Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club Parashikim

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 32
FT
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Parashikim AI Fitore ose barazim i vështirë për Atletico Madrid
59%
21%
20%
Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club: Sportiko i jep Atletico Madrid 59% probabilitet fitese, Athletic Club 20% dhe barazimit 21%. Përditësuar së fundmi 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Atletico Madrid came from behind to claim a dramatic 3–2 victory over Athletic Club in La Liga matchday 32. Aitor Paredes gave the visitors the lead on 23 minutes, and Athletic held that advantage into half-time despite Atletico's territorial control.

The hosts turned the game around swiftly after the break. Antoine Griezmann levelled four minutes into the second half, and Alexander Sørloth put Atletico ahead just five minutes later. A flurry of substitutions from both sides reshaped the contest, and Sørloth struck again in stoppage time to seemingly seal the points. However, Gorka Guruzeta pulled one back for Athletic in the final seconds, setting up a tense finish that Atletico ultimately survived.

The underlying numbers told a clear story of Atletico's dominance, with an expected goals figure of 2.09 compared to Athletic's 0.80, despite the visitors registering 12 total shots to the hosts' six. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Atletico win as the most likely outcome at 59%, a call that proved correct in what was nonetheless a nervy finale at the Metropolitano.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 23'
Aitor Paredes assist: Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
HT 0–1
Antoine Griezmann
49' ⚽ 1–1
Alexander Sørloth assist: Alex Baena
54' ⚽ 2–1
Pablo Barrios ⇄ Johnny Cardoso
58' ⇄
Antoine Griezmann ⇄ Nicolás González
63' ⇄
Marcos Llorente ⇄ Nahuel Molina
63' ⇄
⇄ 63'
Unai Gómez ⇄ Oihan Sancet
⇄ 63'
Yuri Berchiche ⇄ Adama Boiro
⇄ 70'
Iñaki Williams ⇄ Álex Berenguer
⇄ 70'
Nico Williams ⇄ Robert Navarro
⇄ 70'
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta ⇄ Mikel Vesga
Koke ⇄ Obed Vargas
72' ⇄
Giuliano Simeone ⇄ Robin Le Normand
72' ⇄
Alexander Sørloth assist: Nahuel Molina
90' ⚽ 3–1
⚽ 3–2 90'
Gorka Guruzeta assist: Alejandro Rego
FT 3–2
Atletico Madrid

Match Stats

Athletic Club
54% Ball Possession 46%
2.09 Expected Goals (xG) 0.80
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 6
0 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 8
0 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Corner Kicks 4
2 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 12
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
555 Total passes 461
473 Passes accurate 380
85% Passes % 82%
-1.33 goals_prevented -1.33
Atletico Madrid
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Alexander Sørloth F 9.3 90' 2 – 5 17 (11%) 1
10 Alex Baena M 7.3 90' – 1 – 38 (33%) –
6 Koke M 7.3 72' – – – 62 (55%) 3
7 Antoine Griezmann F 7.2 63' 1 – 1 27 (19%) –
18 Marc Pubill D 7.0 90' – – – 82 (70%) 2
15 Clément Lenglet D 7.0 90' – – – 74 (68%) 1
5 Johnny Cardoso M 7.0 32' – – – 14 (13%) 2
16 Nahuel Molina D 6.9 27' – 1 – 15 (13%) 4
20 Giuliano Simeone M 6.9 72' – – – 41 (37%) 2
13 Jan Oblak G 6.7 90' – – – 23 (19%) –
8 Pablo Barrios M 6.7 58' – – – 43 (36%) –
21 Obed Vargas M 6.6 18' – – – 8 (7%) 3
14 Marcos Llorente D 6.5 63' – – – 51 (48%) 1
23 Nicolás González F 6.3 27' – – – 6 (6%) –
24 Robin Le Normand D 6.3 18' – – – 10 (8%) 2
3 Matteo Ruggeri D 6.3 90' – – – 44 (30%) 2
Athletic Club
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Gorka Guruzeta F 7.2 90' 1 – 4 23 (15%) –
4 Aitor Paredes D 7.2 90' 1 – 1 71 (67%) –
16 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta M 7.0 70' – 1 – 33 (27%) 3
6 Mikel Vesga M 6.7 20' – – 1 25 (18%) 1
30 Alejandro Rego M 6.6 90' – 1 – 45 (40%) 2
19 Adama Boiro D 6.6 27' – – – 25 (23%) 3
17 Yuri Berchiche D 6.5 63' – – 1 31 (29%) 1
10 Nico Williams M 6.3 70' – – – 21 (16%) 2
8 Oihan Sancet M 6.3 27' – – – 9 (8%) 1
7 Álex Berenguer F 6.3 20' – – – 10 (8%) –
9 Iñaki Williams M 6.2 70' – – – 14 (10%) –
3 Daniel Vivian D 6.2 90' – – 2 56 (49%) 2
20 Unai Gómez M 6.2 63' – – – 14 (11%) 1
23 Robert Navarro M 6.2 20' – – 1 12 (11%) 1
2 Andoni Gorosabel D 5.9 90' – – – 32 (25%) 1
1 Unai Simón G 5.7 90' – – – 40 (23%) –
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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Analizat tona
Fitore ose barazim i vështirë për Atletico Madrid
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Atletico Madrid
WWWLL
Athletic Club
DDWWL
Last 3 meetings Atletico Madrid · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In their upcoming La Liga clash, Atletico Madrid will host Athletic Club at the Wanda Metropolitano. Atletico has been strong at home, boasting a 70% win rate at home this season, with a solid defense allowing just 0.9 goals per game. Conversely, Athletic Club has struggled on the road, securing only two wins in their last five away fixtures, which could hinder their chances. Key players like Antoine Griezmann for Atletico, who has contributed significantly to their attack, will be crucial. Expect a tightly contested match, but Atletico's home advantage and defensive solidity may give them the edge.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Atletico Madrid
Álex Baena 4 gls
J. David 3 gls
Athletic Club

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club

1 Atletico Madrid Wins
0 Draws
2 Athletic Club Wins
Date Home Score Away
05 Sep 2026 Athletic Club 3 - 0 Atletico Madrid
06 Dec 2025 Athletic Club 1 - 0 Atletico Madrid
01 Mar 2025 Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Club
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Atletico Madrid — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Real Madrid W 2 - 1
16 Sep H Osasuna W 4 - 0
13 Sep A Real Sociedad W 0 - 3
09 Sep A Liverpool L 2 - 1
05 Sep A Athletic Club L 3 - 0

Athletic Club — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Alaves D 0 - 0
12 Sep H Elche D 1 - 1
05 Sep H Atletico Madrid W 3 - 0
30 Aug A Celta Vigo W 0 - 2
27 Aug A Barcelona L 2 - 0

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Atletico Madrid

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: D. Simeone
13 Oblak
3 Ruggeri
15 Lenglet
18 Pubill
14 Llorente
10 Baena
6 Koke
8 Barrios
20 Simeone
9 Sorloth
7 Griezmann

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 J. Oblak G
14 M. Llorente D
18 M. Pubill D
15 C. Lenglet D
3 M. Ruggeri D
20 G. Simeone M
8 P. Barrios M
6 Koke M
10 A. Baena M
7 A. Griezmann F
9 A. Sorloth F

Substitutes

31 S. Esquivel G
1 J. Musso G
23 N. Gonzalez F
16 N. Molina D
21 O. Vargas M
32 J. Bonar D
4 R. Mendoza M
24 R. Le Normand D
19 J. Alvarez F
5 J. Cardoso M
34 J. Diaz M

Athletic Club

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ernesto Valverde
1 Simon
17 Berchiche
4 Paredes
3 Vivian
2 Gorosabel
30 Rego
16 Galarreta
10 Williams
20 Gomez
9 Williams
11 Guruzeta

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 U. Simon G
2 A. Gorosabel D
3 D. Vivian D
4 A. Paredes D
17 Y. Berchiche D
16 I. Ruiz de Galarreta M
30 A. Rego M
9 I. Williams M
20 U. Gomez M
10 N. Williams M
11 G. Guruzeta F

Substitutes

27 A. Padilla G
14 A. Laporte D
7 A. Berenguer F
5 Y. Alvarez D
12 J. Areso D
23 R. Navarro M
22 N. Serrano F
49 E. Garcia M
6 M. Vesga M
8 O. Sancet M
25 Izeta F
19 A. Boiro D

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