CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos Parashikim

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

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CSKA 1948

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1 : 2

HT 0 - 0

Ndeshja e parë 1-1 · Agregate 2-3

Panathinaikos

Away

Parashikim AI Panathinaikos ose barazim

32%

27%

41%

Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos: Sportiko i jep CSKA 1948 32% probabilitet fitese, Panathinaikos 41% dhe barazimit 27%. Përditësuar së fundmi 11 Aug 2026, 20:04.

Match Report

CSKA 1948 and Panathinaikos played out a goalless first half in Sofia, with neither side able to break the deadlock despite the hosts registering the greater share of attempts on goal.

The second half proved far more eventful. Levi García gave Panathinaikos the lead on 60 minutes, and although the Greek side made a flurry of substitutions in the following minutes, CSKA 1948 fought back through Lasha Dvali, who equalised in the 87th minute to set up a tense finish. The tie was ultimately settled in extra time when Cyriel Dessers struck on 95 minutes to restore Panathinaikos's advantage and secure the victory. Our pre-match AI model had identified a Panathinaikos win as the most likely outcome, and so it proved.

CSKA 1948 finished with 11 shots on target to Panathinaikos's five, reflecting the hosts' dominance in possession of chances without reward. Four yellow cards were distributed across both sides during a combative contest, with Panathinaikos progressing to the next qualifying round of the UEFA Europa Conference League.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 41'

Yellow Card

HT 0–0

⚽ 0–1 60'

Levi García

▮ 64'

Elmin Rastoder Yellow Card

Atanas Iliev

65' ⇄

⇄ 65'

Elmin Rastoder ⇄ Cyriel Dessers

⇄ 66'

Levi García ⇄ Adriano Jagušić

Moataz Zemzemi Yellow Card

71' ▮

Moataz Zemzemi ⇄ Elias Franco

72' ⇄

⇄ 80'

Anass Zaroury ⇄ Ahmed Touba

Jules Meyer ⇄ Petar Vitanov

83' ⇄

Georgi Rusev

83' ⇄

Lasha Dvali

87' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 88'

Pedro Chirivella ⇄ Adam Gnezda Čerin

⇄ 88'

Santino Andino ⇄ Vicente Taborda

⚽ 1–2 95'

Cyriel Dessers

Héctor Cuellar ⇄ Florian Krebs

101' ⇄

⇄ 105+1'

Georgios Kyriakopoulos ⇄ Sotiris Kontouris

Diego Medina ⇄ Dragan Grivić

106' ⇄

Elias Franco Yellow Card

112' ▮

FT 1–2

CSKA 1948

Match Stats

Panathinaikos

50% Ball Possession 50%

Expected Goals (xG)

14 Total Shots 21

5 Shots on Goal 11

8 Shots off Goal 8

1 Blocked Shots 2

9 Shots insidebox 12

5 Shots outsidebox 9

3 Corner Kicks 6

1 Offsides 2

13 Fouls 13

2 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

9 Goalkeeper Saves 4

638 Total passes 661

553 Passes accurate 576

87% Passes % 87%

goals_prevented

CSKA 1948

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
3 Lasha Dvali D	8.0	119'	1	–	1	103 (95%)	1
1 Petar Marinov G	7.9	119'	–	–	–	41 (25%)	–
33 Héctor Cuellar M	7.7	101'	–	–	1	66 (61%)	4
4 Andre Hoffmann D	7.0	119'	–	–	–	81 (76%)	4
20 Brian Sobrero M	7.0	36'	–	–	3	18 (18%)	1
67 Frédéric Maciel M	6.9	119'	–	–	2	47 (36%)	2
11 Georgi Rusev F	6.9	83'	–	–	1	26 (20%)	1
30 Jules Meyer M	6.9	83'	–	–	–	48 (39%)	–
2 Diego Medina D	6.7	105'	–	–	–	54 (51%)	3
9 Atanas Iliev F	6.7	65'	–	–	1	7 (2%)	–
96 Dragan Grivić D	6.7	14'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	–
8 Moataz Zemzemi M	6.6	72'	–	–	–	42 (39%)	1
23 Florian Krebs M	6.6	18'	–	–	–	19 (14%)	1
34 Petar Vitanov M	6.3	36'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	1
77 Elias Franco F	6.3	47'	–	–	2	2 (2%)	–
93 Mamadou Diallo F	6.2	54'	–	–	2	11 (9%)	–
22 Ognjen Gašević D	5.9	119'	–	–	–	45 (41%)	2

Panathinaikos

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Cyriel Dessers F	7.7	54'	1	–	3	12 (7%)	1
99 Levi García F	7.6	66'	1	–	3	21 (19%)	–
1 Iñaki Peña G	7.5	119'	–	–	–	35 (21%)	–
6 Stefan de Vrij D	7.5	119'	–	–	–	78 (75%)	1
55 Rick Van Drongelen D	7.3	119'	–	–	–	81 (73%)	3
10 Santino Andino F	7.2	88'	–	–	4	35 (26%)	5
22 Etienne Camara M	7.0	119'	–	–	–	64 (59%)	–
77 Georgios Kyriakopoulos M	6.9	106'	–	–	1	68 (56%)	3
3 Georgios Katris D	6.9	119'	–	–	1	69 (66%)	–
5 Ahmed Touba D	6.6	39'	–	–	–	15 (14%)	2
11 Anass Zaroury M	6.6	80'	–	–	3	48 (41%)	–
20 Vicente Taborda F	6.6	31'	–	–	1	20 (17%)	1
16 Adam Gnezda Čerin M	6.5	31'	–	–	1	20 (19%)	2
4 Pedro Chirivella M	6.3	88'	–	–	–	57 (52%)	2
18 Sotiris Kontouris M	6.3	13'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
74 Elmin Rastoder F	6.3	65'	–	–	1	9 (8%)	–
8 Adriano Jagušić M	6.2	53'	–	–	1	24 (20%)	–

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Analizat tona

Panathinaikos ose barazim

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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CSKA 1948

WWLWL

Panathinaikos

WWWWW

Last 1 meetings CSKA 1948 · 0W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

41%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Panathinaikos goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	6	4	2
1	9	13	7	3	1
2	8	10	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ CSKA 1948 goals · most likely 1–1 (13.3%)

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Players in form

CSKA 1948

No scorer data.

Panathinaikos

C. Dessers 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

32%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

32%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

64% Home (No Draw) 36% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	5.7%	4.2%	1.7%	0.5%
1	8.5%	13.3%	6.9%	2.7%	0.8%
2	8.1%	9.5%	5.6%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.4%	5.1%	3.0%	1.2%	0.3%
4	1.8%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	CSKA 1948	Draw	Panathinaikos
CSKA 1948	26.9%	3.9%	1.4%
Draw	17.5%	16.9%	9.4%
Panathinaikos	3.0%	5.0%	16.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos

0 CSKA 1948 Wins

1 Draws

0 Panathinaikos Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Aug 2026	Panathinaikos	1 - 1	CSKA 1948

CSKA 1948 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Slavia Sofia	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Dunav Ruse	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Levski Sofia	L	1 - 0
28 Aug	H Lokomotiv Plovdiv	W	2 - 0
23 Aug	A Septemvri Sofia	L	1 - 0

Panathinaikos — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Kalamata	W	0 - 1
16 Sep	A Kifisia	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H Panetolikos	W	3 - 0
10 Sep	H Kifisia	W	3 - 1
06 Sep	H PAOK	W	3 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Panathinaikos

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Jacob Neestrup

1 Peña

55 Drongelen

6 Vrij

3 Katris

77 Kyriakopoulos

22 Camara

4 Chirivella

11 Zaroury

10 Andino

99 García

74 Rastoder

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Iñaki Peña	G
3	Georgios Katris	D
6	Stefan de Vrij	D
55	Rick Van Drongelen	D
11	Anass Zaroury	M
4	Pedro Chirivella	M
22	Etienne Camara	M
77	Georgios Kyriakopoulos	M
99	Levi García	F
10	Santino Andino	F
74	Elmin Rastoder	F

Substitutes

9	Cyriel Dessers	F
8	Adriano Jagušić	M
5	Ahmed Touba	D
16	Adam Gnezda Čerin	M
20	Vicente Taborda	F
12	Lucas Cháves	G
70	Konstantinos Kotsaris	G
18	Sotiris Kontouris	M
28	Facundo Pellistri	M
44	Panagiotis Biniaris	M
7	Andreas Tetteh	F
30	Georgios Kyriopoulos	F

CSKA 1948

Formation: 4-4-1-1 Coach: Yuriy Vasev

1 Marinov

22 Gašević

3 Dvali

4 Hoffmann

2 Medina

30 Meyer

8 Zemzemi

33 Cuellar

67 Maciel

11 Rusev

9 Iliev

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Petar Marinov	G
2	Diego Medina	D
4	Andre Hoffmann	D
3	Lasha Dvali	D
22	Ognjen Gašević	D
67	Frédéric Maciel	M
33	Héctor Cuellar	M
8	Moataz Zemzemi	M
30	Jules Meyer	M
11	Georgi Rusev	F
9	Atanas Iliev	F

Substitutes

93	Mamadou Diallo	F
77	Elias Franco	F
20	Brian Sobrero	M
34	Petar Vitanov	M
13	Dimitar Sheytanov	G
31	Aleks Bozhev	G
6	Egor Parkhomenko	D
15	Fourat Soltani	D
96	Dragan Grivić	D
14	Kaloyan Strinski	F
19	Marto Boychev	M
23	Florian Krebs	M