Derry City vs Galway United Parashikim

Premier Division · Regular Season - 32

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Derry City

Home

1 : 0

HT 1 - 0

Galway United

Away

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry (Londonderry)

Parashikim AI Fitore ose barazim i vështirë për Derry City

55%

25%

20%

Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi Derry City vs Galway United: Sportiko i jep Derry City 55% probabilitet fitese, Galway United 20% dhe barazimit 25%. Përditësuar së fundmi 18 Sep 2026, 20:38.

Timeline

▮ 30'

Stephen Walsh Yellow Card

Patrick McClean Yellow Card

32' ▮

Adam O'Reilly

45+1' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

▮ 52'

L. Devitt Yellow Card

⇄ 71'

Stephen Walsh ⇄ Frantz Pierrot

⇄ 71'

K. Twardek ⇄ F. Lomboto

⇄ 71'

David Hurley ⇄ D. Connolly

Ellis Chapman ⇄ James Clarke

72' ⇄

Darragh Burns ⇄ Kévin Santos

72' ⇄

Tyler Smith ⇄ Liam Boyce

72' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Connor Barratt ⇄ Al-Amin Kazeem

FT 1–0

Derry City

Match Stats

Galway United

72% Ball Possession 28%

10 Total Shots 11

3 Shots on Goal 1

4 Shots off Goal 5

3 Blocked Shots 5

6 Shots insidebox 8

4 Shots outsidebox 3

4 Corner Kicks 4

1 Offsides 0

12 Fouls 10

1 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 2

623 Total passes 241

522 Passes accurate 149

10 Free Kicks 12

Derry City

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Adam O'Reilly M	8.1	90'	1	–	2	43 (36%)	–
23 Cameron Dummigan D	8.0	90'	–	–	1	71 (58%)	2
4 Jamie Stott D	7.8	90'	–	–	–	89 (79%)	1
3 Patrick McClean D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	120 (94%)	5
17 Nick Twisk M	7.1	90'	–	–	–	54 (49%)	2
15 James Clarke M	7.0	18'	–	–	1	12 (11%)	1
13 Tom Norcott G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	34 (29%)	–
19 Brandon Fleming M	6.8	90'	–	–	1	74 (61%)	2
21 Kévin Santos M	6.8	18'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
7 Michael Duffy F	6.7	90'	–	–	2	44 (37%)	2
27 Liam Boyce F	6.6	18'	–	–	2	7 (5%)	–
12 Darragh Burns M	6.6	72'	–	–	1	26 (23%)	–
29 Tyler Smith F	6.3	72'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
14 Ellis Chapman F	6.2	72'	–	–	–	35 (28%)	2

Galway United

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
15 Wasiri Ola Williams D	6.8	90'	–	–	2	36 (21%)	3
12 Gianfranco Facchineri D	6.7	90'	–	–	1	14 (12%)	4
4 Jimmy Keohane M	6.6	90'	–	–	2	11 (9%)	1
11 K. Twardek F	6.5	71'	–	–	1	7 (3%)	–
30 Al-Amin Kazeem D	6.4	9'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	1
21 D. Connolly F	6.4	19'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	1
9 F. Lomboto F	6.4	19'	–	–	–	1	–
2 Anthony O'Connor D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	21 (17%)	–
8 Aaron Bolger M	6.2	90'	–	–	–	31 (23%)	2
23 Frantz Pierrot F	6.2	19'	–	–	1	2 (2%)	–
3 Connor Barratt M	6.1	81'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	2
7 Stephen Walsh F	6.0	71'	–	–	2	9 (3%)	–
16 Hugo Cunha G	5.9	90'	–	–	–	38 (15%)	–
20 L. Devitt M	5.8	90'	–	–	1	15 (8%)	–
10 David Hurley M	5.6	71'	–	–	–	26 (15%)	1

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Analizat tona

Fitore ose barazim i vështirë për Derry City

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.9%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

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Derry City

WDWWD

Galway United

LWLWD

Last 1 meetings Derry City · 0W 0D 1L

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Derry City leads 1-0. Win probability: 88.7%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 11.3%.

45' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Derry City win: 81.5%. BTTS: 41.4%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Derry City leads. Win probability: 81.5%. Over 0.5 more goals: 76%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

55%

10%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

20%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Galway United goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	4	3	1
1	8	12	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2	1
3	6	6	3	1
4	3	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Derry City goals · most likely 1–1 (11.9%)

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Players in form

Derry City

M. Duffy 10 gls

J. Clarke 6 gls

Galway United

K. Twardek 8 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

25%

Away Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

25%

Away Win

20%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

74% Home (No Draw) 26% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 20% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.5%	4.1%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
1	8.5%	11.9%	5.6%	2.0%	0.5%
2	9.4%	10.1%	5.4%	1.9%	0.5%
3	6.0%	6.4%	3.4%	1.2%	0.3%
4	2.9%	3.1%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Derry City	Draw	Galway United
Derry City	33.7%	4.2%	1.6%
Draw	19.9%	15.2%	8.6%
Galway United	2.9%	3.8%	10.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Derry City vs Galway United

0 Derry City Wins

0 Draws

1 Galway United Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Jun 2026	Galway United	2 - 1	Derry City

Derry City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Galway United	W	1 - 0
14 Sep	A Waterford	D	2 - 2
11 Sep	A Shelbourne	W	0 - 1
06 Sep	H Dundalk	W	4 - 2
30 Aug	H Shamrock Rovers	D	3 - 3

Galway United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Derry City	L	1 - 0
14 Sep	A Sligo Rovers	W	1 - 3
11 Sep	H Bohemians	L	2 - 3
04 Sep	A Drogheda United	W	1 - 2
28 Aug	H Shelbourne	D	1 - 1

Premier Division Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	St Patrick's Athl.	32	17	8	7	52	25	+27	59
2	Shamrock Rovers	31	17	8	6	49	31	+18	59
3	Bohemians	31	16	8	7	55	37	+18	56
4	Derry City	32	9	14	9	45	42	+3	41
5	Dundalk	32	10	11	11	49	53	-4	41
6	Shelbourne	31	9	12	10	41	44	-3	39
7	Galway United	31	9	10	12	41	47	-6	37
8	Waterford	32	7	13	12	44	54	-10	34
9	Drogheda United	32	8	10	14	38	51	-13	34
10	Sligo Rovers	32	5	8	19	24	54	-30	23

Derry City

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Emiliano Té

13 Norcott

3 McClean

4 Stott

23 Dummigan

19 Fleming

8 O'Reilly

17 Twisk

12 Burns

7 Duffy

29 Smith

14 Chapman

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Tom Norcott	G
23	C. Dummigan	D
4	J. Stott	D
3	Patrick McClean	D
12	D. Burns	M
17	N. Twisk	M
8	A. O'Reilly	M
19	B. Fleming	M
14	E. Chapman	F
29	T. Smith	F
7	M. Duffy	F

Substitutes

27	L. Boyce	F
28	J. Olayinka	M
22	C. Barr	D
15	J. Clarke	M
25	Christy Grogan	D
24	Brooklyn Lyons-Foster	D
1	B. Maher	G
21	Kévin Santos	M
11	G. Whyte	M

Galway United

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: Emiliano Té

16 Cunha

12 Facchineri

2 O'Connor

15 Williams

4 Keohane

10 Hurley

8 Bolger

3 Barratt

20 Devitt

7 Walsh

11 Twardek

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha	G
15	O. Williams	D
2	A. O'Connor	D
12	Gianfranco Facchineri	D
3	Connor Barratt	M
8	A. Bolger	M
10	D. Hurley	M
4	J. Keohane	M
20	L. Devitt	M
11	K. Twardek	F
7	S. Walsh	F

Substitutes

32	Vincent Angelini	G
21	D. Connolly	F
30	A. Kazeem	D
9	F. Lomboto	F
28	J. Morahan	D
23	F. Pierrot	F
17	Junior Thiam	M
54	C. Whittaker	M