Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town Parashikim

League One League One · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
Parashikim AI Burton Albion ose barazim
40%
29%
31%
Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town: Sportiko i jep Burton Albion 40% probabilitet fitese, Mansfield Town 31% dhe barazimit 29%. Përditësuar së fundmi 19 Sep 2026, 13:25.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
  • Nën 3.5 Gola 72%
  • Mysafiri shënon 71%
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Timeline

Adedeji Oshilaja Own Goal
16' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 21'
Elliott Hewitt Yellow Card
▮ 23'
Ryan Sweeney Yellow Card
Jack Armer
28' ⚽ 2–0
Will Collar Yellow Card
39' ▮
⚽ 2–1 40'
Michael Smith assist: Nathan Moriah-Welsh
⇄ 45'
Elliott Hewitt ⇄ Kyle Knoyle
HT 2–1
▮ 49'
Louis Reed Yellow Card
⇄ 53'
Liam Thompson ⇄ Rhys Oates
▮ 59'
Michael Smith Yellow Card
⇄ 62'
Michael Smith ⇄ Luke Bolton
⇄ 62'
Nathan Moriah-Welsh ⇄ Lucas Akins
Will Collar ⇄ Sulyman Krubally
62' ⇄
⇄ Matthew Dennis
63' ⇄
Harvey Araujo
63' ⇄
⚽ 2–2 70'
Lucas Akins
⇄ 75'
Stephen McLaughlin ⇄ Frazer Blake-Tracy
R. Borges Rodrigues ⇄ Emeka Adeile
82' ⇄
▮ 90+3'
Frazer Blake-Tracy Yellow Card
FT 2–2
Burton Albion

Match Stats

Mansfield Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 2
4 Shots insidebox 8
6 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Corner Kicks 5
1 Offsides 5
12 Fouls 14
1 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
369 Total passes 351
269 Passes accurate 270
14 Free Kicks 11
Burton Albion
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
3 Jack Armer M 6.8 90' 1 – 3 35 (21%) 1
19 Matthew Dennis F 6.7 27' – – 1 3 (2%) –
4 Kgagelo Chauke M 6.6 90' – – 1 36 (34%) 3
Seamus Maughan 6.4 27' – – – 8 (7%) 1
24 Harvey Araujo D 6.3 63' – – – 37 (29%) 2
14 Will Collar M 6.3 62' – – – 8 (7%) 1
16 Curtis Tilt D 6.2 90' – – – 44 (35%) 2
17 R. Borges Rodrigues M 6.2 82' – – 2 15 (11%) 1
34 Corey Addai G 6.1 90' – – – 38 (24%) –
15 Kyran Lofthouse M 6.1 90' – – 1 31 (22%) –
8 Charlie Webster M 6.1 90' – – 1 42 (31%) 3
6 Toby Sibbick D 6.0 90' – – – 27 (18%) 9
41 Sulyman Krubally M 5.7 28' – – – 12 (8%) 1
23 Emeka Adeile D 5.6 8' – – – 1 (1%) –
Mansfield Town
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Lucas Akins F 8.2 28' 1 – 3 7 (3%) 2
14 Michael Smith F 7.6 62' 1 – 2 9 (8%) –
3 Stephen McLaughlin M 6.7 75' – – 1 26 (17%) 4
22 Nathan Moriah-Welsh M 6.6 62' – 1 – 19 (16%) 1
18 Rhys Oates F 6.6 37' – – 1 9 (6%) 2
24 Regan Hendry M 6.5 90' – – 1 50 (43%) 2
25 Louis Reed M 6.3 90' – – 1 45 (33%) 3
8 Luke Bolton D 6.3 28' – – – 4 (3%) 3
17 David McGoldrick F 6.2 90' – – 1 24 (19%) 3
1 Liam Roberts G 6.1 90' – – – 19 (9%) –
2 Kyle Knoyle D 6.1 44' – – – 7 (5%) –
5 Ryan Sweeney D 6.0 90' – – – 49 (39%) 2
16 Liam Thompson M 6.0 53' – – – 11 (9%) –
23 Adedeji Oshilaja D 5.8 90' – – 1 48 (40%) 1
20 Frazer Blake-Tracy D 5.7 15' – – – 8 (6%) –
4 Elliott Hewitt D 5.7 46' – – – 16 (14%) –
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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Analizat tona
Burton Albion ose barazim
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Burton Albion
DDLDW
Mansfield Town
DDLLW

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 2-2. Draw looking likely at 67.9%. Late goal chance: 35.7%.

71' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 62.5%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 2-1. Burton Albion leads. Win probability: 74.3%. Over 0.5 more goals: 72.4%.

40' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Burton Albion win: 73.4%. BTTS: 100%.

29' Goal 85% sure

Burton Albion now leads 2-0 with 90.1% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 82.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
40%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
31%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Burton Albion — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
22 Sep H Nottingham Forest U21 D 1 - 1
19 Sep H Mansfield Town D 2 - 2
12 Sep A Oxford United L 3 - 0
05 Sep H Cambridge United D 2 - 2
02 Sep H AFC Wimbledon W 4 - 1

Mansfield Town — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Burton Albion D 2 - 2
12 Sep H Huddersfield D 0 - 0
05 Sep A Bradford L 1 - 0
02 Sep A Reading L 5 - 0
30 Aug H Luton W 5 - 2

League One Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bradford
7 5 0 2 +3 15
2
Sheffield Wednesday
7 4 2 1 +7 14
3
Plymouth
7 4 1 2 +4 13
4
Huddersfield
7 3 3 1 +5 12
5
Cambridge United
7 3 3 1 +2 12
6
Oxford United
6 3 2 1 +6 11
7
AFC Wimbledon
7 3 2 2 -2 11
8
Reading
6 3 1 2 +7 10
9
Stockport County
7 3 1 3 +6 10
10
Leyton Orient
7 3 1 3 +4 10
11
Stevenage
7 2 3 2 +3 9
12
Burton Albion
7 2 3 2 0 9
13
Leicester
7 2 3 2 -2 9
14
Wycombe
7 2 3 2 -3 9
15
Blackpool
7 2 2 3 0 8
16
Luton
7 2 2 3 -2 8
17
Mansfield Town
7 2 2 3 -3 8
18
Barnsley
7 2 2 3 -5 8
19
Bromley
7 2 2 3 -10 8
20
Notts County
7 1 4 2 -2 7
21
Doncaster
7 1 3 3 -1 6
22
Milton Keynes Dons
7 0 6 1 -2 6
23
Peterborough
7 1 2 4 -8 5
24
Wigan
7 1 1 5 -7 4

Burton Albion

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: G. Bowyer
34 Addai
24 Araujo
16 Tilt
6 Sibbick
3 Armer
14 Collar
4 Chauke
15 Lofthouse
8 Webster
17 Rodrigues
18 Vickers

Starting XI

# Player Pos
34 C. Addai G
6 T. Sibbick D
16 C. Tilt D
24 Harvey Araujo D
15 K. Lofthouse M
4 K. Chauke M
14 W. Collar M
3 J. Armer M
17 R. Borges Rodrigues M
8 C. Webster M
18 Caylon Vickers F

Substitutes

19 M. Dennis F
27 K. Dudek G
40 Zac Scutt F
20 J. Sraha D
41 Sulyman Krubally M
23 Emeka Adeile D
29 Kain Adom F

Mansfield Town

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: N. Clough
1 Roberts
5 Sweeney
23 Oshilaja
4 Hewitt
25 Reed
3 McLaughlin
24 Hendry
16 Thompson
22 Moriah-Welsh
17 McGoldrick
14 Smith

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 L. Roberts G
4 E. Hewitt D
23 A. Oshilaja D
5 R. Sweeney D
25 L. Reed M
22 N. Moriah-Welsh M
16 L. Thompson M
24 R. Hendry M
3 S. McLaughlin M
14 M. Smith F
17 D. McGoldrick F

Substitutes

18 R. Oates F
2 K. Knoyle D
9 J. Bowery D
8 L. Bolton D
20 F. Blake-Tracy D
7 L. Akins F
21 H. Lewis G

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