi
28 Pavard
33 Emerson
18 Vermeeren
23 Hojbjerg
6 Nnadi
22 Weah
27 Timber
17 Aubameyang

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 G. Rulli G
28 B. Pavard D
5 L. Balerdi D
32 F. Medina D
22 T. Weah M
6 T. Nnadi M
23 P. Hojbjerg M
18 A. Vermeeren M
33 Emerson M
27 Q. Timber F
17 P. Aubameyang F

Substitutes

12 J. De Lange G
10 M. Greenwood F
8 H. Abdelli M
11 E. Nwaneri M
72 H. Hamzaoui D
78 E. Lago F
76 T. Mmadi M
71 N. Kamissoko M
70 U. Lamare El Kadmiri F

Nice

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Claude Puel
80 Diouf
26 Bard
37 Peprah
28 Bah
33 Mendy
92 Clauss
8 Sanson
99 Samed
6 Boudaoui
25 Cho
11 Wahi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
80 Y. Diouf G
92 J. Clauss D
33 A. Mendy D
28 J. Bah D
37 K. Peprah D
26 M. Bard D
25 M. Cho M
6 H. Boudaoui M
99 S. Abdul Samed M
8 M. Sanson M
11 E. Wahi F

Substitutes

31 M. Dupe G
4 Dante D
2 A. Abdi D
10 S. Diop M
24 C. Vanhoutte M
32 K. Boudache F
90 Kevin F
20 T. Louchet M
39 D. Coulibaly M

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