Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen Parashikim

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 11

31 Oct 2026, 17:45

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NEC Nijmegen

Away

Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen

Parashikim AI Heerenveen ose barazim

46%

29%

25%

Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen: Sportiko i jep Heerenveen 46% probabilitet fitese, NEC Nijmegen 25% dhe barazimit 29%. Përditësuar së fundmi 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Heerenveen

WDLDL

NEC Nijmegen

DLLDL

Last 3 meetings Heerenveen · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, Heerenveen faces NEC Nijmegen, both teams striving for crucial points as the season progresses. Heerenveen has shown a solid home record, with a strong focus on offensive play, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season. Conversely, NEC Nijmegen has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match, which could be pivotal in this matchup. Key players to watch include Heerenveen's top scorer, who has been instrumental in their attack, and NEC's goalkeeper, who will need to step up to keep the scoreline competitive. This match could hinge on Heerenveen's ability to exploit defensive vulnerabilities in NEC's lineup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

46%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

25%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

NEC Nijmegen goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	6	4	2
1	10	14	7	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Heerenveen goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

29%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

29%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

65% Home (No Draw) 35% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	6.5%	4.3%	1.5%	0.4%
1	9.9%	13.9%	6.6%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.7%	9.3%	5.0%	1.8%	0.5%
3	4.4%	4.7%	2.5%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.7%	1.8%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Heerenveen	Draw	NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen	28.1%	4.3%	1.5%
Draw	16.8%	18.2%	10.1%
NEC Nijmegen	2.3%	4.3%	14.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen

2 Heerenveen Wins

1 Draws

0 NEC Nijmegen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Mar 2026	NEC Nijmegen	2 - 2	Heerenveen
21 Sep 2025	Heerenveen	3 - 2	NEC Nijmegen
27 Apr 2025	Heerenveen	1 - 0	NEC Nijmegen

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Heerenveen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sparta Rotterdam	W	0 - 4
13 Sep	H Telstar	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H AZ Alkmaar	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Willem II	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	H PEC Zwolle	L	0 - 2

NEC Nijmegen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
17 Sep	A Juventus	L	5 - 0
12 Sep	A Cambuur	L	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	1 - 3

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.