Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli Parashikim
Parashikimi Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli: Sportiko i jep Union Berlin 47% probabilitet fitese, FC St. Pauli 24% dhe barazimit 29%. Përditësuar së fundmi 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.
Match Report
Union Berlin and FC St. Pauli shared the spoils in a 1–1 Bundesliga draw at An der Alten Försterei, though the statistics told a story of home dominance that ultimately went unrewarded. St. Pauli took a surprise lead on 25 minutes and carried that advantage into the break, leaving Union with a mountain to climb in the second half.
The hosts responded quickly after the restart, levelling on 52 minutes to restore parity. Union pressed hard for a winner, generating 16 total shots and an expected goals figure of 2.00 compared to St. Pauli's modest 0.33, yet could not find a decisive breakthrough despite controlling 55% of possession and earning seven corner kicks. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Union Berlin win as the most likely outcome at 47%, though the visitors ultimately held firm for a point.
The closing stages turned dramatic when St. Pauli's Jackson Irvine received a yellow card on 85 minutes before being shown a second booking and subsequent red card deep into stoppage time, reducing his side to ten men — though by then the result was already settled.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Union Berlin
Match Stats
Union Berlin
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Andrej Ilić F | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 18 (4%) | – |
| 39 Derrick Köhn M | 7.7 | 80' | – | 1 | 2 | 34 (21%) | 1 |
| 7 Oliver Burke F | 7.5 | 80' | – | – | 2 | 15 (10%) | 1 |
| 13 András Schäfer M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (30%) | 1 |
| 4 Diogo Leite D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 69 (57%) | 1 |
| 5 Danilho Doekhi D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 50 (37%) | 1 |
| 19 Janik Haberer M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (35%) | 1 |
| 8 Rani Khedira M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 20 (15%) | 1 |
| 1 Frederik Rønnow G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (32%) | – |
| 14 Leopold Querfeld D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 75 (57%) | 2 |
| 15 Tom Rothe D | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | – |
| 33 Alex Král M | 6.5 | 17' | – | – | – | 10 (6%) | – |
| 11 Woo-Yeong Jeong F | 6.5 | 73' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | 2 |
| 10 Ilyas Ansah F | 6.5 | 10' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | – |
FC St. Pauli
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nikola Vasilj G | 9.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (11%) | – |
| 28 Mathias Pereira Lage M | 8.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 22 (12%) | 2 |
| 7 Jackson Irvine M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (30%) | 5 |
| 11 Arkadiusz Pyrka M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 36 (19%) | 1 |
| 20 Mathias Rasmussen M | 6.9 | 89' | – | – | – | 43 (33%) | 1 |
| 10 Danel Sinani F | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (25%) | 1 |
| 16 Joel Chima Fujita F | 6.9 | 73' | – | – | – | 24 (18%) | 5 |
| 5 Hauke Wahl D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (43%) | – |
| 3 Karol Mets D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 48 (37%) | 1 |
| 24 Connor Metcalfe M | 6.3 | 17' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 19 Martijn Kaars F | 6.3 | 60' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | 2 |
| 9 Abdoulie Ceesay F | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 2 | – |
| 25 Adam Dźwigała D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 29 (20%) | 2 |
| 27 Andreas Hountondji F | 6.2 | 30' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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T. Skarke
2 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2025 | FC St. Pauli | 0 - 1 | Union Berlin |
| 26 Jan 2025 | FC St. Pauli | 3 - 0 | Union Berlin |
| 30 Aug 2024 | Union Berlin | 1 - 0 | FC St. Pauli |
Union Berlin — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | A Bayern München | L | 7 - 0 |
| 11 Sep | H FC Schalke 04 | L | 1 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | A Bayer Leverkusen | L | 4 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | H Eintracht Frankfurt | D | 3 - 3 |
| 23 Aug | A Eintracht Braunschweig | W | 2 - 4 |
FC St. Pauli — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Energie Cottbus | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H VfL Wolfsburg | W | 1 - 0 |
| 04 Sep | A Arminia Bielefeld | D | 2 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L | 1 - 2 |
| 23 Aug | A Rot-Weiß Essen | L | 2 - 0 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |
SC Freiburg
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |
FC Augsburg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Werder Bremen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |
FC Schalke 04
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |
1. FC Köln
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |
Hamburger SV
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |
Union Berlin
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |
Union Berlin
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Steffen Baumgart
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Ronnow | G |
| 5 | D. Doekhi | D |
| 14 | L. Querfeld | D |
| 4 | D. Leite | D |
| 19 | J. Haberer | M |
| 13 | A. Schafer | M |
| 8 | R. Khedira | M |
| 39 | D. Kohn | M |
| 11 | Jeong Woo-Yeong | F |
| 23 | A. Ilic | F |
| 7 | O. Burke | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | C. Klaus | G |
| 28 | C. Trimmel | D |
| 33 | A. Kral | M |
| 18 | J. Juranovic | D |
| 21 | T. Skarke | M |
| 15 | T. Rothe | D |
| 10 | I. Ansah | F |
| 6 | A. Kemlein | M |
| 9 | L. Burcu | F |
FC St. Pauli
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Alexander Blessin
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | N. Vasilj | G |
| 25 | A. Dzwigala | D |
| 5 | H. Wahl | D |
| 3 | K. Mets | D |
| 11 | A. Pyrka | M |
| 20 | M. Rasmussen | M |
| 7 | J. Irvine | M |
| 28 | M. Pereira Lage | M |
| 10 | D. Sinani | F |
| 16 | J. Fujita | F |
| 19 | M. Kaars | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | B. A. Voll | G |
| 21 | L. Ritzka | D |
| 4 | D. Nemeth | D |
| 27 | A. Hountondji | F |
| 18 | T. Hara | F |
| 24 | C. Metcalfe | M |
| 23 | L. Oppie | D |
| 34 | J. Robatsch | D |
| 9 | A. Ceesay | F |