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Ajax vs Shelbourne Parashikim

UEFA Europa Conference League UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round
FT
Post on X
Ajax

Ajax

Home
3 : 1
HT 2 - 0
Shelbourne

Shelbourne

Away
Parashikim AI Ajax të fitojë
85%
11%
4%
Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi Ajax vs Shelbourne: Sportiko i jep Ajax 85% probabilitet fitese, Shelbourne 4% dhe barazimit 11%. Përditësuar së fundmi 6 Aug 2026, 19:54.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 73%
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Match Report

Ajax eased into the next round of the UEFA Europa Conference League with a commanding 3–1 victory over Shelbourne, a result that our pre-match AI model had rated most likely at 85%. The Dutch side wasted little time in taking control, with Mika Godts converting a penalty inside six minutes before Owen Wijndal doubled the lead with a well-taken effort on 22 minutes, sending the teams into the break with Ajax firmly in command.

The hosts continued where they left off after the interval, with Kasper Dolberg extending the advantage just three minutes into the second half. Godts had the opportunity to add a fourth shortly after but saw his second penalty of the evening saved. The statistics underlined Ajax's dominance throughout — they finished with 71% possession, 14 corner kicks, and 30 total shots compared to Shelbourne's three.

The Irish side did manage a consolation through Daniel Kelly on 84 minutes, but it was little more than a footnote on a difficult evening for Shelbourne, who now face an uphill task in the second leg.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Mika Godts Penalty
6' ⚽ 1–0
Owen Wijndal assist: Steven Berghuis
22' ⚽ 2–0
HT 2–0
▮ 47'
Evan Caffrey Yellow Card
Kasper Dolberg assist: Steven Berghuis
50' ⚽ 3–0
Mika Godts Missed Penalty
57' ✗
Davy Klaassen ⇄ Marcos Leonardo
58' ⇄
Oscar Gloukh ⇄ Jorthy Mokio
58' ⇄
Steven Berghuis ⇄ Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
64' ⇄
Kasper Dolberg ⇄ Julian Brandt
65' ⇄
⇄ 74'
Sean Moore ⇄ Rodrigo Freitas
Mika Godts ⇄ Maher Carrizo
77' ⇄
⇄ 80'
Jack Henry-Francis ⇄ Ali Coote
⇄ 81'
Kerr McInroy ⇄ Odhran Casey
⚽ 3–1 84'
Daniel Kelly
Jorthy Mokio Yellow Card
86' ▮
⇄ 90+3'
James Norris ⇄ Sean Gannon
⇄ 90+3'
Sam Bone ⇄ James Roche
FT 3–1
Ajax

Match Stats

Shelbourne
71% Ball Possession 29%
Expected Goals (xG)
30 Total Shots 3
11 Shots on Goal 3
13 Shots off Goal 0
6 Blocked Shots 0
16 Shots insidebox 2
14 Shots outsidebox 1
14 Corner Kicks 0
3 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 8
675 Total passes 283
625 Passes accurate 211
93% Passes % 75%
goals_prevented
Ajax
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Steven Berghuis M 9.3 64' – 2 6 55 (46%) 1
17 Daley Blind D 8.9 89' – – 1 122 (118%) 2
11 Mika Godts M 8.2 77' 1 – 4 45 (42%) –
30 Aaron Bouwman D 7.7 89' – – – 92 (90%) –
3 Anton Gaaei D 7.6 89' – – 2 57 (54%) 1
6 Youri Regeer M 7.3 89' – – – 110 (105%) 1
9 Kasper Dolberg F 6.9 65' 1 – 3 18 (14%) –
26 Maarten Paes G 6.7 89' – – – 11 (10%) –
5 Owen Wijndal D 6.7 89' 1 – 2 48 (43%) 2
18 Davy Klaassen M 6.7 58' – – – 30 (24%) 1
24 Jorthy Mokio M 6.6 31' – – 1 9 (7%) –
8 Julian Brandt M 6.6 24' – – 2 22 (20%) –
10 Oscar Gloukh M 6.5 58' – – 1 28 (27%) –
20 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen F 6.3 25' – – – 16 (15%) 1
7 Maher Carrizo F 6.2 12' – – – 2 (2%) –
38 Marcos Leonardo F 6.2 31' – – 2 10 (8%) –
Shelbourne
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
15 Sam Bone D 8.2 89' – – – 40 (35%) 5
19 Eddie Beach G 7.9 89' – – – 34 (12%) –
17 Daniel Kelly F 7.5 89' 1 – 1 14 (10%) 2
22 Sean Moore M 6.9 73' – – – 9 (6%) 2
23 Kerr McInroy M 6.9 80' – – – 21 (18%) 3
14 Ali Coote M 6.7 9' – – 1 4 (3%) –
20 Rodrigo Freitas F 6.7 16' – – – 8 (4%) –
29 Paddy Barrett D 6.6 89' – – – 37 (31%) 3
21 Jack Henry-Francis M 6.6 80' – – – 36 (28%) 3
27 Evan Caffrey M 6.3 89' – – 1 15 (9%) 1
16 Odhran Casey D 6.3 9' – – – 4 (4%) –
4 Kameron Ledwidge D 6.2 89' – – – 23 (18%) –
18 James Norris D 6.2 89' – – – 19 (17%) 1
25 Milan Mbeng D 5.0 89' – – – 19 (16%) –
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Confidence High (85%)

At a glance

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Ajax të fitojë
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Ajax
DWWLW
Shelbourne
WLLDD
Last 1 meetings Ajax · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

Ajax faces Shelbourne in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Ajax historically showcasing strong performances in European competitions. Ajax's squad depth and attacking prowess are significant advantages, as they typically dominate possession and create numerous scoring opportunities. Shelbourne, while competitive domestically, will need to rely on solid defensive organization and counter-attacks to challenge Ajax's structured play. The outcome may hinge on Ajax's ability to break down a disciplined Shelbourne defense and convert chances into goals.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
85%
45%
Draw
11%
45%
Away
4%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Ajax
O. Gloukh 4 gls
D. Klaassen 4 gls
T. Arokodare 3 gls
Shelbourne

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Ajax vs Shelbourne

0 Ajax Wins
1 Draws
0 Shelbourne Wins
Date Home Score Away
13 Aug 2026 Shelbourne 2 - 2 Ajax

Ajax — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Excelsior D 2 - 2
15 Sep H Willem II W 5 - 1
12 Sep A Fortuna Sittard W 1 - 5
05 Sep H PSV Eindhoven L 1 - 3
30 Aug A Telstar W 0 - 4

Shelbourne — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Dundalk W 2 - 3
14 Sep H Drogheda United L 1 - 2
11 Sep H Derry City L 0 - 1
04 Sep A Shamrock Rovers D 0 - 0
28 Aug A Galway United D 1 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Mjallby AIF
0 0 0 0 0 0
2
Brighton
0 0 0 0 0 0
3
Monaco
0 0 0 0 0 0
4
FK Jablonec
0 0 0 0 0 0
5
Gent
0 0 0 0 0 0
6
St. Truiden
0 0 0 0 0 0
7
SC Freiburg
0 0 0 0 0 0
8
Atalanta
0 0 0 0 0 0
9
Ajax
0 0 0 0 0 0
10
Twente
0 0 0 0 0 0
11
Getafe
0 0 0 0 0 0
12
KuPS
0 0 0 0 0 0
13
CSKA Sofia
0 0 0 0 0 0
14
HNK Hajduk Split
0 0 0 0 0 0
15
Pafos
0 0 0 0 0 0
16
Aarhus
0 0 0 0 0 0
17
FC Copenhagen
0 0 0 0 0 0
18
FC Midtjylland
0 0 0 0 0 0
19
FC Nordsjaelland
0 0 0 0 0 0
20
Panathinaikos
0 0 0 0 0 0
21
Brann
0 0 0 0 0 0
22
SC Braga
0 0 0 0 0 0
23
Heart Of Midlothian
0 0 0 0 0 0
24
FC Lugano
0 0 0 0 0 0
25
FK Crvena Zvezda
0 0 0 0 0 0
26
FC Thun
0 0 0 0 0 0
27
Trabzonspor
0 0 0 0 0 0
28
Borac Banja Luka
0 0 0 0 0 0
29
Kairat Almaty
0 0 0 0 0 0
30
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0 0 0 0 0 0
31
Inter Club d'Escaldes
0 0 0 0 0 0
32
Kauno Žalgiris
0 0 0 0 0 0
33
Universitatea Craiova
0 0 0 0 0 0
34
FC Iberia 1999
0 0 0 0 0 0
35
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0 0 0 0 0 0
36
Riga
0 0 0 0 0 0

Ajax

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Michel
26 Paes
5 Wijndal
17 Blind
30 Bouwman
3 Gaaei
6 Regeer
11 Godts
10 Gloukh
18 Klaassen
23 Berghuis
9 Dolberg

Starting XI

# Player Pos
26 Maarten Paes G
3 Anton Gaaei D
30 Aaron Bouwman D
17 Daley Blind D
5 Owen Wijndal D
6 Youri Regeer M
23 Steven Berghuis M
18 Davy Klaassen M
10 Oscar Gloukh M
11 Mika Godts M
9 Kasper Dolberg F

Substitutes

24 Jorthy Mokio M
38 Marcos Leonardo F
20 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen F
8 Julian Brandt M
1 Marc-André Ter Stegen G
22 Joeri Heerkens G
2 Lucas Rosa D
12 Caio Henrique D
15 Youri Baas D
7 Maher Carrizo F
68 Abdellah Ouazane M
99 Tolu Arokodare F

Shelbourne

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Lorcan Fitzgerald
19 Beach
18 Norris
4 Ledwidge
29 Barrett
15 Bone
25 Mbeng
27 Caffrey
23 McInroy
21 Henry-Francis
22 Moore
17 Kelly

Starting XI

# Player Pos
19 Eddie Beach G
25 Milan Mbeng D
15 Sam Bone D
29 Paddy Barrett D
4 Kameron Ledwidge D
18 James Norris D
22 Sean Moore M
21 Jack Henry-Francis M
23 Kerr McInroy M
27 Evan Caffrey M
17 Daniel Kelly F

Substitutes

13 Murray Johnson G
73 Finn Moylan G
2 Sean Gannon D
16 Odhran Casey D
55 James Roche D
6 Jonathan Lunney M
14 Ali Coote M
11 Ademipo Odubeko F
20 Rodrigo Freitas F
36 Will Jarvis M
44 Daniel Ring F
56 Joey Ikala Wuna F

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