Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP Parashikim

UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4
FT
Post on X
Stamford Bridge, London
Parashikim AI Sporting CP ose barazim
27%
27%
46%
Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: Sportiko i jep Shakhtar Donetsk 27% probabilitet fitese, Sporting CP 46% dhe barazimit 27%. Përditësuar së fundmi 3 Nov 2026, 19:37.

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Match Report

Sporting CP claimed a narrow but deserved victory in Kharkiv, edging Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 in the UEFA Champions League league stage. The first half produced little in the way of clear-cut chances, with both sides cautious and the scoreline level at the break.

The decisive moment arrived in the 59th minute when Issa Doumbia broke the deadlock with a composed finish, rewarding Sporting's greater attacking intent. The Portuguese side had dominated possession at 54% and generated 14 total shots to Shakhtar's ten, with an expected goals figure of 1.68 underlining their superiority on the night. Isaque picked up a yellow card in the 74th minute as Shakhtar grew increasingly frustrated in their search for an equaliser, managing only three shots on target throughout.

Sporting saw the game out through a series of late substitutions, with Doumbia himself withdrawn in the 88th minute after securing the win. The result validated our pre-match AI model, which had rated a Sporting victory as the most likely outcome at 46%. Ruben Amorim's side take three valuable points from a testing away fixture.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0
⚽ 0–1 59'
Issa Doumbia
▮ 66'
Maximiliano Araújo Yellow Card
G. Mendoza ⇄ Newertton
67' ⇄
E. Nazaryna ⇄ Isaque
67' ⇄
⇄ 70'
Fotis Ioannidis ⇄ Rodrigo Zalazar
Isaque Yellow Card
74' ▮
⇄ 83'
Geny Catamo ⇄ Iván Fresneda
Marlon Gomes ⇄ L. Traoré
83' ⇄
⇄ 88'
Maximiliano Araújo ⇄ Salvador Blopa
⇄ 88'
Issa Doumbia ⇄ João Simões
Alisson Santana ⇄ Luca Meirelles
90' ⇄
M. Matvienko ⇄ Lucas Ferreira
90' ⇄
FT 0–1
Shakhtar Donetsk

Match Stats

Sporting CP
54% Ball Possession 46%
1.68 Expected Goals (xG) 1.24
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 8
6 Shots outsidebox 2
7 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 0
9 Fouls 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
434 Total passes 369
377 Passes accurate 314
17 Free Kicks 9
Shakhtar Donetsk
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
13 Pedrinho D 7.3 90' – – 2 50 (46%) 3
29 E. Nazaryna M 7.2 67' – – – 30 (28%) 1
27 O. Ocheretko M 7.2 90' – – – 27 (25%) 4
17 Vinícius Tobias D 7.0 90' – – – 52 (48%) 3
6 Marlon Gomes M 6.9 83' – – 2 28 (24%) 3
22 M. Matvienko D 6.9 90' – – 1 70 (62%) –
5 V. Bondar D 6.7 90' – – – 55 (51%) –
2 L. Traoré F 6.6 7' – – – – –
31 D. Riznyk G 6.5 90' – – – 42 (33%) –
77 G. Mendoza M 6.4 67' – – – 19 (13%) –
11 Newertton M 6.3 23' – – 1 10 (10%) 1
9 Kauã Elias F 6.3 90' – – 5 15 (11%) 1
14 Isaque M 6.1 23' – – – 7 (6%) –
30 Alisson Santana M 6.0 90' – – 3 25 (16%) 1
Sporting CP
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
77 Issa Doumbia M 8.2 88' 1 – 2 26 (23%) –
72 Eduardo Quaresma D 8.0 90' – – 2 43 (40%) 1
73 Eduardo Felicíssimo D 7.6 90' – – – 42 (37%) 2
25 Gonçalo Inácio D 7.4 90' – – – 46 (39%) 1
20 Maximiliano Araújo M 7.2 88' – – 2 34 (29%) 4
4 Silas Andersen M 7.2 90' – – 1 42 (38%) 4
17 Rodrigo Zalazar M 7.1 20' – – – 4 (2%) 1
22 Iván Fresneda D 7.0 7' – – – 3 (2%) –
70 Salvador Blopa D 7.0 2' – – – 1 (1%) –
1 Rui Silva G 6.8 90' – – – 20 (14%) –
5 Sergi Altimira M 6.8 90' – – – 46 (41%) 5
10 Geny Catamo M 6.7 83' – – – 25 (19%) 2
97 Luis Javier Suárez F 6.5 90' – – 3 15 (11%) –
7 Fotis Ioannidis F 6.4 70' – – – 20 (17%) 2
8 João Simões M 6.4 2' – – – 1 (1%) –
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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Analizat tona
Sporting CP ose barazim
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Shakhtar Donetsk
WLWDL
Sporting CP
WWWWL

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Sporting CP leads 0-1. Win probability: 86.6%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 13.4%.

59' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Sporting CP win: 79.4%. BTTS: 34.8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 75.3%. Over 1.5 remaining: 44.6%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
27%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
46%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Shakhtar Donetsk

No scorer data.

Sporting CP
L. Suárez 4 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Shakhtar Donetsk — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 May H Obolon'-Brovar W 2 - 0
03 Nov H Sporting CP L 0 - 1
27 Oct H Dynamo Kyiv W 3 - 0
24 Oct H Zorya Luhansk D 0 - 0
21 Oct A Inter L 1 - 0

Sporting CP — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Moreirense W 1 - 0
03 Nov A Shakhtar Donetsk W 0 - 1
30 Oct A Casa Pia W 0 - 2
27 Oct H Maritimo W 2 - 1
25 Oct H Academico Viseu L 1 - 2

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
4 4 0 0 +15 12
2
Real Madrid
4 4 0 0 +6 12
3
Arsenal
4 3 1 0 +5 10
4
Como
4 3 0 1 +13 9
5
Barcelona
4 3 0 1 +8 9
6
Aston Villa
4 3 0 1 +6 9
7
Manchester City
4 3 0 1 +5 9
8
Liverpool
4 3 0 1 +4 9
9
Club Brugge KV
4 3 0 1 +4 9
10
Sporting CP
4 3 0 1 +4 9
11
Real Betis
4 3 0 1 +2 9
12
Borussia Dortmund
4 3 0 1 +2 9
13
Bayern München
4 2 2 0 +7 8
14
VfB Stuttgart
4 2 1 1 +3 7
15
Inter
4 2 0 2 +2 6
16
Lask Linz
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Manchester United
4 2 0 2 0 6
18
Galatasaray
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Fenerbahçe
4 1 2 1 -5 5
20
AS Roma
4 1 1 2 +2 4
21
Shakhtar Donetsk
4 1 1 2 0 4
22
Viking
4 1 1 2 -1 4
23
Atletico Madrid
4 1 1 2 -1 4
24
PSV Eindhoven
4 1 1 2 -1 4
25
Bodo/Glimt
4 1 1 2 -5 4
26
FC Porto
4 1 0 3 -1 3
27
Napoli
4 1 0 3 -5 3
28
Villarreal
4 1 0 3 -6 3
29
AEK Athens FC
4 1 0 3 -6 3
30
RB Leipzig
4 1 0 3 -6 3
31
Sabah FA
4 1 0 3 -6 3
32
Feyenoord
4 1 0 3 -7 3
33
Lens
4 1 0 3 -12 3
34
Slavia Praha
4 0 1 3 -4 1
35
Lille
4 0 1 3 -6 1
36
Slovan Bratislava
4 0 0 4 -16 0

Sporting CP

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: Rui Borges
1 Silva
25 Inácio
73 Felicíssimo
72 Quaresma
20 Araújo
5 Altimira
4 Andersen
10 Catamo
77 Doumbia
7 Ioannidis
97 Suárez

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Rui Silva G
72 Eduardo Quaresma D
73 Eduardo Felicíssimo D
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
10 Geny Catamo M
4 S. Andersen M
5 Sergi Altimira M
20 M. Araújo M
77 I. Doumbia M
97 L. Suárez F
7 F. Ioannidis F

Substitutes

17 R. Zalazar M
8 João Simões M
21 Pedro Lima M
9 Rafael Ferreira Nel F
31 Luis Guilherme F
30 Kaique G
19 N. Irankunda F
58 Flávio Gonçalves F
22 Iván Fresneda D
28 J. Derry F
55 Ibrahima Ba D
70 Salvador Blopa D

Shakhtar Donetsk

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: A. Turan
31 Riznyk
13 Pedrinho
22 Matvienko
5 Bondar
17 Tobias
29 Nazaryna
77 Mendoza
6 Gomes
27 Ocheretko
30 Santana
9 Elias

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 D. Riznyk G
17 Vinícius Tobias D
5 V. Bondar D
22 M. Matvienko D
13 Pedrinho D
29 E. Nazaryna M
30 Alisson Santana M
27 O. Ocheretko M
6 Marlon Gomes M
77 G. Mendoza M
9 Kauã Elias F

Substitutes

23 K. Fesyun G
16 I. Azarovi D
25 Gabriel Carvalho F
18 A. Ghram D
14 Isaque M
20 O. Karavaev M
8 D. Kryskiv M
49 Luca Meirelles F
37 Lucas Ferreira M
11 Newertton M
68 P. Obah M
2 L. Traoré F

Asistenti Sportiko

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