Udinese vs Parma Parashikim

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 33
FT
Post on X
Bluenergy Stadium, Udine
Parashikim AI Fitore ose barazim i vështirë për Udinese
50%
28%
22%
Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi Udinese vs Parma: Sportiko i jep Udinese 50% probabilitet fitese, Parma 22% dhe barazimit 28%. Përditësuar së fundmi 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Udinese dominated possession with 57% of the ball and created the majority of chances at the Bluenergy Stadium, but could not find the net across a goalless first half despite generating 16 total shots across the contest.

The decisive moment arrived just seconds into the second half, when Nesta Elphege struck for Parma in the 51st minute to give the visitors the lead. Both managers turned to their benches in search of a response, with a flurry of substitutions reshaping both sides between the 64th and 75th minutes. Udinese's frustration was evident as Nicolò Zaniolo picked up a yellow card in the 70th minute, while Jesper Karlström followed him into the book late on.

Despite Udinese's territorial advantage — including ten corner kicks to Parma's five — the home side managed only three shots on target and could not recover. Parma's expected goals figure of 1.23 edged out Udinese's 1.13, reflecting a slightly more clinical visiting performance. Our pre-match AI model had favoured a home win at 50%, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0
⇄ 46'
Mateo Pellegrino ⇄ Nesta Elphege
⚽ 0–1 51'
Nesta Elphege assist: Gabriel Strefezza
Jakub Piotrowski ⇄ Idrissa Gueye
64' ⇄
Hassane Kamara ⇄ Juan Arizala
64' ⇄
⇄ 66'
Gabriel Strefezza ⇄ Jacob Ondrejka
⇄ 66'
Adrián Bernabé ⇄ Christian Ordoñez
Nicolò Zaniolo Yellow Card
70' ▮
⇄ 72'
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia ⇄ Nahuel Estévez
Jürgen Ekkelenkamp ⇄ Adam Buksa
73' ⇄
Kingsley Ehizibue ⇄ Oier Zarraga
73' ⇄
⇄ 75'
Abdoulaye Ndiaye ⇄ Sascha Britschgi
Thomas Kristensen ⇄ Branimir Mlačić
81' ⇄
Jesper Karlström Yellow Card
84' ▮
FT 0–1
Udinese

Match Stats

Parma
57% Ball Possession 43%
1.13 Expected Goals (xG) 1.23
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Goal 1
9 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 8
6 Shots outsidebox 2
10 Corner Kicks 5
2 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
Red Cards
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
441 Total passes 349
386 Passes accurate 292
88% Passes % 84%
0.52 goals_prevented 0.52
Udinese
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
28 Oumar Solet D 7.9 90' – – – 78 (71%) 2
14 Arthur Atta F 7.2 90' – – 1 54 (47%) –
8 Jesper Karlström M 6.9 90' – – 1 49 (43%) 1
11 Hassane Kamara M 6.9 64' – – 1 33 (28%) 1
32 Jürgen Ekkelenkamp F 6.9 73' – – 1 20 (16%) 1
20 Juan Arizala M 6.9 26' – – – 14 (14%) 1
18 Adam Buksa F 6.9 17' – – – 3 (2%) 1
24 Jakub Piotrowski M 6.7 64' – – – 25 (21%) 1
22 Branimir Mlačić D 6.7 9' – – – 7 (5%) –
6 Oier Zarraga M 6.6 17' – – – 5 (5%) –
31 Thomas Kristensen D 6.5 81' – – 1 43 (38%) 1
27 Christian Kabasele D 6.5 90' – – – 32 (29%) 1
19 Kingsley Ehizibue M 6.5 73' – – – 24 (22%) 1
10 Nicolò Zaniolo F 6.5 90' – – 4 36 (29%) –
40 Maduka Okoye G 6.3 90' – – – 14 (12%) –
7 Idrissa Gueye F 6.3 26' – – 3 4 (4%) –
Parma
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Gabriel Strefezza F 8.0 66' – 1 1 26 (18%) 4
23 Nesta Elphege F 7.5 45' 1 – 2 7 (4%) –
39 Alessandro Circati D 7.3 90' – – 1 31 (28%) 2
14 Emanuele Valeri M 7.3 90' – – – 24 (19%) 2
31 Zion Suzuki G 7.2 90' – – – 36 (23%) –
10 Adrián Bernabé F 7.2 66' – – – 26 (24%) 3
16 Mandela Keita M 7.2 90' – – – 40 (37%) 2
3 Abdoulaye Ndiaye D 7.2 75' – – – 36 (33%) 1
41 Hans Nicolussi Caviglia M 7.0 72' – – – 49 (43%) 3
37 Mariano Troilo D 6.9 90' – – 1 39 (36%) –
9 Mateo Pellegrino F 6.7 45' – – 1 7 (4%) –
15 Enrico Delprato M 6.6 90' – – – 13 (11%) –
27 Sascha Britschgi D 6.6 15' – – – 4 (3%) –
24 Christian Ordoñez M 6.5 24' – – – 5 (5%) 1
8 Nahuel Estévez M 6.3 18' – – – 4 (3%) –
17 Jacob Ondrejka F 6.3 24' – – – 2 (1%) –
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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Analizat tona
Fitore ose barazim i vështirë për Udinese
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Udinese
LLLWW
Parma
WLDLL
Last 3 meetings Udinese · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash between Udinese and Parma, both teams are vying for crucial points as they navigate mid-table challenges. Udinese has shown a solid home advantage, boasting a 60% win rate at Dacia Arena this season, while Parma struggles on the road, managing only two wins away from home. Key players to watch include Udinese's top scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Parma's playmaker, who leads the team in assists. With both teams aiming for stability, this match could be tightly contested, but Udinese's home form gives them a slight edge.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Udinese
H. Kamara 2 gls
J. Ekkelenkamp 2 gls
Parma

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Udinese vs Parma

3 Udinese Wins
0 Draws
0 Parma Wins
Date Home Score Away
29 Nov 2025 Parma 0 - 2 Udinese
01 Mar 2025 Udinese 1 - 0 Parma
16 Sep 2024 Parma 2 - 3 Udinese
Shiko të gjitha 10 ndeshjet — Premium

Udinese — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Cagliari L 0 - 1
14 Sep A Inter L 5 - 3
07 Sep H Lazio L 1 - 2
02 Sep H Venezia W 2 - 1
29 Aug A Monza W 2 - 3

Parma — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Genoa W 2 - 1
14 Sep A Como L 2 - 1
06 Sep H Monza D 1 - 1
01 Sep H Cremonese L 0 - 2
29 Aug A Juventus L 2 - 0

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Udinese

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: Kosta Runjaic
40 Okoye
28 Solet
27 Kabasele
31 Kristensen
11 Kamara
24 Piotrowski
8 Karlstrom
19 Ehizibue
10 Zaniolo
14 Atta
32 Ekkelenkamp

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 M. Okoye G
31 T. Kristensen D
27 C. Kabasele D
28 O. Solet D
19 K. Ehizibue M
8 J. Karlstrom M
24 J. Piotrowski M
11 H. Kamara M
10 N. Zaniolo F
32 J. Ekkelenkamp F
14 A. Atta F

Substitutes

93 D. Padelli G
90 R. Sava G
18 A. Buksa F
15 V. Bayo F
38 L. Miller M
22 B. Mlacic D
6 O. Zarraga M
7 I. Gueye F
20 J. Arizala M
29 A. Camara M

Parma

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Carlos Cuesta
31 Suzuki
3 Ndiaye
37 Troilo
39 Circati
14 Valeri
16 Keita
41 Caviglia
15 Delprato
7 Strefezza
10 Bernabe
9 Pellegrino

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 Z. Suzuki G
39 A. Circati D
37 M. Troilo D
3 A. Ndiaye D
15 E. Delprato M
41 H. Nicolussi Caviglia M
16 M. Keita M
14 E. Valeri M
10 A. Bernabe F
7 G. Strefezza F
9 M. Pellegrino F

Substitutes

40 E. Corvi G
66 F. Rinaldi G
8 N. Estevez M
11 P. Almqvist F
21 G. Oristanio M
17 J. Ondrejka F
24 C. Ordonez M
23 N. Elphege F
5 L. Valenti D
22 O. Sorensen M
29 F. Carboni D
27 S. Britschgi D

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