Sporting CP vs Arouca Parashikim

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
Parashikim AI Sporting CP të fitojë ose barazojë
77%
16%
7%
Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi Sporting CP vs Arouca: Sportiko i jep Sporting CP 77% probabilitet fitese, Arouca 7% dhe barazimit 16%. Përditësuar së fundmi 19 Sep 2026, 21:30.

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  • Ekipi Vendas Shënon 2+ 75%
  • Home 2H Over 0.5 73%
  • 1st Half Home or Away 73%
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Timeline

Gonçalo Inácio assist: Maximiliano Araújo
3' ⚽ 1–0
Luis Javier Suárez assist: Iván Fresneda
17' ⚽ 2–0
▮ 36'
Espen Van Ee Yellow Card
▮ 44'
Javi Sánchez Yellow Card
⇄ 45'
Mateo Flores ⇄ Gabriel Rukavina
HT 2–0
▮ 51'
Jose Fontán Yellow Card
Zeno Debast Red Card
54' ▮
Nestory Irankunda ⇄ Eduardo Quaresma
57' ⇄
⇄ 59'
Espen Van Ee ⇄ Pedro Santos
Luis Javier Suárez Yellow Card
61' ▮
▮ 61'
Pedro Santos Yellow Card
Rodrigo Zalazar ⇄ Silas Andersen
66' ⇄
⇄ 69'
Alfonso Trezza ⇄ Brian Mansilla
🖵 78'
Ivan Barbero Penalty confirmed
Eduardo Quaresma Yellow Card
80' ▮
⚽ 2–1 81'
Jose Fontán Penalty
⇄ 86'
Javi Sánchez ⇄ Dylan Nandín
⇄ 86'
Ivan Barbero ⇄ Fally Mayulu
Issa Doumbia ⇄ Pedro Lima
86' ⇄
Luis Javier Suárez ⇄ Fotis Ioannidis
86' ⇄
⚽ 2–2 87'
Dylan Nandín
▮ 90+2'
Brian Mansilla Yellow Card
Maximiliano Araújo Yellow Card
90+4' ▮
FT 2–2
Sporting CP

Match Stats

Arouca
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Goal 5
2 Shots off Goal 9
5 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 8
2 Shots outsidebox 7
4 Corner Kicks 2
2 Offsides 0
9 Fouls 17
3 Yellow Cards 5
1 Red Cards 0
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
474 Total passes 389
415 Passes accurate 344
17 Free Kicks 9
Sporting CP
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
25 Gonçalo Inácio D 8.1 90' 1 – 2 83 (75%) 1
97 Luis Javier Suárez F 7.8 86' 1 – 1 24 (20%) –
22 Iván Fresneda D 7.2 90' – 1 – 38 (34%) 1
20 Maximiliano Araújo D 7.1 90' – 1 1 35 (31%) 2
17 Rodrigo Zalazar M 6.9 66' – – – 22 (20%) 1
5 Sergi Altimira M 6.9 90' – – – 57 (52%) 2
1 Rui Silva G 6.8 90' – – – 39 (34%) –
7 Fotis Ioannidis F 6.6 4' – – – 2 (2%) –
4 Silas Andersen M 6.5 24' – – – 12 (7%) –
77 Issa Doumbia M 6.5 86' – – 1 23 (17%) –
10 Geny Catamo M 6.4 90' – – 2 33 (28%) 1
21 Pedro Lima M 6.3 4' – – 1 3 (3%) –
19 Nestory Irankunda M 6.2 57' – – 1 14 (9%) –
72 Eduardo Quaresma D 5.9 33' – – – 16 (15%) –
6 Zeno Debast D 5.8 54' – – 1 69 (65%) –
Arouca
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Dylan Nandín F 8.1 4' 1 – 1 – –
8 Taichi Fukui M 7.2 90' – – 1 45 (41%) 1
89 Pedro Santos M 6.9 31' – – – 34 (33%) –
6 Espen Van Ee M 6.8 59' – – – 22 (20%) 2
3 Jose Fontán D 6.7 90' 1 – 1 63 (60%) 1
24 Brian Mansilla F 6.6 21' – – – 10 (8%) –
28 Tiago Esgaio D 6.5 90' – – 1 32 (25%) 2
9 Fally Mayulu F 6.5 4' – – – – –
17 Ivan Barbero F 6.4 86' – – 5 8 (6%) 1
18 Orest Lebedenko D 6.4 90' – – – 35 (30%) 5
12 Ignacio de Arruabarrena G 6.3 90' – – – 22 (17%) –
7 Naïs Djouahra M 6.3 90' – – 1 36 (32%) –
15 Javi Sánchez D 6.2 86' – – 3 41 (40%) 1
21 Mateo Flores M 6.1 46' – – – 9 (6%) –
20 Gabriel Rukavina F 6.0 44' – – – 11 (10%) –
19 Alfonso Trezza M 5.9 69' – – 2 10 (7%) 1
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Confidence High (77%)

At a glance

Analizat tona
Sporting CP të fitojë ose barazojë
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Sporting CP
DDWWW
Arouca
DLDWL
Last 3 meetings Sporting CP · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Sporting CP faces Arouca. Sporting CP has demonstrated strong attacking prowess, averaging 2.1 goals per match in their last five league games, while Arouca has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals in the same period. Additionally, Sporting CP's midfield control and pressing game could exploit Arouca's vulnerabilities. This match will be crucial for both teams as Sporting aims to maintain its title challenge, while Arouca seeks to secure valuable points to avoid relegation concerns.

Live insights

88' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

82' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-1! Sporting CP win probability: 94.7%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 22.4%.

82' time check 80% sure

Min 82: Sporting CP leads 2-1. Win probability: 94.7%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 5.3%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Sporting CP leads 2-0. Win probability: 99.5%. Comeback chance: 0.5%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 2-0. Sporting CP leads. Win probability: 98.4%. Over 0.5 more goals: 82%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
77%
45%
Draw
16%
45%
Away
7%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Sporting CP
L. Suárez 6 gls
Flávio Gonçalves 3 gls
F. Ioannidis 2 gls
Arouca
Barbero 4 gls

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Head to Head: Sporting CP vs Arouca

2 Sporting CP Wins
1 Draws
0 Arouca Wins
Date Home Score Away
24 Jan 2026 Arouca 1 - 2 Sporting CP
17 Aug 2025 Sporting CP 6 - 0 Arouca
15 Feb 2025 Sporting CP 2 - 2 Arouca
Shiko të gjitha 10 ndeshjet — Premium

Sporting CP — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Arouca D 2 - 2
13 Sep A Famalicao D 1 - 1
09 Sep H Galatasaray W 3 - 1
05 Sep H Nacional W 2 - 0
28 Aug A Rio Ave W 0 - 4

Arouca — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Sporting CP D 2 - 2
13 Sep H Santa Clara L 1 - 2
07 Sep A Estoril D 0 - 0
29 Aug H Maritimo W 2 - 1
23 Aug A FC Porto L 2 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
7 7 0 0 +15 21
2
Benfica
7 5 1 1 +15 16
3
Sporting CP
7 4 3 0 +9 15
4
Santa Clara
7 4 3 0 +7 15
5
Arouca
7 3 2 2 +3 11
6
SC Braga
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Academico Viseu
7 3 2 2 0 11
8
Estrela
7 2 4 1 0 10
9
GIL Vicente
6 2 2 2 0 8
10
Alverca
7 2 2 3 -2 8
11
Maritimo
7 2 2 3 -4 8
12
Moreirense
7 2 2 3 -6 8
13
Famalicao
7 1 4 2 +2 7
14
Vitória SC
7 1 2 4 -3 5
15
Nacional
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Rio Ave
7 1 1 5 -10 4
17
Casa Pia
7 1 1 5 -13 4
18
Estoril
7 0 2 5 -7 2

Sporting CP

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Rui Borges
1 Silva
20 Araújo
25 Inácio
6 Debast
22 Fresneda
77 Doumbia
5 Altimira
19 Irankunda
17 Zalazar
10 Catamo
97 Suárez

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Rui Silva G
22 Iván Fresneda D
6 Z. Debast D
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
20 M. Araújo D
5 Sergi Altimira M
77 I. Doumbia M
10 Geny Catamo M
17 R. Zalazar M
19 N. Irankunda M
97 L. Suárez F

Substitutes

28 J. Derry F
4 S. Andersen M
50 Rodrigo Dias D
58 Flávio Gonçalves F
7 F. Ioannidis F
30 Kaique G
31 Luis Guilherme F
9 Rafael Ferreira Nel F
21 Pedro Lima M
72 Eduardo Quaresma D
8 João Simões M
13 G. Vagiannidis D

Arouca

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Vasco Seabra
12 Arruabarrena
18 Lebedenko
3 Fontán
15 Sánchez
28 Esgaio
8 Fukui
6 Ee
7 Djouahra
21 Flores
19 Trezza
17 Barbero

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 I. de Arruabarrena G
28 Tiago Esgaio D
15 Javi Sánchez D
3 José Fontán D
18 O. Lebedenko D
6 E. van Ee M
8 T. Fukui M
19 A. Trezza M
21 Mateo Flores M
7 N. Djouahra M
17 Barbero F

Substitutes

37 Mario Climent D
1 J. Vinarčík G
20 G. Rukavina F
5 B. Popović D
89 Pedro Santos M
77 S. Park F
23 D. Nandín F
4 Diogo Monteiro D
9 F. Mayulu F
24 B. Mansilla F
27 Mamadu Balde F
71 M. Duarte G

Asistenti Sportiko

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