Lyon vs Fenerbahçe Parashikim

FT
Post on X
1 : 2
HT 0 - 2
Ndeshja e parë 1-1 · Agregate 2-3
Parashikim AI Lyon ose barazim
41%
27%
32%
Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi Lyon vs Fenerbahçe: Sportiko i jep Lyon 41% probabilitet fitese, Fenerbahçe 32% dhe barazimit 27%. Përditësuar së fundmi 26 Aug 2026, 20:55.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 73%
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Match Report

Fenerbahçe secured a crucial 2–1 victory at Lyon in their UEFA Champions League play-off clash, with the Turkish side striking twice in a devastating four-minute spell before the half-hour mark. Vedat Muriqi opened the scoring in the 24th minute, and Archie Brown doubled the advantage just four minutes later, leaving Lyon with a significant deficit to overturn at the break.

The second half saw Lyon push for a way back into the tie, and Malick Fofana reduced the deficit on 61 minutes to set up a tense finale. However, the hosts were frustrated by VAR on two separate occasions, with goals from Loïs Openda and Kaïl Boudache both ruled out for offside in the 64th and 71st minutes respectively. Those decisions proved decisive, as Fenerbahçe held firm despite Lyon's 59% possession and 17 total shots.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Lyon win as the most likely outcome at 41%, a call that did not materialise. Fenerbahçe's clinical early finishing and resilient defending ultimately proved the difference on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 24'
Vedat Muriqi
⚽ 0–2 28'
Archie Brown assist: Mason Greenwood
▮ 32'
Milan Škriniar Yellow Card
HT 0–2
Loïs Openda Yellow Card
51' ▮
Malick Fofana assist: Ainsley Maitland-Niles
61' ⚽ 1–2
Ainsley Maitland-Niles ⇄ Zachary Athekame
62' ⇄
Ernest Nuamah ⇄ Kaïl Boudache
62' ⇄
Loïs Openda Goal Disallowed - offside
64' 🖵
⇄ 67'
Talisca ⇄ İsmail Yüksek
Kaïl Boudache Goal Disallowed - offside
71' 🖵
Tanner Tessmann ⇄ Pavel Šulc
76' ⇄
⇄ 76'
Oğuz Aydın ⇄ Dorgeles Nene
⇄ 80'
Mason Greenwood ⇄ İrfan Can Kahveci
⇄ 80'
Vedat Muriqi ⇄ Romelu Lukaku
Tyler Morton ⇄ Mads Bidstrup
86' ⇄
Abner Vinícius ⇄ Nicolás Tagliafico
86' ⇄
▮ 90+4'
Mattéo Guendouzi Yellow Card
▮ 90+5'
Dorgeles Nene Yellow Card
FT 1–2
Lyon

Match Stats

Fenerbahçe
59% Ball Possession 41%
Expected Goals (xG)
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Goal 7
7 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked Shots 3
12 Shots insidebox 12
5 Shots outsidebox 3
5 Corner Kicks 7
3 Offsides 2
12 Fouls 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
6 Goalkeeper Saves 5
435 Total passes 305
387 Passes accurate 242
89% Passes % 79%
goals_prevented
Lyon
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Malick Fofana F 8.3 93' 1 – 4 30 (27%) –
19 Moussa Niakhaté D 7.3 93' – – – 67 (64%) 3
8 Corentin Tolisso M 7.3 93' – – 1 48 (40%) 2
7 Ernest Nuamah F 7.0 62' – – – 11 (11%) 2
21 Ruben Kluivert D 7.0 93' – – – 67 (63%) 3
1 Dominik Greif G 6.9 93' – – – 25 (19%) –
23 Tyler Morton M 6.9 86' – – 1 39 (35%) 1
98 Ainsley Maitland-Niles D 6.7 62' – 1 – 31 (24%) –
26 Kaïl Boudache F 6.7 31' – – 1 5 (5%) 1
10 Pavel Šulc M 6.6 17' – – – 2 (2%) 1
13 Zachary Athekame D 6.6 31' – – – 12 (10%) 1
6 Tanner Tessmann M 6.5 76' – – 2 34 (29%) –
16 Abner Vinícius D 6.3 86' – – 1 53 (50%) 1
17 Loïs Openda F 6.2 93' – – 3 7 (5%) –
3 Nicolás Tagliafico D — 7' – – – 2 (1%) –
2 Mads Bidstrup M — 7' – – – 2 (2%) –
Fenerbahçe
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
3 Archie Brown D 7.9 93' 1 – 2 24 (19%) 3
19 Vedat Muriqi F 7.5 80' 1 – 2 23 (21%) –
31 Ederson G 7.3 93' – – – 38 (16%) –
91 N'Golo Kanté M 7.2 93' – – – 35 (33%) 2
11 Mason Greenwood M 7.0 80' – 1 1 19 (14%) 1
70 Oğuz Aydın M 6.9 76' – – 3 26 (20%) –
15 N. Aké D 6.7 93' – – – 21 (18%) 1
6 Mattéo Guendouzi M 6.7 93' – – 2 31 (28%) 1
37 Milan Škriniar D 6.6 93' – – – 24 (19%) 3
27 Nélson Semedo D 6.5 93' – – – 21 (15%) –
94 Talisca M 6.5 67' – – 2 11 (10%) –
45 Dorgeles Nene F 6.5 17' – – – 10 (9%) 1
5 İsmail Yüksek M 6.3 26' – – – 12 (12%) 1
17 İrfan Can Kahveci M 6.3 13' – – – 7 (7%) –
9 Romelu Lukaku F 6.3 13' – – – 3 (1%) –
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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Analizat tona
Lyon ose barazim
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Lyon
DWLLW
Fenerbahçe
WLLDW
Last 2 meetings Lyon · 0W 2D 0L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
41%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
32%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Lyon

No scorer data.

Fenerbahçe
M. Greenwood 4 gls
Talisca 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Lyon vs Fenerbahçe

0 Lyon Wins
2 Draws
0 Fenerbahçe Wins
Date Home Score Away
18 Aug 2026 Fenerbahçe 1 - 1 Lyon
23 Jan 2025 Fenerbahçe 0 - 0 Lyon

Lyon — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Real Sociedad D 1 - 1
01 Nov H Angers W 2 - 0
26 Oct A Paris Saint Germain L 2 - 0
22 Oct A 1899 Hoffenheim L 3 - 0
18 Oct H Nice W 2 - 1

Fenerbahçe — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Nov H Liverpool W 3 - 2
31 Oct H Göztepe L 1 - 2
26 Oct A Galatasaray L 2 - 1
20 Oct H Slavia Praha D 2 - 2
17 Oct H Alanyaspor W 3 - 0

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
4 4 0 0 +15 12
2
Real Madrid
4 4 0 0 +6 12
3
Arsenal
4 3 1 0 +5 10
4
Como
4 3 0 1 +13 9
5
Barcelona
4 3 0 1 +8 9
6
Aston Villa
4 3 0 1 +6 9
7
Manchester City
4 3 0 1 +5 9
8
Liverpool
4 3 0 1 +4 9
9
Club Brugge KV
4 3 0 1 +4 9
10
Sporting CP
4 3 0 1 +4 9
11
Real Betis
4 3 0 1 +2 9
12
Borussia Dortmund
4 3 0 1 +2 9
13
Bayern München
4 2 2 0 +7 8
14
VfB Stuttgart
4 2 1 1 +3 7
15
Inter
4 2 0 2 +2 6
16
Lask Linz
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Manchester United
4 2 0 2 0 6
18
Galatasaray
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Fenerbahçe
4 1 2 1 -5 5
20
AS Roma
4 1 1 2 +2 4
21
Shakhtar Donetsk
4 1 1 2 0 4
22
Viking
4 1 1 2 -1 4
23
Atletico Madrid
4 1 1 2 -1 4
24
PSV Eindhoven
4 1 1 2 -1 4
25
Bodo/Glimt
4 1 1 2 -5 4
26
FC Porto
4 1 0 3 -1 3
27
Napoli
4 1 0 3 -5 3
28
Villarreal
4 1 0 3 -6 3
29
AEK Athens FC
4 1 0 3 -6 3
30
RB Leipzig
4 1 0 3 -6 3
31
Sabah FA
4 1 0 3 -6 3
32
Feyenoord
4 1 0 3 -7 3
33
Lens
4 1 0 3 -12 3
34
Slavia Praha
4 0 1 3 -4 1
35
Lille
4 0 1 3 -6 1
36
Slovan Bratislava
4 0 0 4 -16 0

Lyon

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Paulo Fonseca
1 Greif
16 Vinícius
19 Niakhaté
21 Kluivert
98 Maitland-Niles
8 Tolisso
23 Morton
6 Tessmann
11 Fofana
17 Openda
7 Nuamah

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Dominik Greif G
98 Ainsley Maitland-Niles D
21 Ruben Kluivert D
19 Moussa Niakhaté D
16 Abner Vinícius D
6 Tanner Tessmann M
23 Tyler Morton M
8 Corentin Tolisso M
7 Ernest Nuamah F
17 Loïs Openda F
11 Malick Fofana F

Substitutes

13 Zachary Athekame D
26 Kaïl Boudache F
40 Rémy Descamps G
3 Nicolás Tagliafico D
20 Felix Bacher D
22 Clinton Mata D
2 Mads Bidstrup M
39 Mathys de Carvalho M
76 Mohamed Ouédraogo D
99 Noah Nartey M
10 Pavel Šulc M
45 Rémi Himbert F

Fenerbahçe

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ismail Kartal
31 Ederson
3 Brown
15 Aké
37 Škriniar
27 Semedo
6 Guendouzi
91 Kanté
70 Aydın
94 Talisca
11 Greenwood
19 Muriqi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 Ederson G
27 Nélson Semedo D
37 Milan Škriniar D
15 Nathan Aké D
3 Archie Brown D
91 N'Golo Kanté M
6 Mattéo Guendouzi M
11 Mason Greenwood M
94 Talisca M
70 Oğuz Aydın M
19 Vedat Muriqi F

Substitutes

5 İsmail Yüksek M
13 Tarık Çetin G
75 Kuzey Sapaz G
14 Yiğit Efe Demir D
18 Mert Müldür D
22 Levent Mercan D
17 İrfan Can Kahveci M
28 Bartuğ Elmaz M
9 Romelu Lukaku F
45 Dorgeles Nene F

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