Borac Banja Luka vs ML Vitebsk Parashikim

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

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ML Vitebsk

Away

Parashikim AI Borac Banja Luka ose barazim

45%

27%

Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi Borac Banja Luka vs ML Vitebsk: Sportiko i jep Borac Banja Luka 45% probabilitet fitese, ML Vitebsk 27% dhe barazimit 27%. Përditësuar së fundmi 6 Aug 2026, 20:28.

Match Report

Borac Banja Luka secured a narrow but crucial 1–0 victory over ML Vitebsk in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, with the decisive moment arriving early. S. Savić broke the deadlock in the 14th minute, giving the Bosnian side a lead they would protect for the remainder of the contest.

The match turned significantly in Borac's favour midway through the first half when Vitebsk's Milad Mohammadi was dismissed. The Iranian defender collected two yellow cards in quick succession — the first in the 21st minute and the second in the 33rd — leaving the Belarusian side to battle with ten men for the majority of the game. Despite that numerical disadvantage, Vitebsk dominated possession at 60% and generated a remarkable 11 shots on goal compared to Borac's two, though they were unable to find an equaliser.

Borac managed the game shrewdly in the second half, deploying a series of substitutions — including the withdrawal of goalscorer Savić in the 78th minute — to see out the result. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Borac win as the most likely outcome at 45%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

S. Savić assist: D. Hrelja

14' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 21'

Milad Mohammadi Yellow Card

▮ 33'

Milad Mohammadi Yellow Card

▮ 33'

Milad Mohammadi Red Card

▮ 36'

Yellow Card

45+1' ▮

HT 1–0

⇄ 54'

⇄ A. Hiroš

60' ⇄

⇄ 67'

D. Hrelja ⇄ A. Roguljić

70' ⇄

S. Savić ⇄ D. VukoviÄ

78' ⇄

▮ 83'

Yellow Card

⇄ 84'

FT 1–0

Borac Banja Luka

Match Stats

ML Vitebsk

60% Ball Possession 40%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

11 Shots on Goal 2

6 Shots off Goal 4

5 Blocked Shots 3

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

8 Corner Kicks 1

1 Offsides 0

15 Fouls 14

1 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 1

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Analizat tona

Borac Banja Luka ose barazim

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.5%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Borac Banja Luka

WWWLW

ML Vitebsk

WDDDW

Last 1 meetings Borac Banja Luka · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

Borac Banja Luka faces ML Vitebsk in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with both teams looking to gain early momentum in the tournament. Borac has shown strong defensive capabilities, conceding only 0.8 goals per match in their last five competitive outings. Conversely, Vitebsk's attacking form has been inconsistent, averaging 1 goal per match in their recent fixtures. This matchup will likely hinge on Borac's ability to capitalize on Vitebsk's defensive vulnerabilities, while the visitors will need to find a way to break through a solid backline. Expect a tactical battle with potential for individual brilliance to decide the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

27%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

ML Vitebsk goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	7	6	3	1
1	7	14	8	4	1
2	6	8	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Borac Banja Luka goals · most likely 1–1 (13.5%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

27%

Away Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

27%

Away Win

27%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

51% Away (No Draw) 49% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 17% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Away Scores More 35% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	7.1%	6.1%	2.9%	1.0%
1	6.9%	13.5%	8.5%	4.0%	1.4%
2	5.9%	8.3%	5.9%	2.8%	1.0%
3	2.7%	3.9%	2.7%	1.3%	0.5%
4	0.9%	1.3%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

47%

1.5

53%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Borac Banja Luka	Draw	ML Vitebsk
Borac Banja Luka	19.3%	4.6%	2.5%
Draw	14.4%	17.5%	15.2%
ML Vitebsk	2.3%	4.4%	19.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

24%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Borac Banja Luka vs ML Vitebsk

0 Borac Banja Luka Wins

0 Draws

1 ML Vitebsk Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Aug 2026	ML Vitebsk	1 - 0	Borac Banja Luka

Borac Banja Luka — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Siroki Brijeg	W	2 - 3
16 Sep	A Sloga Doboj	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Zrinjski	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A FK Sarajevo	L	1 - 0
02 Sep	H Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	W	2 - 0

ML Vitebsk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Arsenal	W	5 - 1
13 Sep	A FC Dnepr Mogilev	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Dinamo Minsk	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H Belshina	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Dinamo Brest	W	1 - 3

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

ML Vitebsk

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Mikhail Martinovich

1 Pavlyuchenko

5 Mohammadi

6 Gomanov

20 Volkov

22 Skibskiy

55 Gromyko

15 Bocherov

27 Mesarović

12 Bosić

9 Diabaté

80 Kontsevoy

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Pavel Pavlyuchenko	G
22	Yan Skibskiy	M
20	Zakhar Volkov	D
6	Kirill Gomanov	D
5	Milad Mohammadi	D
27	Aleksandar Mesarović	M
15	Valeriy Bocherov	M
55	Valeriy Gromyko	M
80	Artem Kontsevoy	M
9	Bassekou Diabaté	F
12	Radivoj Bosić	M

Substitutes

30	Pavel Shcherbachenya	G
46	Daniil Kotov	G
3	Nikita Baranok	D
45	Ilya Moskalenchik	D
8	Silas Gnaka	M
10	Denilho Cleonise	M
18	Vladislav Zhuk	M
23	Sergey Balanovich	M
7	Timur Ivanov	F
99	Mark Bulanov	F

Borac Banja Luka

Formation: 4-2-1-3 Coach: Vinko Marinovic

72 Jurkas

16 Herrera

2 Meijers

24 Carolina

19 Rogan

98 Ogrinec

18 Jojić

89 Deket

77 Savić

7 Juričić

11 Hrelja

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
72	Mladen Jurkas	G
19	Viktor Rogan	D
24	Jurich Carolina	D
2	Bart Meijers	D
16	Sebastian Herrera	D
18	Miloš Jojić	M
98	Sandi Ogrinec	M
89	Matej Deket	F
11	Damir Hrelja	M
7	Luka Juričić	F
77	Stefan Savić	M

Substitutes

1	Damjan Siskovski	G
3	Abel Pascual	D
6	Siniša Saničanin	D
30	Nemanja Jakšić	D
10	David Vuković	M
12	Amer Hiroš	M
22	Ivan Kukavica	M
23	Stojan Vranješ	M
44	Ante Roguljić	M
47	Amar Milak	M
14	Pavle Đajić	F
99	Daniel Romera	F