Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Parashikim

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Parashikim AI Fitore ose barazim i vështirë për Aarhus
64%
23%
13%
Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Sportiko i jep Aarhus 64% probabilitet fitese, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 13% dhe barazimit 23%. Përditësuar së fundmi 22 Oct 2026, 20:55.

Match Report

Aarhus were dealt a brutal blow inside three minutes when Eric Kahl was shown a red card, leaving the Danish side to face Egnatia Rrogozhinë with ten men for virtually the entire contest. The Albanian visitors made their numerical advantage count early, with Ildi Gruda breaking the deadlock in the 13th minute to send Egnatia into the break ahead.

Aarhus regrouped at half-time, introducing fresh legs immediately after the interval, and were rewarded when James Bogere equalised in the 49th minute to level the tie. Despite controlling just 34% of possession and facing seven shots on target from Egnatia, the hosts held firm to secure a point that their expected goals figure of 1.02 — marginally higher than Egnatia's 0.66 — arguably justified.

The result means both sides take a share of the spoils in League Stage matchday two. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Aarhus win as the most likely outcome at 64%, and while the hosts did not claim all three points, their resilience in difficult circumstances made the draw feel like a creditable result.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Eric Kahl Red Card
3' ▮
▮ 11'
Andrey Yago Yellow Card
Callum McCowatt ⇄ Tobias Mølgaard
12' ⇄
⚽ 0–1 13'
Ildi Gruda assist: Daniel Adjessa
▮ 16'
Altin Kryeziu Yellow Card
Kristian Arnstad Yellow Card
39' ▮
HT 0–1
Janni Serra ⇄ James Bogere
46' ⇄
Frederik Tingager ⇄ Daníel Grétarsson
46' ⇄
James Bogere assist: Sebastian Jørgensen
49' ⚽ 1–1
⇄ 54'
Andrey Yago ⇄ Edison Ndreca
⇄ 54'
Altin Kryeziu ⇄ Fernando Medeiros
⇄ 63'
Alessandro Albanese ⇄ Numan Ajetovikj
⇄ 63'
Guillem Jaime ⇄ Geralb Smajli
Jacob Andersen ⇄ Frederik Emmery
66' ⇄
▮ 72'
Eneo Bitri Yellow Card
Sebastian Jørgensen ⇄ Tobias Bech
83' ⇄
⇄ 87'
Karim Loukili ⇄ Ibrahim Diabaté
FT 1–1
Aarhus

Match Stats

Egnatia Rrogozhinë
34% Ball Possession 66%
1.02 Expected Goals (xG) 0.66
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Goal 7
4 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 1
4 Shots insidebox 3
4 Shots outsidebox 8
5 Corner Kicks 3
0 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 0
6 Goalkeeper Saves 1
265 Total passes 526
195 Passes accurate 462
74% Passes % 88%
-0.54 goals_prevented -0.54
Aarhus
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
28 James Bogere F 7.6 41' 1 – 2 7 (4%) 2
14 Tobias Mølgaard D 7.0 74' – – – 27 (20%) 3
1 Jesper Hansen G 6.9 86' – – – 25 (16%) –
8 Sebastian Jørgensen F 6.9 83' – 1 2 22 (15%) –
29 R. Carstensen M 6.9 86' – – – 27 (16%) 3
3 Daníel Grétarsson D 6.9 41' – – – 14 (12%) 1
25 Colin Rösler D 6.7 86' – – 1 29 (25%) –
39 Frederik Emmery F 6.7 20' – – – 5 (4%) –
13 Janni Serra F 6.7 45' – – – 9 (7%) 1
10 Kristian Arnstad M 6.6 86' – – – 28 (18%) 1
18 Callum McCowatt F 6.5 12' – – – 2 (2%) –
5 Frederik Tingager D 6.3 45' – – – 21 (17%) 1
26 Jacob Andersen M 6.3 66' – – – 16 (15%) –
7 Markus Solbakken M 6.3 86' – – – 33 (24%) 1
19 Eric Kahl D 3.0 3' – – – – –
31 Tobias Bech F — 3' – – 1 – –
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
77 Ildi Gruda F 8.0 86' 1 – 5 5 (3%) 2
22 Guillem Jaime D 7.5 63' – – – 44 (39%) 2
28 Eljon Sota D 7.5 86' – – – 67 (64%) 1
33 Eneo Bitri D 7.3 86' – – – 63 (61%) 1
6 Albano Aleksi M 7.2 86' – – 1 74 (67%) 3
20 Karim Loukili M 7.2 86' – – – 64 (53%) 3
24 Numan Ajetovikj D 6.9 23' – – – 18 (18%) –
55 Geralb Smajli D 6.9 23' – – – 10 (8%) 2
2 Daniel Adjessa F 6.7 86' – 1 – 12 (7%) –
10 Alessandro Albanese M 6.7 63' – – – 41 (36%) 1
16 Edison Ndreca D 6.7 32' – – – 16 (13%) –
29 Andrey Yago D 6.6 54' – – 2 32 (29%) 2
17 Altin Kryeziu M 6.6 54' – – 1 34 (31%) 1
98 M. Dajsinani G 6.3 86' – – – 25 (19%) –
7 Fernando Medeiros M 6.2 32' – – 1 21 (14%) 1
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Confidence Medium (64%)

At a glance

Analizat tona
Fitore ose barazim i vështirë për Aarhus
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Aarhus
WDLWW
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
LWWLD
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
64%
10%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
13%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Aarhus — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H AC Horsens W 1 - 0
05 Nov H SC Braga D 0 - 0
01 Nov A Brondby L 2 - 0
28 Oct A Roskilde W 1 - 2
25 Oct H Viborg W 2 - 1

Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Universitatea Craiova L 2 - 0
01 Nov A Tirana W 1 - 2
29 Oct H Teuta Durrës W 1 - 0
25 Oct A Dinamo Tirana L 2 - 1
22 Oct A Aarhus D 1 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Lugano
3 3 0 0 +7 9
2
Panathinaikos
3 3 0 0 +6 9
3
Twente
3 3 0 0 +6 9
4
Monaco
3 3 0 0 +6 9
5
Brighton
3 2 1 0 +5 7
6
Brann
3 2 1 0 +4 7
7
FC Copenhagen
3 2 1 0 +4 7
8
Universitatea Craiova
3 2 1 0 +4 7
9
Mjallby AIF
3 2 1 0 +4 7
10
St. Truiden
3 2 1 0 +3 7
11
Ajax
3 2 0 1 +6 6
12
Trabzonspor
3 2 0 1 +3 6
13
HNK Hajduk Split
3 2 0 1 +1 6
14
SC Freiburg
3 2 0 1 -1 6
15
FK Crvena Zvezda
3 1 1 1 0 4
16
Atalanta
3 1 1 1 0 4
17
SC Braga
3 1 1 1 -1 4
18
Gent
3 1 1 1 -1 4
19
Riga
3 0 3 0 0 3
20
FC Thun
3 1 0 2 0 3
21
Borac Banja Luka
3 1 0 2 -1 3
22
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3 1 0 2 -3 3
23
FK Jablonec
3 0 2 1 -1 2
24
Aarhus
3 0 2 1 -1 2
25
FC Nordsjaelland
3 0 2 1 -2 2
26
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3 0 2 1 -2 2
27
Kairat Almaty
3 0 2 1 -4 2
28
CSKA Sofia
3 0 1 2 -2 1
29
FC Iberia 1999
3 0 1 2 -3 1
30
Pafos
3 0 1 2 -4 1
31
Getafe
3 0 1 2 -4 1
32
Heart Of Midlothian
3 0 1 2 -4 1
33
KuPS
3 0 1 2 -4 1
34
FC Midtjylland
3 0 1 2 -6 1
35
Inter Club d'Escaldes
3 0 0 3 -5 0
36
Kauno Žalgiris
3 0 0 3 -10 0

Aarhus

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1 Hansen
19 Kahl
5 Tingager
25 Rösler
26 Andersen
7 Solbakken
10 Arnstad
29 Carstensen
18 McCowatt
8 Jørgensen
13 Serra

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Jesper Hansen G
25 Colin Rösler D
5 Frederik Tingager D
19 Eric Kahl D
29 Rasmus Carstensen M
10 Kristian Arnstad M
7 Markus Solbakken M
26 Jacob Andersen M
8 Sebastian Jørgensen F
18 Callum McCowatt F
13 Janni Serra F

Substitutes

14 Tobias Mølgaard D
3 Daníel Grétarsson D
28 James Bogere F
21 Mads Hedenstad G
42 Marius van der Raad G
33 Luka Callø D
43 Zander Grantzau D
16 Jens Jønsson M
39 Frederik Emmery F
4 Magnus Knudsen M
27 Stefen Tchamche F
31 Tobias Bech F

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Formation: 4-3-1-2 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
98 Dajsinani
29 Yago
28 Sota
33 Bitri
22 Jaime
20 Loukili
6 Aleksi
17 Kryeziu
10 Albanese
2 Adjessa
77 Gruda

Starting XI

# Player Pos
98 Mario Dajsinani G
22 Guillem Jaime D
33 Eneo Bitri D
28 Eljon Sota D
29 Andrey Yago D
17 Altin Kryeziu M
6 Albano Aleksi M
20 Karim Loukili M
10 Alessandro Albanese M
77 Ildi Gruda F
2 Daniel Adjessa F

Substitutes

16 Edison Ndreca D
7 Fernando Medeiros M
1 Levan Tandilashvili G
12 Bruno Puja G
4 Zamiq Aliyev D
13 Alessandro Kacbufi D
24 Numan Ajetovikj D
55 Geralb Smajli D
8 Ibrahim Diabaté M
99 Jurguens Montenegro F

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